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The Official BCS/CFP Thread
Posted on 11/27/19 at 7:55 am
Posted on 11/27/19 at 7:55 am
It has been 8 long years but the official “BCS” thread is finally back. This is a thread to discuss potential playoff scenarios, even ones (especially ones) unlikely to happen.
Playoff Rankings
If LSU wins out they obviously make the playoffs as a 1 or 2 seed. With OSU jumping LSU yesterday I don’t have a lot of confidence of jumping back to #1 without an OSU loss because they finish with 2 ranked teams. But if LSU dominates A&M and Georgia that could definitely change.
I have operated for weeks under the belief that LSU gets one mulligan, any mulligan. That is still mostly true with a small caveat. They can lose to A&M and beat UGA and they are definitely in - as at least a 3 seed. If they beat A&M and lose to UGA, then UGA grabs that 3 seed. LSU should still get that 4th seed over 1-loss Utah, Baylor, or Oklahoma (although I would sweat it if we didn’t at least make the UGA game close).
LSU’s nightmare scenario would be a loss to UGA and an upset of Minnesota over OSU in the BigTen championship. In that case Clemson and UGA are definitely in but who gets the last two spots? Minnesota would HAVE to be above OSU in the pecking order since they beat them and right now OSU is above LSU in the pecking order with the same record. So the committee could choose Minnesota and Ohio State and leave LSU at home. They could also take th easy path and just take 4 conference champions (Minnesota and Utah/Oklahoma). However, If it is a close game with UGA my guess is LSU somehow still sneaks in even with the Minnesota upset. Barely.
Alabama is on the outside looking in even with a win at Auburn. I believe Utah, Oklahoma, and probably Baylor all get in with 1 loss over Bama. Take Oklahoma who would have played 11 power 5 teams to Bama’s 9, would be conference champions, and their 2 wins over Baylor would be better than any win on Bama’s schedule. And no, there is no scenario where Bama jumps a 1 loss LSU.
LSU should pull for Ohio state, Clemson and Minnesota to lose this weekend and to a lesser extent for Utah, Baylor, OU, and UGA to lose. If Minnesota plays OSU it will be after LSU-UGA and who we pull for depends on the outcome of our game.
Oh, and I don’t care what the comma says....
Playoff Rankings
If LSU wins out they obviously make the playoffs as a 1 or 2 seed. With OSU jumping LSU yesterday I don’t have a lot of confidence of jumping back to #1 without an OSU loss because they finish with 2 ranked teams. But if LSU dominates A&M and Georgia that could definitely change.
I have operated for weeks under the belief that LSU gets one mulligan, any mulligan. That is still mostly true with a small caveat. They can lose to A&M and beat UGA and they are definitely in - as at least a 3 seed. If they beat A&M and lose to UGA, then UGA grabs that 3 seed. LSU should still get that 4th seed over 1-loss Utah, Baylor, or Oklahoma (although I would sweat it if we didn’t at least make the UGA game close).
LSU’s nightmare scenario would be a loss to UGA and an upset of Minnesota over OSU in the BigTen championship. In that case Clemson and UGA are definitely in but who gets the last two spots? Minnesota would HAVE to be above OSU in the pecking order since they beat them and right now OSU is above LSU in the pecking order with the same record. So the committee could choose Minnesota and Ohio State and leave LSU at home. They could also take th easy path and just take 4 conference champions (Minnesota and Utah/Oklahoma). However, If it is a close game with UGA my guess is LSU somehow still sneaks in even with the Minnesota upset. Barely.
Alabama is on the outside looking in even with a win at Auburn. I believe Utah, Oklahoma, and probably Baylor all get in with 1 loss over Bama. Take Oklahoma who would have played 11 power 5 teams to Bama’s 9, would be conference champions, and their 2 wins over Baylor would be better than any win on Bama’s schedule. And no, there is no scenario where Bama jumps a 1 loss LSU.
LSU should pull for Ohio state, Clemson and Minnesota to lose this weekend and to a lesser extent for Utah, Baylor, OU, and UGA to lose. If Minnesota plays OSU it will be after LSU-UGA and who we pull for depends on the outcome of our game.
Oh, and I don’t care what the comma says....
This post was edited on 11/27/19 at 9:26 am
Posted on 11/27/19 at 7:56 am to lsumatt
Welcome back BCS thread! I look forward to the pontificating which will be destroyed by statistics.
This post was edited on 11/27/19 at 7:58 am
Posted on 11/27/19 at 3:15 pm to BigBrod81
Bump because there seems to be lots of misconceptions about LSU’s situation.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 3:29 pm to DustyDinkleman
Feels good to have a reason to make this thread again.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 3:39 pm to lsumatt
quote:
LSU’s nightmare scenario would be a loss to UGA and an upset of Minnesota over OSU in the BigTen championship. In that case Clemson and UGA are definitely in but who gets the last two spots? Minnesota would HAVE to be above OSU in the pecking order since they beat them and right now OSU is above LSU in the pecking order with the same record. So the committee could choose Minnesota and Ohio State and leave LSU at home. They could also take th easy path and just take 4 conference champions (Minnesota and Utah/Oklahoma). However, If it is a close game with UGA my guess is LSU somehow still sneaks in even with the Minnesota upset. Barely.
Just my opinion, but I think a loss to Minnesota would be looked at as worse than a loss to UGA, putting LSU back in front of OSU
Posted on 11/27/19 at 3:41 pm to MACtigers
I think that you could be right which is Why I would bet we barely sneak in.
Posted on 11/27/19 at 3:43 pm to lsumatt
Of course, if we take care of business these next 2 games, we can sit back and relax and let the other teams worry about these chaos scenarios
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