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re: $1,500 Gold Just Passed It

Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:05 pm to
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46672 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

You lose lots of wagers, don't you?


Not this one though.

Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:14 pm to
What's the bet? How much silver did you buy two years ago? I can prove how much in stocks I bought. Let's compare profits on our portfolio. Bet?
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46672 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:19 pm to
My profits in silver will pale in comparison to your profits, but that is due to me being 18 years old, in college. I won't even get into how much I bought (I don't want to come off as some douche who is impressed with what can be equated to chump change for someone such as yourself).

But, what I said is that you would've profited more if you had invested that money in silver last April than you did investing in whatever equities you did two years ago.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

you would've profited more if you had invested that money in silver last April
So you do most of your non-investing by using hindsight?

Do you think silver is a good buy now?
This post was edited on 4/20/11 at 3:23 pm
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46672 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

So you do most of your non-investing my using hindsight?

Do you think silver is a good buy now


No, I invested back when it was around $17/ounce and I expected these kind of returns (although I expected them a little more long term).

I think it's a very safe investment and I could see it around $65-$70/ounce this time next year.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

I think it's a very safe investment and I could see it around $65-$70/ounce this time next year.
Bookmarked. See you in a year.
Posted by goodgrin
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2003
6786 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Seriously, if the Fed terminates QE2 in June and does not start up QE3, PMs should level off for a good while?


If that happens, it'll be really bad for the U.S. economy. It should be a great time to buy some more precious metals on a correction of, say... 20-25%.
Posted by goodgrin
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2003
6786 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I think it's a very safe investment and I could see it around $65-$70/ounce this time next year.


quote:

Bookmarked. See you in a year.



This should get interesting.

I predict triple digit silver prices a year from now. I'll bet on $130-50/oz this time next year.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

if the Fed terminates QE2 in June and does not start up QE3, PMs should level off for a good while?



If that happens, it'll be really bad for the U.S. economy.
Please explain why it would be bad for the U.S. economy. Thanks.
Posted by goodgrin
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2003
6786 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

if the Fed terminates QE2 in June and does not start up QE3, PMs should level off for a good while?

If that happens, it'll be really bad for the U.S. economy.

Please explain why it would be bad for the U.S. economy. Thanks.



When QE1 went into effect in Nov. 2008 and ended in 2009, did it really help the economy? No. Why? Did unemployment drop? No. It was still staggeringly high, even by the official government number of 9-10% when it was closer to 16-20%. What's the real unemployment rate?

Home sales are dropping like there's no bottom, businesses are borrowing less money, individuals are borrowing less money. Stores (especially restaurants) are closing left and right.

The Fed in a desperate attempt to pump up the freaking economy has failed miserably. They did not build the economic recovery on solid financial principles, but rather on new debt creation.

Whether the Fed ends QE2 or continues it via QE3, the end game will be bad for the USD.

Foreign dumping to continue to send the USD lower

But, it'll be sweet for those in precious metals and commodities!!!

JP Morgue shorting silver causing silver spike.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Whether the Fed ends QE2 or continues it via QE3, the end game will be bad for the USD.
Why? Nothing you've written is convincing yet.

quote:

businesses are borrowing less money, individuals are borrowing less money.
quote:

They did not build the economic recovery on solid financial principles, but rather on new debt creation.
Do you view those two statements as being consistent with each other?
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26709 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

When QE1 went into effect in Nov. 2008 and ended in 2009, did it really help the economy? No. Why? Did unemployment drop? No. It was still staggeringly high, even by the official government number of 9-10% when it was closer to 16-20%


Meh, there is really no way of knowing if it "worked." You could make the argument unemployment would have gone down at a faster rate, along with other macroeconomic indicators, had QE1 not occurred. Would that have been the case? I would guess no, but you can't really tell me one way or the other.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 9:06 pm to
The contradictory nature of multiple statements within multiple posts makes it hard to take with more than a grain of salt.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 9:37 pm to
Agreed. It looks like we have another blog reader on our hands who wants to appear knowledgeable by repeating buzz words and phrases without understanding a bit of it......
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 4/20/11 at 9:45 pm to
We're getting overrun with poliboard crossover and PM bugs and alters man. Kids these days.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46672 posts
Posted on 6/4/11 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Bookmarked. See you in a year.


Bump to say:

After with drawing my head from my arse I realize how idiotic of a statement that is and how my bullish view of commodities seemed to get in the way of the fact that the massive credit expansion blew up bubbles in every asset class. There's no why we will see enough inflation to get to $65-70 silver after we see a liquidation of the toxic assets.

Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133528 posts
Posted on 6/4/11 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

After with drawing my head from my arse I realize how idiotic of a statement that is and how my bullish view of commodities seemed to get in the way of the fact that the massive credit expansion blew up bubbles in every asset class. There's no why we will see enough inflation to get to $65-70 silver after we see a liquidation of the toxic assets.

Correct opinion but for the wrong reasons.

You'll learn.......
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 6/4/11 at 6:05 pm to
I saw the Florida fan icon, and for a split second there I thought that Rivers had admitted that he was wrong. That would have rocked my world.
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