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re: 6.6m new jobless claims last week

Posted on 4/2/20 at 8:30 am to
Posted by Lgrnwd
Member since Jan 2018
5215 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 8:30 am to
The years following the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the market loved when bad economic data was released, because it meant more stimulus coming.

I was just getting into trading at the time and got burned a few times trying to short the market, because “logically” it SHOULD have went down.

We’ll see what happens today. But if oil stays up like it is now, it is going to help support the market.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 8:31 am to
Yep.....expecting more pain ahead
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
19670 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 8:45 am to
quote:

Now employers know what they can do to get fed help and that their employees will be taken care of by the government. This shouldn’t be surprising.


Yeah, nothing is going back to normal until 5/1 at the earliest. There is no reason for companies to pay people until that point. With the changes to UI, I am not sure if these numbers are really that bad. A lot of these people will be making more

ETA The numbers next week should match this weeks increase at a minimum. 4/1 was a huge day for furloughs.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 8:46 am
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16168 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 8:46 am to
quote:

Actually, where are YOU looking?


On ThinkorSwim at the S&P futures chart

Huge jump on open.
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12576 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 9:03 am to
You know a good amount of those are still working...they are able to claim if they have reduced hours. It’s a flawed/skewed number
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16168 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 9:53 am to
Every economic metric is skewed in some way, doesn't mean it's not relevant.

I think a 6 million jump in 2 weeks is significant no matter how skewed it is.
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