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re: Official CryptoTalk Thread
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:39 pm to HottyToddy7
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:39 pm to HottyToddy7
Macro situation is UGLY.
The fed fricked up.
The fed fricked up.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:45 pm to Hateradedrink
The Fed’s only responsibility is to protect big American banks. Once you realize that, everything becomes clear. They couldn’t give 2 shits about the average American.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:52 pm to HottyToddy7
This stuff is strangely mimicking 2020.
Market looking good, crypto strengthening, then gets nuked from covid.
Now it’s getting nuked from Iran/israel and recession.
Hopefully this is the final big dip before the rip. That said, I would not be buying shite right now
Market looking good, crypto strengthening, then gets nuked from covid.
Now it’s getting nuked from Iran/israel and recession.
Hopefully this is the final big dip before the rip. That said, I would not be buying shite right now
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:55 pm to Hateradedrink
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:01 pm to Hateradedrink
Fire up the printers to save everything - Japan will be first. Will be watching their next move closely. They will have to intervene at some point
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:03 pm to TigerTatorTots
Hopefully things crash and I can buy, buy buy!
I love the smell of naplam.
I love the smell of naplam.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:16 pm to Iowa Golfer
On the plus side, I can go back to ignoring the market except for bi-weekly check-ins for a few months 
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:24 pm to Iowa Golfer
It’s still hard for me to buy at this level. I’m in some BTC under $1K. But I’ll have proceeds (portfolio insurance claims settlement) from VIX calls. There used to be BTC VIX, kinda sorta, but in this case VIX will have to suffice. The equity and crypto markets have essentially tracked each other. Protective puts just got eat to expensive on crypto.
I’ve always done what I’ve always done. It’s worked out well.
Back to point, I believe BTC is on early stages, so I need to get over the psychology of averaging up.
There are a couple of things I’ve done in equities the last 9 months that are also going to work out nicely. I just don’t post about it a lot because it offends some of the so called experts on here. Not this thread, but this board.
I’ve always done what I’ve always done. It’s worked out well.
Back to point, I believe BTC is on early stages, so I need to get over the psychology of averaging up.
There are a couple of things I’ve done in equities the last 9 months that are also going to work out nicely. I just don’t post about it a lot because it offends some of the so called experts on here. Not this thread, but this board.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:39 pm to Iowa Golfer
Low-key expecting to wake up to sub 2k eth and sub 50k btc tomorrow which would have big implications for miner capitulation as I was talking about earlier.
All previous TA/logic is basically gone due to the macro environment.
How exciting.
All previous TA/logic is basically gone due to the macro environment.
How exciting.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:56 pm to Hateradedrink
I’m not what to do except buy at some point:
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:57 pm to Iowa Golfer
ETA, I wish I knew how to get into a mining pool, especially if prices keep going down. But I probably should have done that a long, long time ago.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:05 pm to Hateradedrink
Damn, I check out for a couple of days and come back to a bloodbath
What's funny is that it no longer registers an emotion from me other than laughter. I used to feel these crashes, but after a while it just becomes a thing that happens and a thing you accept.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:10 pm to Iowa Golfer
I deployed all of my capital last year. I’m purely a spectator.
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:45 pm to Hateradedrink
This pullback feels like the one 30 days ago, just a lot steeper. Last month in this situation, the recovery was fairly quick.
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 7:20 am
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:26 am to 98eagle
ETA: nevermind I looked at this wrong. The average cost is actually 78k which is up from yesterday.
LINK
Miners have to sell at a 30k loss or have liquidity to keep rigs running. Cant see many miners deciding to sell at that big of a loss.
LINK
Miners have to sell at a 30k loss or have liquidity to keep rigs running. Cant see many miners deciding to sell at that big of a loss.
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 7:32 am
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:08 am to bayoubengals88
Curious on other's thoughts about price level to buy at?
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:12 am to Iowa Golfer
I want to see what the holders of the ETFs are doing before I even think about it.
If they start dumping at the opening bell it is going to get ugly.
Me personally, I will be backing up the truck at anything under $40,000 but will start some small purchases around these prices.
If they start dumping at the opening bell it is going to get ugly.
Me personally, I will be backing up the truck at anything under $40,000 but will start some small purchases around these prices.
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:19 am to Iowa Golfer
I would use alts as a guide here. Look at the market: BTC is down 20%ish on the week but alts are down 30-40% on the week. You know how alts go up when btc goes up? The reverse can also be true. I think the alt-crash is making the btc sell-off worse than it really is.
Once alts stabilize, BTC may stabilize.
Alts usually bottom out at 90-95% drawdown from ATH. Cant see many alts going below what they were at the bottom in 2022 and 2023.
Once alts stabilize, BTC may stabilize.
Alts usually bottom out at 90-95% drawdown from ATH. Cant see many alts going below what they were at the bottom in 2022 and 2023.
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:39 am to I Love Bama
Lots of buying in the first 10 minutes of market opening. I'm still waiting for a turbo-nuke after a quick pump, but maybe that's just battle fatigue coming out in me.
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:45 am to Iowa Golfer
I bought a bit. I'm now going to wait.
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