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re: a thread for PATH

Posted on 12/3/25 at 3:14 pm to
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/3/25 at 3:14 pm to
$PATH Q3 EARNINGS

• Sales $411M vs Est. $393M
• EPS $0.16 vs Est. $0.15
• Net Retention Rate 107%
• ARR $1.78B -- up 11% YoY

Q4 Guidance
• Sales $465M vs Est. $463M
• ARR $1.85B vs Est. $1.84B

This post was edited on 12/3/25 at 3:16 pm
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32722 posts
Posted on 12/3/25 at 3:17 pm to
Wow nice move, I took some calls on it and looks like they’ll pay
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3303 posts
Posted on 12/3/25 at 7:10 pm to
Where do u see this potentially?
Posted by LSUSports247
Member since Apr 2007
977 posts
Posted on 12/3/25 at 7:15 pm to
I’m not sure what I’m going to do tomorrow. Hold or take profits and buy back in if it dips. Seems like all my AI stocks have dumped after good earnings lately.

I don’t have that many shares so not a big deal either way.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/3/25 at 10:04 pm to
I think 20 is possible just due to intense retail interest. It remains to be seen if revenues can justify that, but……if they can get to 30% annual growth they’ll get re rated and the P/E in the 20’s they have now will look quaint

in other words, low risk and high reward for adding/holding
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 9:24 am to
bought a little more at the open, going to let this ride until 2Q earnings report next year. That should give enough time to see what maestro adoption does for reported and future guidance revenues. This company already operates at like 80% gross profit but revenues need to catch up. It will all be about earnings guidance

reminder this is a very small company currently and if they don’t get widespread adoption they’ll be a footnote in the AI story. Don’t buy this expecting a parabolic move…it will be a summer/fall 2026 story one way or another
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3303 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 10:14 am to
95% gain from yesterday on my calls. Thanks for the heads up
Posted by LSUSports247
Member since Apr 2007
977 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 11:21 am to
I sold my shares, +25% profit maybe too early but happy with quick gains. Will be watching for dips
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
60679 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 12:01 pm to
Had some 16 calls expiring tomorrow. Almost punted yesterday. Up about 250% today to even make a little. Lucky
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 12:07 pm to
60MM shares traded today before lunch LOL. However there was heavy buying here at 18 last month so there are former bag holders now who might be looking to bail out. We will see how committed the WSB cult is very soon

again there is unusually high retail ownership of PATH (over 30%).
Posted by The Scofflaw
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2014
1909 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 2:16 pm to
$50 in 2026. I'm up to 50 calls open so far.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 2:34 pm to
high of the day at the end of the day
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3303 posts
Posted on 12/4/25 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

high of the day at the end of the day


Awesome day. Sold 10 calls at the high and kept 10. Playin with house money now.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/7/25 at 9:00 pm to
over 19 in overnight trading (+2.5%)
giddyup
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32722 posts
Posted on 12/8/25 at 9:48 am to
All out on my calls, incredible move
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/8/25 at 3:26 pm to
zooming out on the monthly chart



still in 3.5 year base despite the recent move up. the company's fundamentals and revenue guidance have changed drastically in this timeframe so historical levels may not apply. however, theres nothing but air above 24. at 24 market cap would be about $13B (currently $10B). i've done a bunch more reading on this one and am encouraged. if they hit 30+% revenue growth it could be a monster move
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/8/25 at 3:41 pm to
and zooming in on the volume spike

Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1460 posts
Posted on 12/8/25 at 3:49 pm to
Looked at a 2 year chart and it's filled a gap going back to 5/2024.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46465 posts
Posted on 12/9/25 at 9:01 am to
nice deep dive here on PATH

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