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ESPN has us 2nd in SEC west, 12% chance to win SEC, Bama/USC to win
Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:51 am
Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:51 am
2. LSU Tigers
Projected finish: 9-3 (6-2)
Chance to win SEC: 12 percent
Chance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 6 percent
LSU has a number of holes to fill from last season, but the projection model favors teams in transition that don't rely too heavily on production from the quarterback position. LSU had 53 percent of its production come from the quarterback (national average is 63 percent), and combined with a strong recruiting profile and program strength, the Tigers project to be in good shape. The schedule presents enough challenges to likely keep LSU out of the national championship hunt, however, with games against Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three). But LSU has won at least nine games in eight of Les Miles' nine seasons in Baton Rouge, and he can get to that threshold once again.
Projected finish: 9-3 (6-2)
Chance to win SEC: 12 percent
Chance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 6 percent
LSU has a number of holes to fill from last season, but the projection model favors teams in transition that don't rely too heavily on production from the quarterback position. LSU had 53 percent of its production come from the quarterback (national average is 63 percent), and combined with a strong recruiting profile and program strength, the Tigers project to be in good shape. The schedule presents enough challenges to likely keep LSU out of the national championship hunt, however, with games against Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three). But LSU has won at least nine games in eight of Les Miles' nine seasons in Baton Rouge, and he can get to that threshold once again.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:53 am to lsuallsportsfan
That is a good objective projection and analysis. I'll disagree with this
But good overall. I think we go 9-3 as well.. but we have the talent and potential to make some noise. But next year and the year after we are set up to make serious runs at a NC.
quote:
Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three)
But good overall. I think we go 9-3 as well.. but we have the talent and potential to make some noise. But next year and the year after we are set up to make serious runs at a NC.
This post was edited on 5/1/14 at 7:58 am
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:08 am to PhiTiger1764
quote:
But good overall. I think we go 9-3 as well.. but we have the talent and potential to make some noise. But next year and the year after we are set up to make serious runs at a NC.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:32 am to lsuallsportsfan
Bama can suck that Tiger dick bitch
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:36 am to lsuallsportsfan
Not a bad prediction. We won't lose to Wisconsin though because of talent differential, and I do think we finally beat Alabama this year. I think we lose at Auburn and Florida but win the rest...with a scare at Texas A&M.
This post was edited on 5/1/14 at 8:37 am
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:39 am to lsuallsportsfan
You could almost replace LSU with Alabama in that paragraph and have it still be true, yet they predict Bama to win the SEC.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:40 am to lsuallsportsfan
quote:
Bama/USC to win
This is just obnoxious
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:41 am to ragincajunkarl
quote:
I think we lose at Auburn and Florida but win the rest...with a scare at Texas A&M.
Florida looked pretty bad last year, they would have to improve a lot.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:48 am to ragincajunkarl
The west will be a blood bath. LSU, bama, Auburn and Ole Miss are all good. That said we have just as good a chance as anyone else.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:01 am to lsuallsportsfan
speaking only of the E (for general discussion purposes), the USC prediction is almost a no brainer except it discounts Missouri as a fluke.
UGA is in a similar position as Bama, FL has it's struggles, and Tenn ain't challenging anyone.
By the way, I think the difference in predicting finishes is based off of us losing Hill. They are keeping their backfield in place and just gaining experience. That being said, we all know what LF is capable of but more significantly they are underrating Magee.
So I say LSU is capable of finishing 1st in the W. But this year you can't have any AR/OM stumbles along the way and do that. It would have to be 2011'ish type season (and defense).
UGA is in a similar position as Bama, FL has it's struggles, and Tenn ain't challenging anyone.
By the way, I think the difference in predicting finishes is based off of us losing Hill. They are keeping their backfield in place and just gaining experience. That being said, we all know what LF is capable of but more significantly they are underrating Magee.
So I say LSU is capable of finishing 1st in the W. But this year you can't have any AR/OM stumbles along the way and do that. It would have to be 2011'ish type season (and defense).
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:04 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
Ole Miss
Replace this with Moo State and you've got a winner. Ole Miss is not good
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:08 am to Guava Jelly
I think 8&4 sorry, just to many questions on this years team. I hope I am wrong but that's how I see it!
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:09 am to Guava Jelly
quote:might want to rethink this.
Replace this with Moo State and you've got a winner. Ole Miss is not good
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:09 am to PhiTiger1764
quote:
Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three)
That is a bit out there. For that to be the case that means they give LSU ~22% chance to win each game.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:13 am to lsuallsportsfan
So basically a 12% chance we play in the national championship. It's been a long time since the SEC champ didn't play in it.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:25 am to lsuallsportsfan
10-2, losses at auburn and UF
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:49 am to lsuallsportsfan
sounds bout right... 2nd or 3rd imo.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:58 am to lsuallsportsfan
2nd or 3rd in the SECW sounds about right. Just depends on how the ball bounces in our favor. I think AUB won't be nearly as explosive this season as most people think.
Posted on 5/1/14 at 11:14 am to KamaCausey_LSU
quote:
So basically a 12% chance we play in the national championship. It's been a long time since the SEC champ didn't play in it.
And it'll be even more likely going forward, with the opportunity for 4 teams to play for the title.
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