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Opinions on viability of TELL going forward?

Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:28 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 8:28 am
What's the latest vibe from you local guys out there? I don't think Souki would've gotten involved with this if it is a dead dog. I've got some more disposable funds coming my way, but thinking that tech stock valuations are getting out of hand so hesitant to plow a lot more into AMZN, FSLY, NVDA, etc... Seems like with TELL, probably 70% it's bankrupt within 1-2 years, 30% chance it's a $10-20 stock if they can get a Driftwood contract signed. So 70% * $0/share plus 30% * $10/share = ~$3/share expected price compared to ~$1/share right now.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 9:38 am
Posted by Clint Torres
Member since Oct 2011
2662 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:10 am to
I'm not local/insider but I thought it was a value when it was $6.50 in January; I've been averaging down and I'm planning on riding this to bankruptcy or early retirement.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 9:13 am
Posted by BayouBengals21
Member since Mar 2020
132 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:22 am to
I am heavy on this stock! When it opened on the market it was around $10. If the Driftwood project happens I think $10 is on the low end. BTW IamBatman will be here shortly to tell you about your thread title. Hes a total douche!
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:25 am to
Nice thread title
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 10:54 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:38 am to
quote:

BTW IamBatman will be here shortly to tell you about your thread title. Hes a total douche!


You called it!
Posted by amusedmuse
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:42 am to
I am on the TELL train, mainly because I don't want to take a loss to get off of it. I do think it will rebound back up to at least $6.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:32 am to
They’re in major trouble. Domestic gas prices look to be rising into 2021-2022 while worldwide lng prices are still very soft due to lower demand and the full Europeans gas storage from last winter. I would be worrying about survival. The ceo recently listed his Colorado ranch and that can’t be a good sign.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:53 am to
quote:

IamBatman will be here shortly to tell you about your thread title. Hes a total douche!


Don't be angry with me when the owner of this site wants this board to be held to high standards

Douche!
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 11:25 am to
quote:

I do think it will rebound back up to at least $6.


Debating whether very OTM calls or just buying shares would be the best play here, may jump back in if this drops to $0.60 again.
Posted by PierPunk
#BugaNation
Member since Apr 2013
3291 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 1:50 pm to
I posted this one month ago and it seems to be holding true

quote:

Word is Tellurian is having serious troubles lining up commitments for FID especially with their Petronet deal falling through (for now). I know someone working on Driftwood that's being moved to a different project. That being said i would not be surprised for FID to still happen

2020 looking to be rough for LNG, some predicting demand may even shrink year to year. ~30 cargoes have already been cancelled for June and hearing July could be over 40 cancellations. Spreads staying negative and feedgas rates falling for some. Could be a good time to pickup some established players


Export economics are big in the negative, as of last week feedgas spread were still hovering around -$0.10. 90 cargoes are expected to be cancelled between July/Aug which would make the lowest level in 2020
Posted by PierPunk
#BugaNation
Member since Apr 2013
3291 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Domestic gas prices look to be rising into 2021-2022 while worldwide lng prices are still very soft due to lower demand and the full Europeans gas storage from last winter.


This, we are expecting >$3 for Summer 2021.

Europe is full of gas and demand is way down, already hard enough hard to compete with the Qatar's of the world
Posted by BayouBengals21
Member since Mar 2020
132 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 2:00 pm to
Are you getting paid to monitor people's thread title? I didnt think so, if you dont like the title scroll on through, and let "the owner" of this site worry about that. DOUCHE.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 7/9/20 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Are you getting paid to monitor people's thread title? I didnt think so, if you dont like the title scroll on through, and let "the owner" of this site worry about that. DOUCHE.



I don't need to get paid...knowing that it upsets you this much is all the payment I need
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