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re: Here is how the NY6 is going to break down.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:10 pm to TexasTiger08
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:10 pm to TexasTiger08
quote:
I’m willing to bet that a Northwestern win over Ohio State bumps the Bucks below LSU. Committee has not been in favor of OSU this year. If they drop that far, LSU still in mix for a NY6 bowl
That's a good point and is possible. The committee has loved LSU, so I wouldn't say OSU losing and dropping below LSU is impossible. If that happens it changes all my scenarios that have OSU in the Fiesta/Peach to a OSU/LSU scenario. One gets in and the other does not.
Regardless we would be in a tough spot if we are having to depend on that.
1
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:37 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
It seems likely UCF will get their over hyped arse kicked. This does nothing to help or hurt LSU. Simply insert the Boise/Fresno winner into the UCF slots in the OP.
It does, however, make predicting LSU's destination between Fiesta and Peach a little easier. Boise/Fresno would almost certainly go to Fiesta. We weren't sure if UCF would go back to Peach or be sent to Arizona.
It does, however, make predicting LSU's destination between Fiesta and Peach a little easier. Boise/Fresno would almost certainly go to Fiesta. We weren't sure if UCF would go back to Peach or be sent to Arizona.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:39 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
quote:
We weren't sure if UCF would go back to Peach or be sent to Arizona.
True, but I think it was unlikely they'd send UCF to Atlanta for the second year in a row.
I think Georgia and Alabama in the playoff means LSU to the Peach
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:44 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
True, but I think it was unlikely they'd send UCF to Atlanta for the second year in a row.
Well not sending them back to the Peach would be one of the deciding factors.
Another factor would be a potential UF/UCF match up. That one, along with LSU/Michigan, both made sense match up wise. What wouldn't make sense is sending UF and UCF to Arizona though, with Atlanta being right there.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:51 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Why even play conference championship games?
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:52 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
How are they going to seed the top 4 if Bama stays in?
1) Clemson
2) Georgia
3) Notre Dame
4) Alabama
Clemson getting fricked for the second year in a row by having to face Bama in the first round.
1) Clemson
2) Georgia
3) Notre Dame
4) Alabama
Clemson getting fricked for the second year in a row by having to face Bama in the first round.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:52 pm to PUB
quote:
Why even play conference championship games?
Why not play them?
Posted on 12/1/18 at 4:55 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
How are they going to seed the top 4 if Bama stays in?
Probably how you had it. Clemson does kind of get screwed, but you were going to have to beat them to win it anyway. OU really gets screwed, because they get left at home.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:16 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
RA'd for sticky
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:36 pm to tigerfan84
Another possible situation, if UGA beats Bama and both Bama and UGA make the playoffs, is if the committee would bump us ahead of UF, thus sending LSU to the Sugar.
I don't think it's likely. I don't think the Georgia win will be viewed as a bigger deal than the head to head, but it is possible.
I don't think it's likely. I don't think the Georgia win will be viewed as a bigger deal than the head to head, but it is possible.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:38 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
quote:
I don't think the Georgia win will be viewed as a bigger deal than the head to head, but it is possible.
Conference championships won, Head-to-head victories, performance against common opponents, and other relevant factors are all listed as "tie-breakers" when resumes are seen as equal.
Doesn't necessarily say any one is more important than the other. Committee can basically do whatever they want.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:39 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Considering we’re playing Texas next year I’d bet not unless WVU gets that spot?
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:41 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
quote:
Another possible situation, if UGA beats Bama and both Bama and UGA make the playoffs, is if the committee would bump us ahead of UF, thus sending LSU to the Sugar. I don't think it's likely. I don't think the Georgia win will be viewed as a bigger deal than the head to head, but it is possible.
I don’t think it likely either but who knows what goes on in that room. I can see a conversation where someone asks do they keep Florida ahead of LSU. If it gets brought up and someone pushes that LSU has by far the better win and their head to head gets pushed aside because it was a close loss on the road then who knows. It’s only one spot, I don’t see why people would say absolutely no chance.
This post was edited on 12/1/18 at 5:43 pm
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:43 pm to Draconian Sanctions
I’m beginning to think Bama doesn’t get in CFP if they lose. ND is in, Clemson is in with a win. If OSU, UGA, and OU win they’ll all have the same record as Bama and will have won their conferences.
But if Bama is left out I think LSU is still good for a NY6 bowl right? Per the OP
But if Bama is left out I think LSU is still good for a NY6 bowl right? Per the OP
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:47 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
Conference championships won, Head-to-head victories, performance against common opponents, and other relevant factors are all listed as "tie-breakers" when resumes are seen as equal.
Doesn't necessarily say any one is more important than the other. Committee can basically do whatever they want.
Yeah I know. Not basing it on anything except my opinion. You can certainly make a case for either way.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:48 pm to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Considering we’re playing Texas next year I’d bet not unless WVU gets that spot?
It will have nothing to do with playing UT next year. If we are ranked higher than UF then we have to be in Sugar if Georgia/Bama are both in the playoffs.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 5:52 pm to sweetwaterbilly
quote:
I’m beginning to think Bama doesn’t get in CFP if they lose
If it's down to Bama, OU, OSU, you have...
Records- all the same
Conference championship - OU and OSU (although the committee has already shown this doesn't mean shite)
Loss- Bama will have the best loss. OSU by far the worst.
Best win- Bama and OSU are almost equal here with LSU and Michigan.
I think OSU's loss, plus their close calls against shitty teams eliminates them.
So it comes down to Bama and OU. I think you will start hearing all about the eye test, and Bama gets in.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 6:52 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Updated original post.
At this point you can pretty much say as long as Ohio State wins LSU is in.
If Northwestern wins then you have to hope the committee picks a 3 loss LSU over a 2 loss Ohio State.
At this point you can pretty much say as long as Ohio State wins LSU is in.
If Northwestern wins then you have to hope the committee picks a 3 loss LSU over a 2 loss Ohio State.
Posted on 12/1/18 at 7:01 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Yeah if Northwestern wins we don't make NY6
As of now:
Sugar: Texas/WVU vs. Georgia
Rose: Ohio State vs. Washington
Peach: Florida vs. Michigan
Fiesta: LSU vs. UCF
If Northwestern wins:
Sugar: Texas/WVU vs. Georgia
Rose: Northwestern vs. Washington
Peach: Florida vs. Ohio State
Fiesta: Michigan vs. UCF
As of now:
Sugar: Texas/WVU vs. Georgia
Rose: Ohio State vs. Washington
Peach: Florida vs. Michigan
Fiesta: LSU vs. UCF
If Northwestern wins:
Sugar: Texas/WVU vs. Georgia
Rose: Northwestern vs. Washington
Peach: Florida vs. Ohio State
Fiesta: Michigan vs. UCF
This post was edited on 12/1/18 at 7:04 pm
Posted on 12/1/18 at 7:05 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
Yeah if Northwestern wins we don't make NY6
What's worse, dropping two games to Purdue and Northwestern or three to Bama (playoffs), UGA (super close to playoff) and aTm in a 7 OT shite fest?
Not sure if it's my purple and gold glasses, but I would say LSU has accomplished more.
I don't think they move ahead of OSU though.
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