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re: Why do the computers favor the Big 12 over the SEC?

Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:52 pm to
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:52 pm to
Also the BCS handicapped the power of the computers when they decided that margin of victory could no longer be a factor. All the computers can go off of now is wins and losses and who beat who, once you start looking at 120 teams and the circular effect that happens, you end up with the conference with the best OOC benefits a LOT. Just the way it works.

Here is what the Sagarin system rates team using the Margin of Victory opposed to the version that the BCS uses from his system.

(Without Margin of Victory BCS FORMULA)
1.LSU
2.Bama
3.Oklahoma State
4.Arkansas
5.Kansas State
6.Oklahoma
7.Baylor
8.South Carolina
9.Oregon
10.Boise State

(With Margin of Victory)
1.Alabama
2.LSU
3.Oklahoma
4.Oklahoma State
5.Oregon
6.Stanford
7.Wisconsin
8.Boise State
9.Michigan
10.Texas A&M
Posted by Dice
Dallas, TX
Member since Nov 2007
896 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

FWIW I actually switched over to Vandy vs. UT Satruday night to watch a close game... then watched most of Baylor vs. OU to finish out my night... LSU vs. Ole Miss was boring by the second quarter.


There was NOTHING boring about LSU beating the crap out of Ole Miss. I loved and watched every minute of it.
Posted by jturn17
Member since Jan 2011
4978 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Because when the top of your conference loses to bottom feeders TTU and ISU they call it depth.



Yea, the SEC has never used this line...
Posted by LSU91MBA
Houston
Member since Aug 2008
1588 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Dice


quote:

There was NOTHING boring about LSU beating the crap out of Ole Miss. I loved and watched every minute of it.


Nothing personal... but we think differently.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
26307 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

There was NOTHING boring about LSU beating the crap out of Ole Miss
I agree...that was really fun to watch. Wish we could have seen Mett pass...
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
30057 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 1:58 pm to
x=ranked
y=FCS
underlined=loss

LSU
x-Oregon
West Virginia(23-26 in the polls)
y-Northwestern State
Western Kentucky

Alabama
Kent State
x-Penn State
North Texas
y-Georgia Southern

Arkansas
y-Missouri State
New Mexico
Troy
Texas A&M

Auburn
Utah State
x-Clemson
Florida Atlantic
y-Samford

MSU
Memphis
LA Tech
UAB
y-Tennessee Martin

Ole Miss
BYU
y-Southern Illinois
Fresno State
LA Tech

Georgia
x-Boise State
y-Coastal Carolina
New Mexico State
x-Georgia Tech

Florida
FAU
UAB
y-Furman
Florida State

USCe
ECU
Navy
y-The Citadel
x-Clemson

Vanderbilt
y-Elon
UConn
Army
Wake Forest

Tennessee
y-Montana
Cincinnati
Buffalo
MTSU

Kentucky
Western Kentucky
Central Michigan
Louisville
y-Jacksonville State

So the SEC went 40-5 Played 6(or 7 depending on the poll) ranked teams yet played 12 FCS teams.
This post was edited on 11/21/11 at 2:00 pm
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
26307 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

So the SEC went 40-5
I have 39-5, with four games left to play.

27-5 against FBS with a chance to go 31-5.

Posted by 7thWardTiger
Richmond, Texas
Member since Nov 2009
24670 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:04 pm to
The SEC really, really sucks aa a whole.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94573 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

Just win your BCS conference and you're in.


That's just demonstrably untrue - how many BCS conference champions will be sitting home, alone, in the dark watching the big game if LSU and Bama win out? All of them.

Why is LSU projected to go if we beat Arky, but lose to UGA, regardless of what everybody else does? BCS rankings, both computer and humans, show a preference for teams who play against and defeat a tougher slate of games.

LSU does not get into the big game in 2007 without the win against VT, as well as the outcome of dozens and dozens of game affecting our computer score the final weekend.

Posted by LsuSaintsMan
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Nov 2003
1532 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:11 pm to
Because outside of the top 3 or 4 teams this is the worst group of SEC teams in recent memory.

Auburn, Ole Piss, Moo State, Kentucky, Florida and Tennessee are just dreadful

Vandy is better but not good

USCe is much diminished after losing Lattimore and UGA is feasting on bottom feeders

He'll even arKansas has only one Top 25 win over USCe and that was after Lattimore got injured
Posted by RBWilliams8
Member since Oct 2009
53824 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

2011 has been great and the 11 - 0 is fantastic... but all the double digit wins are not nearly as entertaining.


Idk man, I loved crushing Florida, auburn, ole miss and beating Oregon and west Virginia by double digets. It's fun when it's a legit team. Now western Kentucky
Posted by CajunFootball
Jackson, Mississippi
Member since Oct 2010
19432 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Baylor vs. OU

That was a good game to watch.

quote:

LSU vs. Ole Miss was boring by the end of the first quarter


FIFY
Posted by TriumphTiger
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Sep 2007
10401 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Just win your BCS conference and you're in.


Huh?

Signed,
Virginia Tech (10-1)
Oklahoma State (10-1)
Posted by CajunFootball
Jackson, Mississippi
Member since Oct 2010
19432 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Wish we could have seen Mett pass...


We know he can run now lol.
Posted by CajunFootball
Jackson, Mississippi
Member since Oct 2010
19432 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:17 pm to
Have they won their conference championships yet? Okay thanks, bye.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35301 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:20 pm to
The big 12 had a nice setup in the non-conference. They played several solid teams that really had no chance of beating them. Tulsa lost to three big 12 teams and then proceeded to win the rest of their game. The big 12 had a lot of things like this work out in their favor this season. Also the big 12 was 9-1 in non-conference games decided by less than a touchdown. Iowa state won like 3 non-con games by 1 point. the computers aren't allowed to use margin of victory so they see a pretty good Iowa state team. The breaks just kind of fell in the big 12's direction this year.
Posted by TwinkleToez
NOLA
Member since Sep 2011
1080 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:22 pm to
i guess that they want some variety in the bcs bowls. I don't think it is very fair to have the big east winner in the bcs. I hope we will see arkansas, bama, and lsu in the bcs. i am confident every team will smoke the other opponent unlesss....rematch
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
26307 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:26 pm to
Three of the SEC's five OOC losses came from Ole Miss and Kentucky, which are the two worse teams in the conference. We have 12 teams and the Big 12 has ten...hard to really compare the two conferences when they are not even.
Posted by TriumphTiger
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Sep 2007
10401 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Have they won their conference championships yet? Okay thanks, bye.


Uhhh... nobody has yet, but I can guarantee that at least one of LSU and Bama won't too.

ETA: Correction! Stop the presses! TCU and Arkansas State have.
This post was edited on 11/21/11 at 2:29 pm
Posted by CajunFootball
Jackson, Mississippi
Member since Oct 2010
19432 posts
Posted on 11/21/11 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

but I can guarantee that at least one of LSU and Bama won't too


Are you really saying the either LSU or Bama won't win the SEC? That's a pretty obvious statement that I think a 1st grader could make with a high level of certainty.
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