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Started By
Message
re: Latest D1 regional projection
Posted on 5/28/23 at 6:21 pm to NewBR
Posted on 5/28/23 at 6:21 pm to NewBR
quote:
The NCAA covers travel costs. Which is why they will bus Nichols to Baton Rouge. Tulane can go anywhere — would not be shocked to see Stanford or BC.
Stanford will get one of the West Coast auto qualifiers like Santa Clara or San Jose State.
0
Posted on 5/28/23 at 6:27 pm to NewBR
quote:
Tulane can go anywhere - would not be shocked to see Stanford or BC.
TU's one of the weakest 4's while Nicholls is on paper one of the better 4 seeds and travel to each of those sites is roughly equal for the NCAA to pay for both TU and Nicholls. while we may not deserve it, ultimately think TU comes to BR while Nicholls goes to Bama or Auburn. If ULL gets in I think they come to BR too but with the bid-stealing I'm not so sure they have a spot anymore
quote:
Who would be some of the weaker 2 seeds
From that list, NCSU will 100% be a 3 if they get in at all. I don't really think anyone in the P12 is that good but would probably want one of the Oregon schools. UNC isn't that great this year. Maryland isn't that bad of a matchup if we end up getting them, even though they are pretty hot right now
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 6:33 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 6:43 pm to bubbz
Tcu
Oregon
Boston college
Texas am
Southern miss
Are the weakest ones i have
Texas am, boston college and oregon being the weakest
With that said, im going to be adding some factors to my model this week that may sway some of it
Oregon
Boston college
Texas am
Southern miss
Are the weakest ones i have
Texas am, boston college and oregon being the weakest
With that said, im going to be adding some factors to my model this week that may sway some of it
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 6:46 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 6:56 pm to AUFANATL
quote:
Tulane has a terrible RPI - they lost 40 games and stole a bid on the final weekend. They will not be rewarded with a bus ride to their regional. Some of these 4-seeds are gonna have to charter a plane - might as well make Tulane, especially when they are a "rich" school compared to Nicholls.
You have demonstrated that you have zero knowledge of how any of this works.
1) If the NCAA feels like putting Tulane on a bus to BR, they will. It doesn't matter if LSU is a 1 seed or a 16 seed. And they don't care what Tulane's record or RPI is. A lot of the bracket is geography-based and not merit-based.
2) Tulane being "rich" compared to Nicholls is just as asinine. The NCAA pays for all the travel for post season.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:01 pm to LSUGrad9295
Tulane seems like they should be sent to Wake or Florida. They will be team 63 or 64, so it would make sense to send them to the top teams. Nicholls seems like our 4.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:05 pm to DRock88
quote:
Tulane seems like they should be sent to Wake or Florida. They will be team 63 or 64, so it would make sense to send them to the top teams.
Once again, NO, that isn't how it works.
The NCAA doesn't give a flying frick about making sure #1 seed plays #64 seed. Literally zero fricks given. None. It has been that way since day 1 of the current baseball format
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 7:06 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:07 pm to LSUGrad9295
quote:Geography people. Not RPI and seeding. Sometimes geography doesn’t fit and you’ll have a team from the south go to the west coast.
The NCAA doesn't give a flying frick about making sure #1 seed plays #64 seed. Literally zero fricks given. None. It has been that way since day 1 of the current baseball format
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 7:10 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:08 pm to DRock88
Florida will get Florida A&M from the SWAC.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:09 pm to LSUGrad9295
Tulane will be in one of the top 5 teams' regionals due to their poor record/RPI and also because of geographics. The committee absolutely doesn't ignore rankings, record, RPI, etc. It's not just about geography. In fact, they'll sometimes completely ignore geography, but never actual metrics.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:10 pm to DRock88
That’s not how it works. Thats why it is called Regional. They will come here or somewhere like Ark or Auburn. Sometimes they will send them out West though if they need a team.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:15 pm to DRock88
quote:
Tulane will be in one of the top 5 teams' regionals due to their poor record/RPI and also because of geographics. The committee absolutely doesn't ignore rankings, record, RPI, etc. It's not just about geography. In fact, they'll sometimes completely ignore geography, but never actual metrics.
You contradicted yourself 3 times here.
If LSU is the number 1 overall seed, Tulane could get sent here because they are 1 hour down the road.
If LSU is the number 6 seed, Tulane could get sent here because they are 1 hour down the road.
If LSU is the number 11 seed, Tulane could get sent here because they are 1 hour down the road.
If LSU is the number 16 seed, Tulane could get sent here because they are 1 hour down the road.
Do you see a pattern here? The NCAA will assign the 4-seed in each regional based on geographic convenience. ZERO metrics are involved.
It is physically impossible to put every 4 seed close to a host school, but they will put as many as they can on a bus.
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 7:16 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:16 pm to DRock88
You have 16 1’s 2’s 3’s and 4 seeds. The 1 seeds are set. Now they try and fill in the rest geographically. Most of the times the teams are close to home. Sometimes they’re not. Only so many “seeds” to fill the spots.
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 7:17 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:21 pm to DRock88
That's not how it works. We're getting either Nicholls or Tulane.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:22 pm to LSUGrad9295
If LSU was outside of the top 8, they wouldn't send a 40 loss team here. Tulane would go to the nearest of the top 8. Arky, Florida, and Vanderbilt all have a chance of getting Tulane....along with LSU, but I still don't think they send us a 40 loss team when they could send them to a higher seed and send us Nicholls or UL.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:23 pm to DRock88
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:24 pm to DRock88
quote:
If LSU was outside of the top 8, they wouldn't send a 40 loss team here.
Goddam, dude. Just take the "L" and stop talking. You have no clue, several of us have told you you have no clue, yet you still have no clue that you have no clue.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:26 pm to LSUGrad9295
So, you think they would send a 40 loss team here if we were outside of the top 8? And many believe that? Got it. That doesn't make it accurate.
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:27 pm to Allthatfades
Going to be that guy throwing betting odds into every conversation.
Can't believe Clemson is still such a longshot. Easily the hottest team in the country right now.
Can't believe Clemson is still such a longshot. Easily the hottest team in the country right now.
This post was edited on 5/28/23 at 7:30 pm
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:30 pm to KamaCausey_LSU
Still 2nd best favorite.. suck it negas
Posted on 5/28/23 at 7:30 pm to DRock88
ULL is a 3 seed if they get in, easy. Florida will prolly end up with FAMU to save on travel, same with Vandy getting like Lipscomb or Wright St or something. Arky maybe but one of the Alabama schools will need a 4 too (assuming Samford goes to one of them). that's where I think probably Nicholls will end up
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