Started By
Message

ESPN has us 2nd in SEC west, 12% chance to win SEC, Bama/USC to win

Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:51 am
Posted by lsuallsportsfan
WBR Parish
Member since Jun 2013
333 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:51 am
2. LSU Tigers
Projected finish: 9-3 (6-2)
Chance to win SEC: 12 percent
Chance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 6 percent



LSU has a number of holes to fill from last season, but the projection model favors teams in transition that don't rely too heavily on production from the quarterback position. LSU had 53 percent of its production come from the quarterback (national average is 63 percent), and combined with a strong recruiting profile and program strength, the Tigers project to be in good shape. The schedule presents enough challenges to likely keep LSU out of the national championship hunt, however, with games against Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three). But LSU has won at least nine games in eight of Les Miles' nine seasons in Baton Rouge, and he can get to that threshold once again.
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13847 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 7:53 am to
That is a good objective projection and analysis. I'll disagree with this
quote:

Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three)

But good overall. I think we go 9-3 as well.. but we have the talent and potential to make some noise. But next year and the year after we are set up to make serious runs at a NC.
This post was edited on 5/1/14 at 7:58 am
Posted by 2007lsuno1
Marietta, GA
Member since Aug 2009
6692 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:08 am to
quote:

But good overall. I think we go 9-3 as well.. but we have the talent and potential to make some noise. But next year and the year after we are set up to make serious runs at a NC.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:31 am to
reasonable.
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:32 am to
Bama can suck that Tiger dick bitch
Posted by ragincajunkarl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2012
568 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:36 am to
Not a bad prediction. We won't lose to Wisconsin though because of talent differential, and I do think we finally beat Alabama this year. I think we lose at Auburn and Florida but win the rest...with a scare at Texas A&M.
This post was edited on 5/1/14 at 8:37 am
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73408 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:39 am to
You could almost replace LSU with Alabama in that paragraph and have it still be true, yet they predict Bama to win the SEC.
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11651 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:40 am to
quote:

Bama/USC to win

This is just obnoxious
Posted by TigerNlc
Chocolate City
Member since Jun 2006
32487 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:41 am to
quote:

I think we lose at Auburn and Florida but win the rest...with a scare at Texas A&M.

Florida looked pretty bad last year, they would have to improve a lot.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
23965 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 8:48 am to
The west will be a blood bath. LSU, bama, Auburn and Ole Miss are all good. That said we have just as good a chance as anyone else.
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
12854 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:01 am to
speaking only of the E (for general discussion purposes), the USC prediction is almost a no brainer except it discounts Missouri as a fluke.

UGA is in a similar position as Bama, FL has it's struggles, and Tenn ain't challenging anyone.

By the way, I think the difference in predicting finishes is based off of us losing Hill. They are keeping their backfield in place and just gaining experience. That being said, we all know what LF is capable of but more significantly they are underrating Magee.

So I say LSU is capable of finishing 1st in the W. But this year you can't have any AR/OM stumbles along the way and do that. It would have to be 2011'ish type season (and defense).
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11651 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Ole Miss

Replace this with Moo State and you've got a winner. Ole Miss is not good
Posted by cajunjj
Madison, AL
Member since May 2008
7427 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:08 am to
I think 8&4 sorry, just to many questions on this years team. I hope I am wrong but that's how I see it!



Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Replace this with Moo State and you've got a winner. Ole Miss is not good

might want to rethink this.
Posted by Philip J. Fry
Member since Jul 2012
66 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Wisconsin, Auburn and Alabama standing in the way (47 percent chance of losing all three)


That is a bit out there. For that to be the case that means they give LSU ~22% chance to win each game.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14473 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:13 am to
So basically a 12% chance we play in the national championship. It's been a long time since the SEC champ didn't play in it.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
29937 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:25 am to
10-2, losses at auburn and UF
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43055 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:49 am to
sounds bout right... 2nd or 3rd imo.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
78878 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 9:58 am to
2nd or 3rd in the SECW sounds about right. Just depends on how the ball bounces in our favor. I think AUB won't be nearly as explosive this season as most people think.
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15553 posts
Posted on 5/1/14 at 11:14 am to
quote:

So basically a 12% chance we play in the national championship. It's been a long time since the SEC champ didn't play in it.


And it'll be even more likely going forward, with the opportunity for 4 teams to play for the title.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram