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Line down to LSU -1, next stop pick-em?

Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:42 pm
Posted by secfballfan
Member since Feb 2016
2903 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:42 pm
LINK

FWIW, saw as high as -4, now -1....
This post was edited on 10/4/18 at 12:42 pm
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
33961 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:43 pm to
Lotta people are fixing to lose some money
Posted by bstew3006
318
Member since Dec 2007
12576 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:44 pm to
I got in at -1, hoping it keeps moving down. I'll double down at +1.

This line moved like crazy last year. Think it opened at LSU -4 and ended at fla -2
Posted by Loaner1231
Member since Jan 2016
3903 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:52 pm to
Thanks for the heads up, gotta lay some coin on Florida.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72674 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:52 pm to
at my SB you can buy points and get it as low as LSU + 0.5 right now.

I will hold off until saturday and if line keeps moving I will double down on LSU. I already have a bet at -1.5

see what happens.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72674 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I got in at -1, hoping it keeps moving down. I'll double down at +1.


that is what i did last week with kentucky. bet on them twice as line went down. Boom!

winners!
Posted by labeast337
Lake Charles
Member since Jun 2018
118 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:54 pm to
Which betting website do you recommend using?
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34902 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 12:56 pm to
For the life of me I can't figure how this line is dropping

This is the first LSU game all year (save for SELA) I actually feel 100% confident in
Posted by Fightin Okra
Member since Nov 2016
5649 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:02 pm to
Last few games have been tight with them. They are kind of starting to roll after loss to KY. And, odds makers probably think LSU is looking ahead to UGA
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51228 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:03 pm to
Someone doesnt know how lines work...
Posted by MaHittaMaHitta
Member since May 2014
3182 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:06 pm to
I use bovada (bovada . lv). It's simple but there is a small fee and they actually mail you a check when you cash out so it take a week to get your money.
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7346 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

They are kind of starting to roll after loss to KY



No they aren't. 13PTS against state isn't rolling
Posted by AnthonyWC70788
Plaquemine, LA
Member since Jan 2013
2661 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:25 pm to
Is that what everyone uses? Just wondering because I am interested in getting into it.
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11651 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:29 pm to
If it flips, I'm putting money. Also gonna hammer the under.

Easy. Money.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

For the life of me I can't figure how this line is dropping


Do you mean how or why?

How is fairly straightforward. If 68% of the bets have come down on LSU's side and the lines moving towards UF, then that means UF is getting a smaller number of larger bets which is pushing the line down.

Typically smaller bets = public and larger bets = sharps. Sharps saw value at LSU -3 and jumped on it. That's all they're about, finding value. They're not predicting UF to beat LSU. The implicit comment being made is that LSU is not a 68% favorite to win in this situation.
This post was edited on 10/4/18 at 1:33 pm
Posted by cajunbuck
R-KANSAS
Member since Sep 2017
997 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Is that what everyone uses? Just wondering because I am interested in getting into it.


its not a bad option IF you can't find a local. most "private" guys are set up online nowadays, the same type of site as bovada etc.. also though, most locals won't, or don't like to take 1 bet here or there... they want a weekly player, so if you're not gonna be a regular it may be easier to sign up with one of those type places


sometimes it can be a nightmare getting your money from one of those sites, especially should you get way up on them.
This post was edited on 10/4/18 at 1:34 pm
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:33 pm to
Still -2 on my book and I took it.

General public and the big hitters in Vegas are underestimating LSU because of who our head coach is. That's just a fact. Just like the media before the season.

Even if we destroyed Florida by 30 points, we'd still be a big underdog to UGA at home next weekend.

Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:33 pm to
Line for ole miss also kept dropping. How’d that work out
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

its not a bad option IF you can't find a local. most "private" guys are set up online nowadays, the same type of site as bovada etc.

sometimes it can be a nightmare getting your money from one of those sites, especially should you get way up on them.



Those sites like Bovada are usually late posting their lines and like you said, they can be a huge pain in the arse to cash out with.

My guy uses a website that has a mobile site/app that is great and opens as early as Vegas does for most action. Its the best setup I've had.

He also uses paypal/venmo for payouts. Its super fricking easy.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 10/4/18 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Line for ole miss also kept dropping. How’d that work out


On the other hand we didn't cover vs SELA or Tech.
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