re: who do we want to lose?

Also, watch out for Wisconsin to move up next week in the polls.
2 reasons for this- if the Big 10 has a 3 team split, it goes to the highest BCS team, and voters may look to guarantee that Wisky is high enough to clearly be the champ. We catch unintended flack from this;
and
again, we would be 11-1 but not even in contention for our conference. Wisky would have won theirs, with the same record. I think everyone not directly pulling for the teams involved (us now, Georgia in 07), wants to make sure the potential national champ is also a conference champ. So I'd expect things to shift out to make sure a Big 10 team (and maybe even Oklahoma St in the Big 12 if they also finish with 1 loss) gets bumped ahead of us in the final polls.

just the way things are

BCS Title:

Oregon loses to Arizona.
Auburn loses to Alabama.
Boise St loses to Nevada.
Auburn loses to South Carolina.
We could stand Stanford losing to Ore St or Wisconsin losing to Northwestern, or both.

TCU isn't losing to New Mexico.

West Virginia over Pitt helps us.
UNC over Duke.
Tennessee over Kentucky.
Florida over FSU.
Vandy over Wake Forest.
ULM over ULL.

BCSNCG = TCU vs LSU

quote:

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Just my opinion, there's no way Wisky jumps us if we beat #12 Arky. Wisky plays Northwestern.

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Not saying it is right or fair (to us).
A) Wisky would have the same record, and be a conference champ. We aren't. People outside the South would look to reward that accomplishment.

Also,

B) highest BCS ranked Big 10 team gets the Rose, not head-to-head or anything else (if 3 way tie). Since Wisky beat down Ohio St and the Buckeyes would still be pretty high, reasonable voters would look to seperate those 2 teams enough to guarantee Wisky is ahead (of OSU) in the formula (collateral damage to us).