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re: Once again, having Jarrett Lee at QB helps the LSU running game

Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:14 pm to
Posted by Uncommon Cents
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2008
14381 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

NOLA Razorback

You are trying so hard and still failing. Nothing new for you I would assume.
Posted by MandevilleLSUTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
6884 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

With Jefferson: 446 rushes for 2083 yards, 4.6 ypc
With Lee: 89 rushes for 305 yards, 3.4 ypc


With the disparity in sample size, we have no idea how this turns out if Lee also was was involved in 446 carries.


Here's my only thing about a running QB- we have talented RBs, RBs that are more talented at running the ball than the running QB. The running QB takes away carries from the talented RBs, unless he is only running on busted plays.
Posted by Uncommon Cents
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2008
14381 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

The running QB takes away carries from the talented RBs, unless he is only running on busted plays.

Or setting up other plays, or escaping the blitz or runnning the option.
Posted by MandevilleLSUTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
6884 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

escaping the blitz


Which I was including in the term "busted plays".

And running the option, and keeping it, is taking away a carry from a RB. And, we suck at the option.
This post was edited on 9/9/11 at 4:18 pm
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
46368 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:18 pm to
don't feed the flagship
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

You are trying so hard and still failing. Nothing new for you I would assume.
I don't mind if he keeps posting. I'm a big fan of Mélissa Theuriau.

But yeah, his flames are pretty weak.
Posted by Uncommon Cents
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2008
14381 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

And running the option, and keeping it, is taking away a carry from a RB.


Even if it is a big gainer? You would rather hand off to a RB for a small or no gain than pull it out and have the QB take it for big yardage? You would rather the QB pose no threat to run the ball so that the defense can ignore him in that regard? You want the defense to play 11 on 10 on running plays?

quote:

And, we suck at the option.

But are great at passing?
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
46368 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

The running QB takes away carries from the talented RBs


bah. when you run 2/3 of the time the RBs will still get theirs. besides, he stopped fricking up the option late in the yr so teams have to respect him keeping on zone reads, thus opening up some nice runs for the RBs when he gives.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15365 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

But looking at the running game, we have the sack and then 3 "team loss" rushes (on bad snaps, etc.) for -21 yards ( LINK), and other than that, we get 202 rushing yards on only 44 attempts, good for 4.59 yards per carry.

So what I and others have been saying for years is demonstrated yet again--the LSU running game works better with a pro-style QB like Lee in the game to keep the opposing defensive backs honest.
Well let's compare. With the 'dangerous' 2011 passing games, we've got 4.59 ypc (setting aside sacks & the bad snap) through one game. That's a good number; not great, but it might support your hypothesis. I kinda doubt one game is statistically significant but let's assume it is. The question still remains whether that shows a better run game than we had with the 'non-dangerous' 2010 passing attack.

For the 2010 stats we'll limit it to conference games to make a fairer comparison in terms of strength of opponent.* For 2010 we have 331 attempts for 1479 yards, which is good for 4.47 ypc. To be consistent, we also have to take away the sack yardage from last year. I can't find the 2010 sacks allowed numbers easily, but "team" had 6 rushes for -26 yards and Lee had 10 for -46 (we'll leave JJ's sacks in with his rushing stats). Let's assume 2/3 of those were in conference games so we'll credit 12 attempts and 48 yards to sacks and kneeldowns. That leaves us with a 2010 ypc of 4.79, a little bit higher than the 4.59 we got against Oregon.

I'm not saying the OP is wrong, but the only data point doesn't support the hypothesis. I might try to remember to bump this thread in a few weeks and see what the stats show then. By then hopefully the offense will be clicking a little better and we'll have an actual downfield passing game, not just the threat of one.

*It turns out that LSU's ypc were basically exactly the same whether you look at SEC games only or the set of all games. The ypc is a smidgen better when you take nonconf games in. So if you think all games are a more representative set, it only bolsters the analysis here (albeit marginally).

Edit to mention that all stats are from the utterly indispensable cfbstats.com
This post was edited on 9/9/11 at 4:26 pm
Posted by MandevilleLSUTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
6884 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

You would rather the QB pose no threat to run the ball so that the defense can ignore him in that regard? You want the defense to play 11 on 10 on running plays?


You mean just like the majority of all football being played, college and NFL?

You make it sound like a running QB is a must.


quote:

But are great at passing?


No. But I was comparing running the option to other running plays. And yes, we are better at other running plays than we are the option.
Posted by Kim Jong Ir
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2008
55297 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

we are better at other running plays than we are the option.


I agree with this. But UC won't agree with anything that can be construed as a criticism of Miles or JJ.
Posted by Bayou
Boudin, LA
Member since Feb 2005
42863 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Here's my only thing about a running QB- we have talented RBs, RBs that are more talented at running the ball than the running QB. The running QB takes away carries from the talented RBs, unless he is only running on busted plays.

This

We ahve a great stable of RB's that are better runners than any of our QB's. Why would you want your QB running instead - because he can't pass, right? Makes sense.
Now, I ask why on earth would a Coach continue to use the running QB to start every game?
Posted by pdxlsufan
Beaverton, Oregon
Member since May 2008
3226 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

So for the passing game, we get 10-22, 98 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, and 1 sack for 6 yards, translating into 23 plays for 92 yards, which (other than the PI penalties and lack of turnovers) is quite bad.


I give you props for admitting those numbers don't look good.

quote:

So what I and others have been saying for years is demonstrated yet again--the LSU running game works better with a pro-style QB like Lee in the game to keep the opposing defensive backs honest.


One game out of a 12 game season does not provide proof positive that your theorem is correct.

But I will give you props for making a far better argument than I'm used to seeing from the Lee backers.

So long as Lee stays relatively INT-free, the deep threat is a legitimate reason to be happy about his performance thus far.

I'm just not going to be convinced by one game any more than any of you were convinced that JJ was improving based on his Cotton Bowl performance where he threw for 2 TDs of 40 yards plus.
Posted by Bayoufightingtiger
Member since Aug 2011
4608 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:31 pm to
Not sure meaning of the post. Did not see what Lee did against Oregon helped the running game. Only way to help running game is to move the chains hitting passes along the way in which we did not. Yea I know Oregon put 8 in the box at times, but out O Line overpowered them. Having said that, the 8 Bama will put in the box will be much better than Oregon. We will have to hit the TE over the middle at times and throw the ball downfield. Every team in America respects LSU passing game because we have great athletes at WR not because we have an Andrew Luck on our team. That passing performance against Oregon will not cut it against teams in the SEC which know our offense much better. I'm sure Bama and the rest of the SEC will stack the box and makes us beat them throwing the ball.
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

Why would you want your QB running instead
Because a running QB causes RBs to have more yards per carry. LSU rushes better as a team with a running QB.

quote:

Now, I ask why on earth would a Coach continue to use the running QB to start every game?
Because a running QB causes RBs to have more yards per carry. LSU rushes better as a team with a running QB.

Posted by Uncommon Cents
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2008
14381 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

But UC won't agree with anything that can be construed as a criticism of Miles or JJ.


Thanks for proving that you are NOT smarter than a 5th grader.

My point is that a moblie QB poses more problems for a defense than an immobile one. Anybody that has played the game(X-Box doesn't count) knows this. The more things you can throw at a defense, the greater the advantage you have. Have someone explain how this works to you.
Posted by smash williams
San Diego
Member since Apr 2009
21078 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:37 pm to
Like a few people have already said, Oregon had 8 people in the box the entire game, their safety was always down near the line of scrimmage. And all of the audibles were running plays, it seemed like every audible was just a run to the strong side. I thought this was easy to see from a fan standpoint, the offenisve gameplan was very basic and conservative.
Posted by MandevilleLSUTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
6884 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

My point is that a moblie QB poses more problems for a defense than an immobile one.


So much so, that most teams don't have running QBs.

And your wording has changed. There is a difference to me between mobile QBs, and running QBs.


This post was edited on 9/9/11 at 4:40 pm
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

So much so, that most teams don't have running QBs.

And your wording has changed. There is a difference to me between mobile QBs, and running QBs.
Do you dispute that LSU ran better last year with Jefferson than with Lee?

Do you dispute that LSU ran better last year than this year?
Posted by Uncommon Cents
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2008
14381 posts
Posted on 9/9/11 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Now, I ask why on earth would a Coach continue to use the running QB to start every game?


Because he is winning?
Not an important fact right?
I can see you as a head coach.: "Quarterback A 's play is winning games for us. We can't have that. Let's use somebody else."
That about how you would do things?
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