OFFICIAL BCS THREAD - 10/19/08...LSU ranked No. 13

Official BCS standings listed

Official BCS Standing

1. Texas
2. Bama
3. PSU
4. OU
5. USC
6. Ok State
13. LSU

I don't take much stock in current BCS standings because they are only a snapshot and don't show teams potential. I am not really worried about LSU's ranking since the meat of our schedule is yet to come (UGA, BAMA, SECCG).

LSU needs to win out and have Penn State drop a game. I am going to assume the Big12 champ (even at one loss) gets in over LSU (not a definite, but a good assumption if its Texas or OU). That still leaves USC. I figured LSU had a mulligan but wasn't accounting for a 30 point loss. If LSU wins out, gives Bama their only loss, and beats 1-loss Florida I think they probably go over 1-loss USC. But that's the key...avenge their loss over Florida and hope UF comes in that game #1 or #2 in the BCS. Of course, USC might lose to Stanford or something and take care of that problem anyway. I do not believe that 1-loss Ohio State would go over LSU at this point (nor Utah or Boise St)

Speaking of USC I still find them the most interesting case and have probably been overly hard on them (I guess I just don't think a team that finishes with 1 loss and only has 1 ranked team on its schedule deserves a shot at a NC). Their computer score is starting to have a bit more potential than a few weeks ago (Virginia is looking better, OSU looks strong, and ND could finish well also). But USC's computer score largely hinges on Ohio State. If they crash and finish 9-3 along with Cal/Oregon at 8-4 and ND at 7-5....look for USC's computer score to be abysmal and to trump any love in the human polls. Basically, I think Texas,OU, Florida, UGA at one loss and conference champs all would go over USC; LSU, Bama, TT, Ok State could beat out USC with some help. I no longer believe any team from the Big10 at 1-loss goes over USC.

I also find Utah intriguing. The MWC is strong (6-1) over the Pac10 and Utah beat Oregon State (USC's only loss). But Utah's SOS is still looking bleak as Michigan is terrible and that BYU game lost its luster. But I think Utah could finish higher than USC in most/all computers making that an interesting race.

--------------------------------------------------
I have been publishing my Colley Matrix "Future Poll" which is one of the computer polls in the BCS and I assume the higher ranked team wins every game (except LSU who I assume wins out for fun). THIS IS NOT THE BCS STANDINGS...but it gives insight on how the computers may affect the final bcs standings:

1 Texas 13-0 1.034242
2 Pittsburgh 11-1 0.922618
3 Penn State 12-0 0.911732
4 LSU 12-1 0.904323
5 Florida 11-2 0.896641
6 Southern Cal 11-1 0.882281
7 Texas Tech 11-1 0.881696
8 Va Tech 11-2 0.878972
9 Utah 11-0 0.873242
10 Oklahoma 10-2 0.866890
11 USF 11-1 0.866017
12 Boise St 12-0 0.856700
13 Ohio State 10-2 0.854608
14 Alabama 11-1 0.842785
15 Georgia Tech 10-2 0.830074
16 Georgia 9-3 0.824517

NOTES:

1. Some of these rankings are quite close. Even A few small upsets could drastically change how this looks

2. USC's ranking is dependent on OSU. If they finish 11-1, USC is in excellent shape. If they finish 9-3, they are screwed.

3. Several 2-loss SEC and Big12 teams could finish above some major 1-loss teams (i.e. USC)

4. Pittsburgh continues to annoy me. They need to lose.

5. I said Utah could finish above USC in most/all computers. I still think they can despite these results which show USC and Utah with a very close rating