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re: Official CryptoTalk Thread
Posted on 5/29/25 at 6:35 pm to BottomlandBrew
Posted on 5/29/25 at 6:35 pm to BottomlandBrew
Damn it’s gonna take my job and then take my money.
1
Posted on 5/30/25 at 7:28 am to beaverfever
Some nasty wicks the last 24 hours. This definitely feels like leveraged futures traders controlling the market at the moment.
This post was edited on 5/30/25 at 7:30 am
Posted on 5/30/25 at 9:56 am to beaverfever
Wynn got liquidated at 105k. Lots of volatility from leverage getting wiped out.
It sucks but it’s necessary for a continuation. Hopefully we hold 100k through the weekend, bullish if so.
It sucks but it’s necessary for a continuation. Hopefully we hold 100k through the weekend, bullish if so.
Posted on 5/30/25 at 12:07 pm to Hateradedrink
I agree. This is bullish long term but not that fun. You’ve gotta take the air out of the market and give people something to bid. We just gotta hope that bid keeps coming back on corrections.
This post was edited on 5/30/25 at 12:11 pm
Posted on 5/30/25 at 12:10 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
That’s my guess. 2028 is around a “cryptowinter” type time frame. 50-80 is probably too pessimistic but it’s hard to be thinking about next cycle high/lows without knowing how this one ends.
Understood and I appreciate your response. In comparison to most that participate in this thread, I'm a relative newcomer (2020) to BTC and read with interest how you guys see the market down the road.
Another question for anyone that cares to respond, and I know it's been discussed before - but am curious whether views have changed/are changing with time: is there a chance that the market for BTC has changed so substantially over the last 18 months (buyers, sellers, investment thesis) that TA based on historical norms is close to meaningless?
Posted on 5/30/25 at 2:03 pm to David_DJS
I think “it’s different this time” but I’m definitely it in the minority with that opinion. There will be nasty bear markets like with any asset but 2 years on 2 years off is dead IMO. Also, people are sleeping on the ramifications of MSTR potentially getting in the S&P. That would represent a deviation from the existing path.
This post was edited on 5/30/25 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 5/30/25 at 6:39 pm to David_DJS
If anything, TA has become more useful as BTC has become more entwined with trad finance.
That said, and to your point, the applicability of older tools refined by the 4 year cycle, power laws, etc, have become more questionable and less predictable.
Some of us could probably write a thesis on this shite. I’m a retard, though, so don’t listen to anything I say.
That said, and to your point, the applicability of older tools refined by the 4 year cycle, power laws, etc, have become more questionable and less predictable.
Some of us could probably write a thesis on this shite. I’m a retard, though, so don’t listen to anything I say.
Posted on 5/30/25 at 7:32 pm to Hateradedrink
I’m probably going to eat these words but it feels like we’re nearing a local floor on btc. Alts have taken an absolute dump and I don’t see coins like link going much lower.
Ergo, if alts always follow btc, btc can’t go much lower without bringing alts to their cycle low.
Ergo, if alts always follow btc, btc can’t go much lower without bringing alts to their cycle low.
Posted on 5/30/25 at 8:38 pm to Hateradedrink
Man, my crypto taking a beating today
Posted on 5/31/25 at 11:01 am to CatsGoneWild
Posted on 6/1/25 at 10:57 am to Hateradedrink
I hope you guys get it.
Posted on 6/2/25 at 12:18 pm to I Love Bama
Posted on 6/2/25 at 3:59 pm to beaverfever
This does nothing for Bitcoin's price. It is not buying Bitcoin.
Posted on 6/2/25 at 5:14 pm to tenderfoot tigah
I was just sharing it because Bama had mentioned bitbonds being on the horizon.
Posted on 6/2/25 at 11:08 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:I doubt that you will. Bitcoin on exchanges keeps shrinking. Plus, this month, Bitcoin just past gold for ownership in the US. 14% of Americans now own Bitcoin investments versus on 11% of Americans owning gold investments. Greg Abbott should be approving the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill this month which allows Texas to procure Bitcoin directly for their Treasury. More states to follow as 30 more states are currently in different levels of progress on Bitcoin strategic reserve bills.
I’m probably going to eat these words but it feels like we’re nearing a local floor on btc.
Just days ago, the Department of Labor had a rules change plus a change in their tone to plan administrators on Bitcoin and crypto from extreme caution to neutral on May 28th that is going to spur Bitcoin and crypto access in 401K plans. Fidelity has already responded that they are working on providing more Bitcoin and crypto offerings for 401Ks and IRAs.
Just a 1% reallocation in US 401K plans to include Bitcoin investment ownership will dwarf new Bitcoin supply.
We are going to see a Bitcoin supply squeeze cause significant price appreciation this year in my opinion. Bitcoin will at least double from current prices before year end, or I'll eat my words.
Posted on 6/3/25 at 7:55 am to 98eagle
quote:
We are going to see a Bitcoin supply squeeze cause significant price appreciation this year in my opinion. Bitcoin will at least double from current prices before year end, or I'll eat my words.
We are going much higher but I am not sure about a double. My prediction is 150k EOY.
125K by June/July.
Posted on 6/3/25 at 6:32 pm to I Love Bama
The hardest part about this bitcoin cycle might be not getting restless and selling thinking that the cycle is a dud. It could be one prolonged game of chicken for the foreseeable future.
Posted on 6/3/25 at 7:17 pm to beaverfever
I just ask myself “do I think it’s more likely we end up 20k higher or 40k lower?”
If it’s the former, I hodl.
If it’s the former, I hodl.
This post was edited on 6/3/25 at 7:17 pm
Posted on 6/3/25 at 8:06 pm to beaverfever
Make a plan and stick to it. I've round tripped before. I'm not doing that shite again.
Posted on 6/3/25 at 11:02 pm to BottomlandBrew
Global M2 money supply at ath. Btc is going much higher.
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