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re: I bought WMT today

Posted on 7/5/18 at 1:05 am to
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24147 posts
Posted on 7/5/18 at 1:05 am to
WMT does delivery as well. They contract out with Uber or similar third parties. I struggle with delivery costs in the current grocery model as I’ve typically seen $10/order fees which I think is generally too high as a percentage of an order (unless buying $200+ of groceries). For a family, the benefits are likely still there though. If I want delivery, Prime Now has free two hour delivery and is a tipping model; I adjust the tip based on weight of the items (beverages are heavy but a great convenience to have delivered to the door).

I’ve used WMT pickup a few times and it has been really nice. While grocery pickup has existed for awhile, this is the first time grocers are providing it at scale across all (or eventually all) locations.

eCommerce changes in the grocery industry is one of the more exciting evolutions in retail in my opinion. Consumers utimately win, especially with convenience. My hope is that we eventually move to a more “European” model of buying smaller grocery amounts at a time (e.g., enough for the week only) with more frequent deliveries/stops. I think it would ultimately help cut down on food waste (as a more altruistic benefit) and provide fresher food at the time of consumption.

Operationally, pickup is a lot easier in some markets than others purely based on the space availability. Pickup is generally near the backstock section of the store and additional parking spots are required. In large urban markets, pickup is difficult due to these space constraints so delivery is likely preferred.

I’m just getting back from Ireland and was amazed at how much food delivery exists. I saw guys all around town on bicycles delivering food (I think mostly prepared foods) in what looks like a medium sized ice chest suited as a backpack. This is perfect for urban markets that require nimble parking and short distances. I think cars would be preferred in most US markets since we are so spread out.
This post was edited on 7/5/18 at 1:23 am
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 8/16/18 at 8:30 am to
WMT reported a fantastic quarter. It feels good when you get one right.

A very small change in their sales produces fantastic earnings.

quote:

Walmart Inc. said sales rose at the fastest rate in over a decade as the world's largest retailer continues to draw more people to stores and benefit from strong consumer spending boosting performance at many retailers.


Sales at existing U.S. stores and websites rose 4.5% during the second quarter ended July 31. Walmart also said it expects sales and profit to rise more than previously expected during the current fiscal year. Sales in existing U.S. stores will rise 3%, the retailer said.




In the conference call they specifically mention the store pickup service growth. SAMS did very well for them too.

If they have now moved from 1% or 2% growth to 3% and 4% growth over the long run it is a big story for shareholders.
This post was edited on 8/16/18 at 8:37 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82030 posts
Posted on 8/16/18 at 9:36 am to
Nice, good call.

Man public companies expectations can be ridiculous. When they reported earnings back in Feb, the sky was falling because they didn't grow online sales and profit margins continued to drop.
Just six months later, it's all good again and we're almost back to where it was before that.
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
19677 posts
Posted on 8/16/18 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Man public companies expectations can be ridiculous. When they reported earnings back in Feb, the sky was falling because they didn't grow online sales and profit margins continued to drop.
Just six months later, it's all good again and we're almost back to where it was before that.


It's getting to be ridiculous, everyone is judged against Amazon which leads to crazy expectations. Hell Home Depot stock went down after announcing 8% comp sales growth, in what world does that make sense

I think you are going to see less and less companies going public due to crazy shareholder expectations
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 8/16/18 at 11:23 am to
It is nuts.

I like to look at beat down categories of stocks just because of these over reactions. I have positions in EPC and NWL simply because they look badly under valued. The entire consumer brand industry has been pounded. To me they have very good brands and simply need to shape up which both are starting to do. Are they big growth companies? No but they are good turnaround candidates with good brands and it seems to me the market has beat them up too much.
This post was edited on 8/16/18 at 11:25 am
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