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LSU Basketball - 9 of first 11 SEC games against Tourney teams
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:36 am
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:36 am
LSU has played arguably the toughest schedule in the conference though 9 games. They have lost 5 of 6 and clearly have been overmatched the past two games against arguably the two best teams in the conference on the road. They now face two more tourney teams (as of today) with Arkansas at home and Florida on the road, meaning 9 of the first 11 SEC games will be against teams currently projected to be in the field by Lunardi. UGA is in the "first 4 out" and Vandy is the only team not near the bubble.
If they can hold serve at home the rest of the way (Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mizzou, Vandy, Miss St) that gets them to 8-10 in the conference. If they can steal a road game (most likely would be UGA or SC) then they get to 9-9 and will be very much in the bubble conversation by seasons end.
Reality is they need to play better to have a shot but wanted to point out that they have had arguably the toughest start to conference play as anybody in the league.
Long way to go but still a lot to play for. Hopefully the fans come out with energy on Saturday.
If they can hold serve at home the rest of the way (Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mizzou, Vandy, Miss St) that gets them to 8-10 in the conference. If they can steal a road game (most likely would be UGA or SC) then they get to 9-9 and will be very much in the bubble conversation by seasons end.
Reality is they need to play better to have a shot but wanted to point out that they have had arguably the toughest start to conference play as anybody in the league.
Long way to go but still a lot to play for. Hopefully the fans come out with energy on Saturday.
This post was edited on 2/1/18 at 11:37 am
3
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:39 am to BayouWolf
While you're not wrong, getting to the NIT this season would be a win.
Especially after only winning 10 games last year.
Especially after only winning 10 games last year.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 11:39 am to BayouWolf
The rest of the home games are winnable.
Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mizzou, Vandy, Miss. State
Win four of those five, and you're at 7 SEC wins, which is a hell of a lot better than last season.
Might not be enough to get into the NIT. I think 18 wins might be the number there, which would mean winning out and home and winning one in the Tournament.
Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mizzou, Vandy, Miss. State
Win four of those five, and you're at 7 SEC wins, which is a hell of a lot better than last season.
Might not be enough to get into the NIT. I think 18 wins might be the number there, which would mean winning out and home and winning one in the Tournament.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 12:39 pm to Santa Clause
I think 7 SEC wins is ceiling for this team now.
May not even get there
May not even get there
Posted on 2/1/18 at 12:50 pm to Santa Clause
Agreed. I think 7 wins likely get NIT but that’s so depended on non-power conference tourneys. Need 9 wins to get to 18-12 to be in serious contention for at large birth to NCAA. First step is winning Saturday and try and get some momentum.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 12:54 pm to Santa Clause
quote:
Might not be enough to get into the NIT. I think 18 wins might be the number there, which would mean winning out and home and winning one in the Tournament.
If they go 7-11 in the league play they will get into the NIT by virtue of the fact they would have multiple "good wins"-- Michigan, Houston, A&M (2x), Arkansas (2x - assuming Ark is one of their final 4 wins) and 3 of those would have come away from home.
I like the OP's optimism, but right now the body language looks really bad. Everyone knew the 4 games after A&M would be VERY tough. The hope was that LSU could somehow find a away to go 2-2 in that stretch. While that is still possible, I don't think anyone expected them to get their doors blown off by both AU and UT. Losses? Sure. Getting run out of the gym? No.
The back end of the schedule looks "easier" but Saturday is a must win and the game at UF may be as well if LSU wants to think about the NCAAT. Now, to be fair, no one should be expecting this team to be a NCAAT team. But until they are completely eliminated from the conversation it's still fun to at least talk about it.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 12:59 pm to BayouWolf
quote:
Agreed. I think 7 wins likely get NIT but that’s so depended on non-power conference tourneys. Need 9 wins to get to 18-12 to be in serious contention for at large birth to NCAA. First step is winning Saturday and try and get some momentum.
Conference tourney will also factor. A win or two there makes the 18 to 20 range much more realistic.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 6:19 pm to BayouWolf
quote:idiots on the sec rant have been gloating over lsu losing and i tried to point this out to them. lsu's 2nd half schedule is significantly easier than the first half. the bama loss is not looking so bad now. vandy just beat tcu.
9 of the first 11 SEC games will be against teams currently projected to be in the field
the fact of the matter is the sec is just really really good this year. it is not surprising at all that wade's improvements are being masked by the strength of the conference.
Posted on 2/1/18 at 6:32 pm to Ignignot
I’m excited to see how it plays out. A W Saturday goes a long way as far as keeping people interested.
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