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re: LSU opens as a -14.0 favorite vs Florida

Posted on 11/8/23 at 10:56 am to
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
5128 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 10:56 am to
Guys, Florida has given up 39+ points the last 3 games, and that is not even to mention where they got stomped by Kentucky and Utah. They are not very good.;
Posted by NOSTRODAMUS
Prairieville/Dutchtown
Member since Dec 2003
16346 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:12 am to
If Daniels is 100% it will be like the Auburn game with UF scoring maybe a TD more than Auburn did. They are terrible.
This post was edited on 11/8/23 at 11:14 am
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
100202 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:13 am to
Vegas setting a trap for the degenerates.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
30686 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:19 am to
Take the pts
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
155 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:46 am to
quote:
Taking out a property loan and putting it all on UF +14 if Nuss plays - then will buyout Matt House
----------------------------------------------------
I hate how much I love this
This post was edited on 11/8/23 at 11:54 am
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
51220 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:49 am to
Vegas think Matt House is fired and Daniels is healthy?

Mertz is going to have a career day Saturday.
Posted by theLSUdon17
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Nov 2023
155 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 11:52 am to
As far as Mertz's stats they are a little skewed w most of his passes being short.

Our defense has been tough to watch but to be fair, he had his best games vs Charlotte, Kentucky, Vandy, and South Carolina---none of which are known for their defense.

Florida hasnt been good on the road besides defeating a deflated SC team in a close one.

-14 seems like a lot but I would be all over it if it was a -10. Dont think they will be able to keep up with us whether its JD or the Nuss Bus-- we have too many skilled players on offense
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9306 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 12:00 pm to
JD will play.
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
2591 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 12:16 pm to
Not if Nuss starts, it is even. JD5 starts then yes.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
45972 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 12:21 pm to
The line tells you that Jayden will play. I know everyone will disagree with but I don’t think he ever had a concussion. When they showed him on the sideline and on the field his eyes were never glassy, he never looked confused and he was talking with the trainers and all. I think the concern was because of jaw shot he took and I one was in pain there based on they checking him out on the sideline. If he had a concussion he would be passing these test this fast and the gamblers know this that is why the line has stayed pretty steady
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
27275 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 1:33 pm to
Vegas expects Daniels to play. They also expect LSU will be pissed off. Combined with Florida losing last week to Arkansas, they have no momentum going on the road. Our championship aspirations are over so there is no "ruin their season" angle either.

LSU is best against QBs that can't run and Mertz is not a deep ball thrower at all. He may take a few deep shots, but they are a methodical passing offense that relies on their WRs to make plays in space. They run pretty decently, but they will need to pass and pass a lot to keep up with LSU at home.
Posted by Woodman
Seattle WA
Member since Aug 2009
2022 posts
Posted on 11/8/23 at 1:48 pm to
Our mutual performances vs Arkansas should be pretty telling. We beat Arkansas by 3 at home. Arkansas beats Florida by 3 at Florida. We played defense like crap against Arkansas and I doubt what we now have can't play anything worse against Florida than they did against Arky. Home field usually gets the home team about a field goal.

Doing the math, a "down" day [on the heels of another loss to Alabama causing our normal lull the Saturday-after], give the home team 3 points and you have a lackluster LSU performance with Daniels in at 9 points. Nuss will give us a win, but much more uncomfortably.
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