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re: Haynesville Shale

Posted on 12/5/08 at 7:14 am to
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/5/08 at 7:14 am to
Checkmateking,

In the northern La parishes/southern Arkansas region, what are the most prominent formations that you are aware of?

My people's homestead is in the extreme northeastern section of Claiborne parish (Junction City). Do you have any clue what formations are present there?

Thanks!
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/11/08 at 11:44 am to
For those of you who contend that the HS formation is largely confined to east Texas/NW Louisiana, there is some information posted to the Go Haynesville Shale that seems to refute that contention. Information found within the archives of the Louisiana Office of Conservation shows from reports on wells drilled back in the 70's that this formation extends all the way to the Mississippi River.

www.gohaynesvilleshale.com Then go to the Union Parish Group.
Posted by Checkmateking2
Paradise Island, Bahamas
Member since Aug 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 12/11/08 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

In the northern La parishes/southern Arkansas region, what are the most prominent formations that you are aware of?


Cotton Valley Sand, Smackover Gray Sands. Haynesville Sand.
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 12:37 pm to
i'm not a geologist, so I am speaking from a standpoint of ignorance, if you will, but I wanted to pose several questions in the hope of clarifying some personal confusion I have.

Does the hue of the shale make a difference? It is my understanding that dark/black shale is more productive than red. Also, what is TOC? Finally, in the driller's log of a preponderence of sand and shale show up, is this a good thing?

My questions stem from some 1950's vintage drillers' logs where shale and/or shale mixed with sand showed up. To my simple way of thinking, much can be gained by going after these deposits even in wells that have been plugged and abandoned provided the new frac technology and other emerging practices are employed.

Any thoughts?

BTW, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
Posted by Checkmateking2
Paradise Island, Bahamas
Member since Aug 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 3:04 pm to
The term 'haynesville sand" is somewhat misleading, it is whats known as a shaley sand. The Haynesville Shale is much more of a pure clay sized particle shale, it is more consistent and has a much higher TOC.

TOC=total organic content- this is very important the higher the TOC the more gas in place.

Every gas or oil shale I have seen is dark gray to black, never really heard hue discussed.

Know one really knows yet how the shaley/sand will produce with horizintal drilling and new technology, I would like to see, as would everyone else for that matter. The 1950's logs aren't near as accurate as the new logs, so I don't know about that.

Have a merry Christmas.
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 3:11 pm to
Checkmateking,

I understand that there are variations of shale that are red or gray. I'm with you...the drillers' logs I've seen were from 1951 and 1953 and they are repetitive in nature; that is, they either mention shale, shale with sand, lime, or whatever and the color give is red or gray with lime mixed in. I would think that with today's technology, that would be an entirely different game, but what do I know.

BTW, they are on the Union Parish thread of www.gohaynesvilleshale.com

Merry Christmas!
Posted by Checkmateking2
Paradise Island, Bahamas
Member since Aug 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 3:27 pm to
They have drilled some vertical wells in the Haynesville Lime in Texas that have dwarfed the huge H-shale horizontals. Were talking about 25 million feet a day from a vertical well.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 7:22 pm to
The only people who will make money in the H-shale are the lessors that cashed in for huge bonuses and the few that bought Chesapeake and Petrohawk stock low and sold high....oh, and the service companies that get some business before this shite implodes. These shale plays were/are scams that only worked with high prices.

The same guys are active in S. Tex chasing the Eagleford (sp?) and Jackson shales - same game different location.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
8099 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

The only people who will make money in the H-shale are the lessors that cashed in for huge bonuses and the few that bought Chesapeake and Petrohawk stock low and sold high....oh, and the service companies that get some business before this shite implodes. These shale plays were/are scams that only worked with high prices.


There is money to be made in shale plays. Just not if you are stupid (Chesapeake) and pay $30,000 / acre.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

There is money to be made in shale plays. Just not if you are stupid (Chesapeake) and pay $30,000 / acre.


Petrohawk paid more - I don't know of anyone that has ever paid a reasonable price for a shale lease. It renders the entire play un-economic. The reason is that all the companies involved use this crap simply to pump the stock - they also increase their borrowing base by booking bullshite reserves. Good luck to any operators trying to drill an econmomic well in that part of the world for the next 10-20 years.
This post was edited on 12/24/08 at 8:34 pm
Posted by Checkmateking2
Paradise Island, Bahamas
Member since Aug 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 12/24/08 at 9:54 pm to
ok whatever
I guess the hottest oil/gas play in the world is just bullshite.

quote:

Petrohawk paid more


No one ever got 30 grand an acre, in fact on average it was a hell of a lot less.
This post was edited on 12/24/08 at 10:06 pm
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 12/25/08 at 1:22 am to
quote:

I guess the hottest oil/gas play in the world is just bullshite.


It's gas - and it may be there, but when you spend in the neighborhood of $1B on leasing on acreage that you can never drill in time to hold all of the leased acreage you are going to lose money. You sound like a geo and as typical of all geo's you don't know shite about the business end.

quote:

No one ever got 30 grand an acre


You don't know what you are talking about. I have family members that worked the shale that bought leases for CHK that paid that much and many times were out bid by PHawk. You are right in that that was not the average but still if you are paying approx $15k/acre you aren't going to make your money back. It's a game CHK and PHK are playing with their stock and their banks.
Posted by Checkmateking2
Paradise Island, Bahamas
Member since Aug 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 12/25/08 at 11:17 am to
I am with you on the point that they were trying to pump their stock.
Posted by TigerStuckinOkieland
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Feb 2007
1330 posts
Posted on 12/27/08 at 11:46 pm to
So you think the Barnett Shale was a hoax? It turned Devon into a first-class player in the North American oil and gas market....

CHK and HK definitely over-extended themselves in the Haynesville Shale play, but to call it a farce is stupid. Sounds like somebody got burned on a lease deal, and is pissed at CHK or HK about it.

I think Shell & Encana have much better things to do than continue to plunk down $8M per well if the reserves weren't believed to be subsantial.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 12/28/08 at 10:51 am to
quote:

So you think the Barnett Shale was a hoax?


I never said it was a hoax. Just that a lot of companies are playing a game with their banks and stocks.

quote:

CHK and HK definitely over-extended themselves in the Haynesville Shale play, but to call it a farce is stupid.


I've never questioned the existence, I've questioned the business decisions to spend a B+ on leasing and on acreage that they won't even be able to drill requiring lease extensions, top lease battles. I have no personal stake in any of the Shales.

quote:

I think Shell & Encana have much better things to do than continue to plunk down $8M per well if the reserves weren't believed to be subsantial.


We'll see. I've never questioned the geology, as I've stated. Just take a close look at CHK and HK - just look at the money they've spent adn just think about the economics of the deal. Also consider falling NG prices. That is all I'm saying.
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/28/08 at 12:45 pm to
Gentlemen, if we can get back on point here...a little more civility and a lot less flame-throwing will benefit everyone tremendously.

Let me ask this question. I'm told that the primary formations along the Arkansas/Louisiana line are the Cotton Valley Sand, Smackover Sand, and the Haynesville Sand. Industry lore has it that the HS formation does not extend into eastern Claiborne Parish/Union Parishes. I find that an odd assertion given what is going on right now in extreme southern Arkansas with HS exploration actually taking place, but for purposes of exposition, I will leave that one be.

Tell me, are these formations economically viable? Are these formations present in eastern Claiborne/Union Parishes. I'm not an industry insider, just a 3rd-generation landowner who was around when conventional drilling and exploration was all there was.Now, with the extant technology, I believe we may be on the cusp of something bigger.

I just want to know what is on the horizon for all of us. Animal husbandry played out for my family a long time ago. Here's hoping there's something better out there.
This post was edited on 12/28/08 at 12:47 pm
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
111551 posts
Posted on 12/28/08 at 10:01 pm to
(no message)
Posted by TigerStuckinOkieland
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Feb 2007
1330 posts
Posted on 12/29/08 at 10:51 pm to
Cwill,

If this economy ever starts to heat up again.....and, it will.....

natural gas will be a hot commodity both from a pure energy demand perspective and from a "green energy" perspective. Yes, price means everything when it comes to the economics of any play, but the reserve estimates appear to be fair to conservative. Like any new resource play, there will be a time lag for infrastructure buildout (pipeline takeaway capacity, etc.), but once in place, the HS play is expected to dwarf the Barnett play...which has been a "company builder" for several large O&G producers.

Insofar as cost goes, consider the fact that it is unlikely that the bonuses paid this year will be seen again.....likely to be 1/10th to 1/2 (at best). Add to this the likelihood of lower drilling costs and the economics can work quite nicely at $6.00 gas prices. Yes, CHK and others screwed up by "tooting their own horns" and running up lease prices on this play, but it doesn't make the opportunity any less real.
Posted by Latech80
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
26 posts
Posted on 12/30/08 at 11:31 am to
Needless to say, we live in a different era, and the technology is certainly different from yesteryear, which brings me to the following question: In the past, conventional plays were known to leave 70% to 80% of the hydrocarbons in the well before it was plugged and abandoned. Different day, different paradigms. What are we looking at today in terms of future production?

I refuse to believe that the majors are going to let the present potentials existing in north Louisiana languish while they roll the dice with OPEC. The geopolitical scene is such that any moment, should the Iranians close the Strait of Hormuz, for example, we could all be back to escalating prices. I would think domestic economies of scale would dictate something on the scale of what took place with the Barnett Shale.

Mind you, these are the musings of a 3rd-generation plowboy (from Junction City) hoping for better days. If my assumptions are off, please tell me...no offense will be taken.
This post was edited on 12/30/08 at 11:32 am
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
91751 posts
Posted on 12/30/08 at 11:42 am to
quote:

any moment, should the Iranians close the Strait of Hormuz, for example, we could all be back to escalating prices.


Yeah or about 100 other feasible scenarios could also play out in the middle east.

I'm enjoying $1.50 gasoline just like everyone else..but I hope everyone realizes how fragile this is and how production could be interrupted (not because of those incompetent bozos in the OPEC cartel) then the oil bull market could crank back up again..and drag NG with it.
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