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re: Friday -- Dead Cat Bounce Day.

Posted on 5/13/22 at 3:58 pm to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89587 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

How much outflow can there be out of equities into fixed income?




Just looking at trends - those last big baby boomer cohorts (1957 to 1961 or thereabouts) are all rushing towards retirement, many of them this year. Now, many have already been transitioning out of equities, but could accelerate.

Once bond, CD and savings rates feel the big bump from rising rates, that could drive a movement away from underperforming equities as well.
Posted by DTRooster
Belle River, La
Member since Dec 2013
7962 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 4:10 pm to
All I’m saying is the days of actual valuations, debt ratios, dividend yields mattering will return. The pixie dust market of the last 10 years aren’t a reality and just slinging money in the market expecting all tides to rise together won’t last.

Choose well
Posted by Matt225
St. George
Member since Dec 2019
856 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 5:12 pm to
Meow,
Now serving up some kitten chow mein throw July
Posted by Delacroix22
Member since Aug 2013
3971 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 6:13 pm to
I know this is a meme but if you aren't buying a significant amount of gold and silver. . .

you should be
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 6:32 pm to
quote:

I know this is a meme but if you aren't buying a significant amount of gold and silver. . . you should be


Why?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85090 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

This market is not turning around until the bumbling idiot in the WH is gone.


How much would you like to bet?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85090 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

Once bond, CD and savings rates feel the big bump from rising rates, that could drive a movement away from underperforming equities as well.


All but savings accounts are already there.
Posted by sawtooth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2017
3588 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

All the excess liquidity from covid stimulus is still out there


Is it? Most of the people I know spent theirs fairly quickly. Inflation has been eating the rest.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7513 posts
Posted on 5/15/22 at 10:12 am to
quote:

I tend to agree, although one year outlook is less optimistic than three year for me. Dan Ives is saying this is a generational buying opportunity. Funny, this is the fourth generational buying opportunity we have had in 22 years, third generational buying opportunity we have had in the last 14 years, and second generational buying opportunity we have had in the last three years. These generational buying opportunities are getting more and more frequent.


Tell that to my IRA that starts off the month with a fresh infusion of cash from my employer and myself and by the 10th of the month all the contributions are wiped out and starting to trend negative. I would hope to see an up trend in the market to at least get me back to at least what had been contributed to the account. Out of the newly contributed money, 60-70% of the value of new money has shrunk due to the decline in value of the investments.

Now if the market, starts zooming up, the gains will be noticeable hopefully.

If I had to guess, the market will flap like a dead fish until the mid terms and possibly into mid 2023.

If the market doesn’t change, I don’t care who the Republicans nominate in 2024, it maybe 1980 all over again.
This post was edited on 5/15/22 at 10:35 am
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