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Playoff breakdown (per Conference)
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:55 am
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:55 am
12 teams - 1 group of 4 team, likely 1 ACC team (miami). You're vying for 1 of 10 spots.
Big 12 - unless they start beating eachother up looks very likely to get 3 teams in between (BYU, Utah, Houston, Texas Tech all with easy remaining schedules to get to 11-1+). So youre down to 7 spots between B10 and SEC and Notre Dame.
At worst 3 teams from Big 10 - Ohio State, Indiana and likely Iowa (based on remaining schedule) seem like locks. If you put aside the UCLA/USC/Oregon. So there's only 4 remaining spots for SEC/Notre Dame.
UGA, Ole Miss and UK look to have the easiest paths towards 10-2 schedules. If ND ends up 10-2, theyre likely going to take them for that 4th spot over any 9-3 SEC team, as sad as it is with their lack of reasonable wins.
If/only if another SEC team goes 10-2 do I think they'd bump ND in that scenario, based on strength of schedule.
Big 12 - unless they start beating eachother up looks very likely to get 3 teams in between (BYU, Utah, Houston, Texas Tech all with easy remaining schedules to get to 11-1+). So youre down to 7 spots between B10 and SEC and Notre Dame.
At worst 3 teams from Big 10 - Ohio State, Indiana and likely Iowa (based on remaining schedule) seem like locks. If you put aside the UCLA/USC/Oregon. So there's only 4 remaining spots for SEC/Notre Dame.
UGA, Ole Miss and UK look to have the easiest paths towards 10-2 schedules. If ND ends up 10-2, theyre likely going to take them for that 4th spot over any 9-3 SEC team, as sad as it is with their lack of reasonable wins.
If/only if another SEC team goes 10-2 do I think they'd bump ND in that scenario, based on strength of schedule.
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:03 am to Spano49er
quote:
If ND ends up 10-2, theyre likely going to take them for that 4th spot over any 9-3 SEC team
Absolutely criminal.
But I could see that happening along with your mention of 3 Big 12 teams ONLY because people know it's expanding to 24 teams next year.
If that wasn't the case, there'd be a riot if 3 big 12 teams got in and a 9-3 SEC team was left out.
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:24 am to Spano49er
There needs to be another weighted metric other than record.
Texas Tech @ 11-1 would get trounced by a 3L LSU team
Texas Tech @ 11-1 would get trounced by a 3L LSU team
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:32 am to Spano49er
Apocalypse scenario is Utah beating BYU but losing to Houston.
Going into Conf Champ weekend it could be:
Texas Tech (12-0)
BYU (11-1)
Utah (11-1)
Houston (11-1)
Arizona could save us from all of this. But they also have an outside chance of getting to 11-1.
Also don’t think UK gets through November without a loss and could be two.
Going into Conf Champ weekend it could be:
Texas Tech (12-0)
BYU (11-1)
Utah (11-1)
Houston (11-1)
Arizona could save us from all of this. But they also have an outside chance of getting to 11-1.
Also don’t think UK gets through November without a loss and could be two.
This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 11:36 am
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:44 am to Spano49er
No way Big 12 gets three teams...
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:50 am to Chicken
What does Ohio State do with the Sayin injury?
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:51 am to Chicken
quote:
No way Big 12 gets three teams...
quote:
No way Big 12 gets three teams...
just wrong -- multiple ways it could happen:
1) BYU wins out, texas tech wins out. and Houston wins out.
2) Utah wins out, Texas Tech wins out and BYU's only loss is to Utah after beating Notre Dame
...other combos of the above nature..
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:53 am to Spano49er
i still think there is a suprise SEC team people are claiming is dead.
Either LSU, OU, or Texas will get hot and win out. Any of those finish 9-3 they are 100% in
Either LSU, OU, or Texas will get hot and win out. Any of those finish 9-3 they are 100% in
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:54 am to Spano49er
now start comparing resumes...what would Houston and Texas Tech biggest wins be?
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:55 am to Spano49er
Notre Dame is going to beat Miami and both those overrated arse teams will get in at 11-1 after playing charmin soft schedules.
Shites a joke.
Shites a joke.
Posted on 10/22/26 at 12:48 pm to NorthTxLSU
quote:
Notre Dame is going to beat Miami and both those overrated arse teams will get in at 11-1 after playing charmin soft schedules.
This will happen book it!
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