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re: LSU suddenly the trendy dark horse

Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:26 pm to
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
31011 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

So if Harris tries 25 passes and those attemps avg 15 yds apiece but only completes 6 for 25 yds YPA means nothing

It sounds like you don't know what YPA means.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:29 pm to
sims put up better overall stats

the point is that the alabama schools can take retreads and mold great offenses and QB performances rivaling our absolute apex under miles (mett in 2013, with that OL, running game, and WRs). LSU refuses to adapt and keeps trying to wait for 2013 talent to trot out a competent overall offense

i hope les finally has made the jump to consistency, but imagine if harris is a bust. if that happens, then what? no offense until 2018?

think about it

and NFL performance means nothing in this discussion. this is a discussion about college offenses
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

So if Harris tries 25 passes and those attemps avg 15 yds apiece but only completes 6 for 25 yds YPA means nothing............. Completion % is WAY WAY more important than ANY stat a qb can have........


This is extremely hard to read, so I'll take my best guess..

If Harris attempts 25 passes and averages 15.0 ypa (375 yards)... and 6 of those 25 passes average 25.0 ypa (150 yards)... then the remaining 21 passes account for 225 yards and 10.7 ypa.

I'm not sure why you felt the need to make this argument.

Also, completion percentage is factored into the yards per attempt metric... an incomplete pass results in 0 yards for that pass attempt.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

That is not reloading Auburn went from 14-0 to 8-5. Went from the #7 offense to the 100th. Auburn went from 13-1 to 8-5 and that's with bringing back everything on offense minus the starting RB, and adding Duke.

again

Auburn won a natty in 2010 and then got back in 2013 since the last time we won a natty.

1 title + 1 title failure + 2 SEC titles > 1 title failure + 1 SEC title

quote:

Auburn is so got damn wishy washy you can't judge them from one year to the next.

so you're telling me since 2008, you'd rather have LSU's results? one fewer national title and SEC title?

quote:

LSU is more consistent by A LOT.

and that means nothing if that consistency is lesser when you look at team goals
Posted by Lonnie4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
9525 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

Your contenting that the JJ/JL fiasco was anything other than a freak show?


Hey, if you want to go on record as seeing,"62% completion....21 TDs...5 ints...RAT...148", as "freak show" or "horror" material for LSU QBs playing perhaps the most difficult schedule in LSU history, knock yourself out.

I think that's just silly, agenda driven BS and any sane/rational football fan would disagree with you.


Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

Hey, if you want to go on record as seeing,"62% completion....21 TDs...5 ints...RAT...148", as "freak show" or "horror" material for LSU QBs playing perhaps the most difficult schedule in LSU history, knock yourself out.

how many yards? you keep leaving it out

also, did you watch teh SEC title game and national title game?
Posted by TigerFanNKaty
texas
Member since Sep 2008
10313 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:42 pm to
The fact is Les and his philosophy is stuck in the 80s or 90s. Until he attempts to change LSU will stay mediocre
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

sims put up better overall stats

2014 Sims: 252/391 3487 28 10
2013 Mett: 192/296 3082 22 8

That's a difference of...
60/95 405 yards 6 Touchdowns 2 Interceptions

The difference in stats results in a QB Rating of 115.6... for reference Anthony Jennings had a QB Rating of 118.3 for the 2014 season.. which basically means that you claim sims put up better stats because he threw the ball 100 times more than Mett did.

quote:

LSU refuses to adapt and keeps trying to wait for 2013 talent to trot out a competent overall offense


2008 - 117.42 QBR 206/391 2617 yards 21 TD 18 INT
... Pretty bad, but this comes in a season where our starting QB was dismissed from the team, our backup QB broke his leg, and our third string QB injured his ankle... or whatever Lee's injury was.

2009 - 131.91 QBR 198/336 2363 yards 19 TD 8 INT
... Not great, but not terrible. Getting that type of production will result in a successful offensive season at LSU more often than not. Unfortunately, LSU finished 11th in the conference (prior to SEC realignment) in rushing that year, missing out on finishing last by only 20 yards.

2010 - 117.59 QBR 173/301 2023 yards 10 TD 11 INT
... Absolutely abysmal. I have no fricking clue what Gary Crowton was trying to do that year, but it didn't work and resulted in his termination.

2011 - 147.55 QBR 173/279 2135 yards 21 TD 5 INT
... A terrific year by any measure. Unfortunately, we faced the best defense of this decade twice in this season, and the second time, they were madder than a hornet's nest.

2012 - 127.13 QBR 208/356 2607 yards 12 TD 7 INT
... Not a great season, but this team really turned the corner at season's end, finishing with 200+ passing yards in 4 of the last 5 games.

2014 - 128.26 QBR 138/276 2118 yards 17 TD 9 INT
... It was a terrible passing year, aside from some glimmers from Harris. But I don't know what you would have expected from a true soph. QB with 1 career start, a rd. soph. WR with 7 career catches, and a plethora of true freshmen.

I hope I don't need to break down 2005-07 and 2013 for you.
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 7:55 pm
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
130912 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

so you're telling me since 2008, you'd rather have LSU's results? one fewer national title and SEC title?


In a vacuum, anyone would take AU success in that stretch, but how precedented was their success? Some may have expected them to have a big year in 2010, but how certain was 2013?
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

sims put up better overall stats


No he didn't, I posted the stat lines earlier. Mett had a 20 point advantage in Eff Rating and threw for more YPG. Their completion % were the same. Sims threw for more total yards and tds because he played in 14 games vs. 12.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

Auburn won a natty in 2010 and then got back in 2013 since the last time we won a natty.


2007 - LSU SECC, NC
2010 - Aub SECC, NC
2011 - LSU SECC, NC app
2013 - Aub SECC, NC app

Record since 2007:
LSU 81-25 (45-22)
Aub 67-37 (35-31)
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

2014 Sims: 252/391 3487 28 10
2013 Mett: 192/296 3082 22 8

That's a difference of...
60/95 405 yards 6 Touchdowns 2 Interceptions

you left out rushing stats, too

quote:

which basically means that you claim sims put up better stats because he threw the ball 100 times more than Mett did.

again, you left out rushing stats and we need to throw the ball 100 more times (both in regular season and by winning more games)

quote:

2011 - 147.55 QBR 173/279 2135 yards 21 TD 5 INT
... A terrific year by any measure.

quote:

2135 yards


that's in 14 games, right? that's 152.5/per in the modern era

not to mention we couldn't pass for shite against Bama either time or UGA
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
130912 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:57 pm to
Yep, if you want to take AU's more recent success, you would have to live with the 2 losing seasons that came with it in that stretch. Anyone who says that they would not flinch at the thought of handling losing seasons is lying to themselves.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

In a vacuum, anyone would take AU success in that stretch, but how precedented was their success? Some may have expected them to have a big year in 2010, but how certain was 2013?

that's kind of shifting the conversation. somebody made a comment about AU's ability to reload/rebuild and i pointed out their superior success

we have full hindsight for both LSU and Auburn when discussing that (we have to)
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

if you want to take AU's more recent success, you would have to live with the 2 losing seasons that came with it in that stretch. Anyone who says that they would not flinch at the thought of handling losing seasons is lying to themselves.

years like 2008 and 2014 are as bad as losing seasons to me, in all honesty
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:03 pm to
Even with Sims' rushing Alabama only outrushed LSU as a team by 44 carries and 263 yards (2 fewer touchdowns).

But I suppose we should have taken away carries from Jeremy Hill
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22941 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

that's a cute stat but it's meaningless when discussing overall offense. i don't care if we have 1, 2,000 yard receiver or 2, 1,000 yard receivers. regardless it's all the same in terms of team stats

3rd down efficiency is a legit measure with merit, but it's a very limited, situational stat. a truly elite offense doesn't worry as much about 3rd down efficiency because you don't face many of them (and a modern offense doesn't care b/c you should go for it on 4th most times)


You sound frickin retarded man.

quote:

LSU's offense led the nation in third-down efficiency last season by converting for a first down or touchdown 57.1 percent of the time.


quote:

converting for a first down


quote:

or touchdown



quote:

57.1 percent of the time


quote:

jennings' accuracy everywhere was bad. that's why he was sub-50% passing in the modern era (which is more terrible than most people truly imagine)


I said Jennings was awful with his accuracy on intermediate & short throws but don't kid yourself thinking he wasn't accurate on his deep throws. It's the only throws he hit with any consistency.








vs Sam Houston 28 yard TD to Dural

vs Wisconsin 80 yard TD to Dural

vs Wisconsin 44 yard pass to Dural

vs Mississippi State 49 yard pass to Dural.

vs Kentucky 32 yard TD pass to Dural @ 0:40

vs Notre Dame 75 yard TD to Diarse

quote:

and i only bring up sims because even with 2013 being an outlier and our best offense under miles post-jimbo's QBs, because bama had a down year with a throwaway QB and he did better than mett did)














This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 12:47 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

Even with Sims' rushing Alabama only outrushed LSU as a team

...uh

quote:

But I suppose we should have taken away carries from Jeremy Hill

...uh

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476663 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

You sound frickin retarded man.

what does it matter if we have 2 WRs who hit a magical statistical plateau that only even has some sort of significance b/c we use base 10?

and 3rd down efficiency is a very limited measure. it has merit but a very limited applicability

Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22941 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

What the hell is SFP even attempting to argue?


He isn't arguing anything here. He's all over the place in place in here. All he is doing is emptying his bowels on Miles/Cam so he can dick ride Malzahn, Saban & Kiffin. That's the only reason for his presence in this thread.
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