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Started By
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CNBC Special Tonight: ‘Return of the Retail Trader’
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:43 pm
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:43 pm
Does THIS get anyone else’s antennas up?!?
1
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:47 pm to Hussss
WEBR trade didn’t work out?
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:48 pm to LSUcam7
Hell yeah it did
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:49 pm to Hussss
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:51 pm to LSUcam7
20k purchased @ $6.77 and sold @ $7.27
Posted on 8/12/22 at 3:57 pm to Hussss
Good shite. Doesn’t feel like this rally has much steam left.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 4:00 pm to LSUcam7
quote:
Good shite. Doesn’t feel like this rally has much steam left.
Heard the same thing two weeks ago.
Agree though sideways for a week or two with a few small dips would be nice.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 4:00 pm to LSUcam7
Well next week is Op Ex so we should see some wild swings come back.
Volatility instruments are up in aftermarket.
VIX futures expire Wed. a.m. 15 mins before market open so August will fall off and vol products will only be holding Sept., Oct. futures in them.
Volatility instruments are up in aftermarket.
VIX futures expire Wed. a.m. 15 mins before market open so August will fall off and vol products will only be holding Sept., Oct. futures in them.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 4:09 pm to FLObserver
This has been a very nice recovery off the lows. Clockwork bear market rally.
However the market does a great job at proving the masses wrong. If you’re a bear, you’re consensus right now.
However the market does a great job at proving the masses wrong. If you’re a bear, you’re consensus right now.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 5:38 pm to LSUcam7
I think the next few weeks will depend on Oil prices to be honest. We drop into the low 80's rally continues for a little while longer if goes back over 100 believe the dip starts again.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 5:50 pm to FLObserver
quote:
Agree though sideways for a week or two with a few small dips would be nice.
I tend to agree. Given the relatively low VIX level and the fact that the market may have gotten a bit ahead of itself short term, I’m going from net bullish options trades to a more neutral/bearish skew.
With earnings season largely behind us and IV now down, the “easy” money may be over for a little while.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 5:51 pm to Hussss
will be interesting to see because this sub-20 VIX makes very little sense to me other than general market complacency in the slowest trading season
I mean, rally or no rally volume is pathetic across the board
I mean, rally or no rally volume is pathetic across the board
Posted on 8/12/22 at 6:02 pm to LSUcam7
Too many were positioned bearish. It was too obvious. Which is the only reason we’re seeing this low volume melt up. The market is like bane sometimes. But your body is your bank account. 
Posted on 8/12/22 at 6:09 pm to TigerDeBaiter
GFC (more or less begins at death cross)
Current (death cross good place to start)
Current (death cross good place to start)
This post was edited on 8/12/22 at 6:12 pm
Posted on 8/12/22 at 6:12 pm to Shankopotomus
I agree it’s coming, but when everyone is positioned bearish you usually don’t get total bearish action. Got to flip some people first.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 6:21 pm to TigerDeBaiter
as I like to say "zoom out"
macro cycle way bigger than a couple weeks of up action, hence why I try not to day trade and just invest in cycles
macro cycle way bigger than a couple weeks of up action, hence why I try not to day trade and just invest in cycles
Posted on 8/12/22 at 7:34 pm to Shankopotomus
Everyone’s desire to compare this to 2008-09 with their charts is ridiculous fear mongering IMO.
Posted on 8/12/22 at 7:44 pm to TigerDeBaiter
quote:
when everyone is positioned bearish
There’s what they say about how they feel about their money and then what they do with their money.
So far I don’t believe there’s been any clearly obvious capitulation signals in stocks.
This post was edited on 8/12/22 at 7:46 pm
Posted on 8/12/22 at 8:41 pm to Shankopotomus
you saying we are still in the downtrend?
Posted on 8/12/22 at 8:54 pm to LSUcam7
quote:
There’s what they say about how they feel about their money and then what they do with their money.
So far I don’t believe there’s been any clearly obvious capitulation signals in stocks.
That kind of the point. Majority were positioned one way bearish - with puts or sidelined cash. And because of that, there’s wasn’t a ton of bearish action after rate hike number 1 or the obvious recession (technical). Now that the idiots have been lulled back to sleep and jump back in, next leg down will commence. You can tell by the absolute trash that is rallying right now that it’s not real. Maybe I’m wrong, but this rally just smells like a stubborn one driven by short covering and low volume melt.
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