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re: New to Individual Stocks

Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by Tigerfan1999
Member since Jan 2025
851 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:13 pm to
Fair enough man, I’m genuinely just trying to help. All I’m saying is that I’d be shocked if even 90% of informed investors beat the S&P 500 in the past and moving forward.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
81739 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

A CFP isn’t diligently researching individual growth stocks for high conviction plays for their clients.


Correct. Their job is to make sure you're where you need to be in terms of taxes and estate planning so you don't get screwed over.

While there's no rule that will bat 1.000 there are rules that will result in winning more than losing. For example, look at the PE ratio for a stock and evaluate it in both absolute terms and compared to other companies in the same industry.

Pay attention to the quarterly and yearly financial reports. Are revenues and profits growing, stagnant, or declining?

What is the company's debt compared to total assets? High debt load carries the risk of a company not being able to survive a crisis. I jumped on RCL during the pandemic because they had a low debt load so they had a high likelihood of surviving short term, and since cruisegoers are hardcore fans there would be pent up demand when we got back to normal.

Posted by iPad
Find Me At An Apple Store Near You
Member since Nov 2025
1192 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

All I’m saying is that I’d be shocked if even 90% of informed investors beat the S&P 500 in the past and moving forward.

I think you are 100% right here. Truly - AI just looks and feels different. I feel it enables more information flow about companies most people would’ve never known about before. It’s all anyone can talk about across the board and the market as a whole moves as AI moves. (Along with war & other macro trends)

I am a massive fan of ETFs. My long term strategy is to pump up my capital base as quick & large as I can during this AI driven market and then retire all the capital to VOO/QQQM and ride it out for the rest of my life. ETFs have been king and always will be.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

There are tons of stagnant stocks that far outnumber the ones being posted here
Not talking to you, but it should be pretty easy to stay away from retail, consumer staples, and financials right now.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
81739 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

I am a massive fan of ETFs. My long term strategy is to pump up my capital base as quick & large as I can during this AI driven market and then retire all the capital to VOO/QQQM and ride it out for the rest of my life. ETFs have been king and always will be.


I have some money in those. Those are safer but also less upside. Individual stocks are higher risk and higher ceiling.

And even with individual stocks I have some long term holds and others that I look for a quick flip and score.
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
2250 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:43 pm to
I own 7 individual stocks that represent small % of overall portfolio. Been investing for a long time.

An investing goal you might consider is your after tax returns should aim to at least beat inflation and bond returns over long term. There are less risky ways to do this than individual stocks. Individual stocks may still have a role.

Have an objective, time horizon and compartmentalize the money for a specific purpose. This helps define the risk you are willing to take to achieve objective and diversification level you may need to protect your downside in getting there.

If you see stock market with “gold rush” mindset, your future self might be worse for it. Then again, maybe not. Point - there are casinos for gambling.

Use gambling for dopamine blast. Use investing as method for wealth building.
This post was edited on 5/23/26 at 12:47 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18242 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

POWL
VRT
AGX
BE
VIAV
PLPC
SEI
ENS


Are all of these from stick talk? I recognize a few of them (VIAV, ens, PLPC) when I was a member.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 12:56 pm to
The stuff you can do on your phone these days after a bit of research and 5-10 minutes on Gemini (wish I had Claude). Be curious.

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 1:12 pm to
No, not all of them.
But once you listen to him for a couple of weeks you learn how to screen like him.

I found a few names, PLAB, bring one of them, before he did.
However, his research is leagues better than mine. Not comparable.
He’s truly an excellent stock picker.

Some of his that I can remember:
NBIS
PLPC
ENS
AMKR
VIAV
LEU
IRDM
KTOS
HII
UUUU
BLDP
MTIK (has not truly taken off yet)
OSS
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Just don’t do it. I own four individual stocks right now. I’m down on three of them. I’m up on almost all of the various broadbased low cost funds I own (with the exception of one bond fund).
That’s your rationale for telling someone not to invest in individual stocks?

I’m begging you to unpack this.
Name of Companies?
Reason for buying?
Price purchased?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 1:23 pm to
Here’s another take you don’t hear much in the general investing world.

I’m extremely unlikely to truly invest in companies that are worth more than 5 to 10bn dollars.

Sure, I may make a trade on an MU or a NOW, but when it comes to targeting a realistic 5 to 10x growth stock, I’m generally screening for sub 5bn market cap. Ideally 500mm to 2bn.

When I stumbled into Nebius, it was 7bn.
Last April/May it was down to 5bn.
Now it’s 50bn
This post was edited on 5/23/26 at 1:24 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18242 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 1:48 pm to
He is good. I was paying I think 80/month. Now he’s charging 180/month. I can only dca 1k a month so it’s doesn’t make sense for me.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 1:53 pm to
Lose small. Win big.
I’m into trades that are a few years long, not 40 years.

Unless you already have rock solid conviction, do not allow more than a 10% loss to occur.

You have the ability to preserve your wealth at all times.
It’s your money, and you can cut a stock at any time.

An exception would be NBIS dropping due to Deep Seek a few weeks after I started buying. It’s all documented in the thread.

Do NOT sell after an arbitrary target of percentage gains.
This is how you miss a ton of upside when you’ve selected the right stock.
Again, without research and conviction, there’s no point. You’d just sell every time you hit 30%

That kind of dart throwing only works in exceptionally hot bull markets in the correct theme.

If I had to guess, I’ll still be holding Nebius 10 years from now with a cost basis well below $100.
OUST - We’ll see. But I plan on being in this one at least 2-4 years currently.
And, I reserve the right to change my mind. See MRLN.
Posted by Buddy the Tiger
Member since Nov 2018
154 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 2:21 pm to
Appreciate your feedback a ton. What would you say is the biggest contributor to having high conviction in a stock to hold it through a more than 10% loss? Is it just a gut feeling or some particular/combination of metrics that convince you?

If you are not setting an arbitrary target to sell, then how are you deciding on when to sell?
Posted by LSUSports247
Member since Apr 2007
1126 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 2:29 pm to
Go back a read the NBIS tread when it dropped to $80 a few months ago. A lot of convictions were tested but most were rewarded that held.
This post was edited on 5/23/26 at 9:55 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

What would you say is the biggest contributor to having high conviction in a stock to hold it through a more than 10% loss? Is it just a gut feeling or some particular/combination of metrics that convince you?


Management, management, management. You’ve got to know the team well enough to believe in them.
The NBIS background story immediately grabbed me.

Having technology or whatever the thing is that’s essential to a growing market (look at BE).

Being part of a strategic asset or being THE strategic asset geopolitically. OUST has this. LEU has this.

Hitting targets, beating targets, consistently. Proven scalability. NBIS has this. HII has this (not invested in that one)

Being better than peers in technology, capital structure, and financial metrics.
See NBIS debt vs Coreweave debt.
That’s told the tale in the last 3-4 months.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 3:07 pm to
The OUST thread is shorter. Try finding how the company has really grabbed conviction from a few of us here lately.

$35 to 27 wasn’t anything to cry over on OUST. We all just wanted more!
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12434 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 3:07 pm to
The NBIS thread is great psychology reading. plenty of lessons to learn there. A lot of money made - a lot of money lost.

I think at one point a quarter of us were up in the millions if you combined it all - i was up 600k on nbis/iren alone before the collapse. I managed to pull off about 200K and enjoyed the lower entry point thereafter, but plenty of lessons learned

Edit: Trust I am up an easy six figures again in this last run but not near the leverage that was being deployed in the fall. It was maniacal back then.
This post was edited on 5/23/26 at 3:34 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25512 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

If you are not setting an arbitrary target to sell, then how are you deciding on when to sell?
When you want to do something else with the money!
When you have enough where it makes financial sense to trim or diversify.

This is the toughest part.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51192 posts
Posted on 5/23/26 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

but picking individual winners is incredibly difficult

While I generally agree, I do have a small portfolio of tech stocks that I’m up massively on. 80% of my investments is in an S&P 500 index fund and a US growth fund. While that’s up I think roughly 34%% yoy, the individual tech stocks I own are up nearly 64%.
This post was edited on 5/23/26 at 9:28 pm
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