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re: Really cold CPI print.

Posted on 4/10/25 at 12:21 pm to
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
31449 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Maybe. The fed waited too long to raise last time. It will be worse if they wait too long to cut this time.

If we see a massive spike month to month, that's one thing. But frankly, inflation ran so hot for so long, a few months of -0.1% non-core shouldn't rattle anyone too badly.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73021 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 12:34 pm to
And -0.1% isnt exactly massive deflation either
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3922 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 12:56 pm to
Fair point- I just know how slowly these things move. It’s like a tug boat. By the time you sense a change, sometimes momentum is going to be a problem.
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
11456 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 2:56 pm to
I could use some deflation in my life. I want a new boat and side by side.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3922 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 3:12 pm to
You will certainly come out ahead of people who financed 10k, and then have the cost of that debt skyrocket.

Imagine any entity with, say, 36T of debt. Would really suck if that all of a sudden became more expensive instead of less expensive.
Posted by TX_Tiger23
Seabrook, Texas
Member since Aug 2013
107 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 6:14 pm to
A negative month over month is not deflation. It’s lower inflation. Deflation would be a negative CPI print.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91273 posts
Posted on 4/10/25 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

A negative month over month is not deflation. It’s lower inflation. Deflation would be a negative CPI print.


Huh?

It was a negative print.
Posted by TX_Tiger23
Seabrook, Texas
Member since Aug 2013
107 posts
Posted on 4/11/25 at 2:22 pm to
CPI YoY is 2.4%. CPI ex-Food/Energy is 2.8%. It would need to be negative for us to be in a deflationary environment or you have to see at least several MoM negative prints.
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