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re: Powell asked if the Fed will intervene if the stock market plummets?
Posted on 4/18/25 at 10:51 am to John Barron
Posted on 4/18/25 at 10:51 am to John Barron
Why would Powell intervene? That would be awful. He needs to remain level headed and not reactionary,
This post was edited on 4/18/25 at 1:04 pm
0
Posted on 4/18/25 at 2:39 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Powell needs to cut rates and stop playing politics
Tariffs put the Fed in pickle.
Tariffs leading to recession. Time to cut rates. However, bond market driving rates up because of said Tariffs.
Schizophrenia case for Fed.
Trump gets something permanent in return for temp tariffs or threat of tariffs, good. Trump pumps sustained Tariffs, fire him and his economic advisors.
Posted on 4/18/25 at 2:58 pm to John Barron
quote:
Record inflation is relative and context-specific, while highest inflation ever is an absolute historical maximum.
Posted on 4/18/25 at 3:40 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
The circle jerk eventually gets so boring that they branch out to other boards, usually only to go back to the circle jerk to circle jerk about how stupid/liberal/TDS the other boards are
It’s to the point the mods should step in. There are three or four posters on the PT board that ruin every thread they post in. And unfortunately they live on there 24/7.
I tend to think less moderation is better, but if we have to be moderated the moderators should at least enforce the rules and keep the riff raff out
Posted on 4/19/25 at 7:57 am to SDVTiger
quote:
Powell needs to cut rates and stop playing politics
The Fed isn't using some magical formula or testing the political winds to adjust rates. It's simple, if the Fed Rate range is 0.5 to 0.75% away from the 1 yr note the Fed adjust rates. On Thursday the 1 yr closed at 3.98 with Fed rate of 4.25 to 4.5. No cuts. If the one yr drops to 3.75 or lower the Fed will cut.
If Trump could manage to put out a clear message on tariff plans the one year will come down (as it had started to do in early April) and Fed will cut. Uncertainty in the bond markets pushes up interest rates. Trump is causing the uncertainty right now, not Powell.
Posted on 4/19/25 at 8:53 am to John Barron
Powell will cut rates in May after the Spy crashes to 450.
Posted on 4/19/25 at 10:23 am to John Barron
Trump rushed into the tariff plan while making big assumptions about how Powell would respond. He apparently did not consider the possibility that bond vigilantes and foreign countries would dump bonds and drive up his precious 10-year rate. He did not consider the possibility that China would play hardball. Oops. Quite the corner he’s painted himself into.
Posted on 4/19/25 at 11:43 am to TxTiger82
quote:
Trump rushed into the tariff plan while making big assumptions about how Powell would respond. He apparently did not consider the possibility that bond vigilantes and foreign countries would dump bonds and drive up his precious 10-year rate. He did not consider the possibility that China would play hardball. Oops. Quite the corner he’s painted himself into.
Yet bonds are up and the 10yr went down
Posted on 4/19/25 at 11:54 am to SDVTiger
quote:Only AFTER POTUS watered down his tariffs.
Yet bonds are up and the 10yr went down
Before he did that the price of the 10 year T-bond was in a free fall.
You just can't tell the truth...
Posted on 4/19/25 at 1:09 pm to SDVTiger
The 10yr yield is down from the local peak, but up since liberation day.
Apr 2 close was 4.19.
Current is 4.33.
Thus, the 10yr yield is not “down.” Moreover, one bad move in negotiations sends the thing over 4.50 again.
Apr 2 close was 4.19.
Current is 4.33.
Thus, the 10yr yield is not “down.” Moreover, one bad move in negotiations sends the thing over 4.50 again.
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