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Started By
Message
re: Clemson vs LSU (Vegas Discussion Only)
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:08 pm to Rolling Stoned
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:08 pm to Rolling Stoned
Sooo...You put money on the Tigers. Good Bet!
0
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:11 pm to Rolling Stoned
Note: I should have said earlier I think the most points that could be scored is 37-28 score.
I just don't think LSU is gonna hang 45 on Clemson! Can they? I guess. Sure. Maybe.
But I also think Clemson will try and slow the pace, shorten the game and play ball control. Yes, Ohio State slowed down Clemson but that was based on the OSU dominant DL I just don't think that is out strength!!!!
I just don't think LSU is gonna hang 45 on Clemson! Can they? I guess. Sure. Maybe.
But I also think Clemson will try and slow the pace, shorten the game and play ball control. Yes, Ohio State slowed down Clemson but that was based on the OSU dominant DL I just don't think that is out strength!!!!
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:12 pm to Rolling Stoned
Good analysis, you put in work for sure. First thing is don't bet with your heart which you aren't doing. Unless it's a small wager for shite talking purposes then Geaux fricking Tigers!!
It's hard to pick winners ATS so if you trust your research your guess is as good as anyone else's. Good luck!
It's hard to pick winners ATS so if you trust your research your guess is as good as anyone else's. Good luck!
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:13 pm to Rolling Stoned
quote:
Note 75% of the $ on LSU and 85% of the tickets. Those numbers are a bad sign for LSU backers!!!
sounds like good news for LSU fans...
not sure why these numbers would suggest LSU won't cover or win the game
the Money line is -200 LSU and Clemson is +180....that's a massive difference...a great deal of confidence going to LSU in this one...
what say you?
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:14 pm to Rolling Stoned
?? for some LSU experts
Who will be matched up on Etienne out of the backfield?
And who would Clemson want Etienne to be matched up on?
I love TE and I think he will wreck us on a few plays.
Who will be matched up on Etienne out of the backfield?
And who would Clemson want Etienne to be matched up on?
I love TE and I think he will wreck us on a few plays.
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:15 pm to LNCHBOX
Probably the same percentage wise. But that line went from 10 to 14 by kickoff.
This line hasnt moved at all. In fact, its fluctuated down from 6 to 5.5 and back and forth.
That is telling.
This line hasnt moved at all. In fact, its fluctuated down from 6 to 5.5 and back and forth.
That is telling.
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:17 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
This line hasnt moved at all. In fact, its fluctuated down from 6 to 5.5 and back and forth.
That's not what Ott was saying on his show today, and I trust his degenerate-ness over yours
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:17 pm to Rolling Stoned
Im only suggesting the public rarely wins at a consistent rate Which LSU is 1000% the Public play!
See Saints and Saints OVER last week!! Ill bet everything i have ever won or LOST lol, that 90% of the bettors here lost on that game!
But the public wins alot, just not the majority!
See Saints and Saints OVER last week!! Ill bet everything i have ever won or LOST lol, that 90% of the bettors here lost on that game!
But the public wins alot, just not the majority!
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:19 pm to Rolling Stoned
Well the future line (meaning before the Semi-Final games) was Clemson -1.5 over LSU
So yes, any bookmaker will need Clemson to win this game Teasers, $ line parlays, etc. To much liability on LSU
FYI I ll put my degenerate-ness up against anyone LOL
So yes, any bookmaker will need Clemson to win this game Teasers, $ line parlays, etc. To much liability on LSU
FYI I ll put my degenerate-ness up against anyone LOL
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:19 pm to ApexTiger
quote:
sounds like good news for LSU fans...
not sure why these numbers would suggest LSU won't cover or win the game
You don’t know much about gambling do you?
Those percentages say the “public”, casual betters not the pros are heavy on LSU. No one ever went broke betting against the public. Now please note that doesn’t mean the “public” is always wrong so maybe the public wins and the books get hammered, that happens just not as often as the other way.
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:22 pm to Rolling Stoned
There are key numbers in gambling 3, 6, 7 are all key numbers 10 and 14 are others as well
So you rarely see numbers "go through" key numbers. There are thousands of bettors that will just bet numbers for a living.
It is prob why you will NOT see KC over Houston go to -10 (its at 9.5) The second it goes to 10 EVERY Houston bettor will pounce on that number
If that makes sense
So you rarely see numbers "go through" key numbers. There are thousands of bettors that will just bet numbers for a living.
It is prob why you will NOT see KC over Houston go to -10 (its at 9.5) The second it goes to 10 EVERY Houston bettor will pounce on that number
If that makes sense
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:24 pm to Rolling Stoned
quote:
Under 69.5
There’s no chance in hell the under hits in this game. #1 and #3 scoring offenses, back to back #1 overall picks, 2 1-2 round RBs, at least 4 first round WRs, 2 good OLs, and 2 defenses that aren’t all that special
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:27 pm to Rolling Stoned
Etienne scares me as well. OSU took bad angles on him because his burst and speed is significantly better than it appears to be. We have a history of taking bad angles this season. We have to stay away from that and I think we'll be ok. I have to think Queen will have to come up big stopping him, or at least slowing him down so others can wrap him up.
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:29 pm to joeyheisman9
Joey Sounds like you need to put down some Euros on the OVER!
What do you think the final score is gonna be?
What do you think the final score is gonna be?
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:31 pm to Rolling Stoned
Tiger Bite: I thought Queen did some spying on Hurts and I think I would prefer him spying on TL. I dont think Etienne is gonna just run the ball on us
However, I think he will be dangerous in space and catching the ball Those 2 plays he made in the 2nd half vs OSU were simply IMPRESSIVE
However, I think he will be dangerous in space and catching the ball Those 2 plays he made in the 2nd half vs OSU were simply IMPRESSIVE
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:37 pm to Rolling Stoned
Oh, you live in Vegas! That automatically makes you an expert! Just like living in Manhattan makes you an expert in futures trading. 
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:39 pm to Rolling Stoned
My novice first instinct was LSU -5.5 and the over. Thinking 42-31 final. Clemson will score, not just because they have a highly ranked offense (which didn't work for OU), but because they are much more complete. That said, LSU can counter any team in the country in scoring, especially right now, so I expect it to be somewhat of a shootout.
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:39 pm to Rolling Stoned
If LSU gets up by two tds, what happens to the ball control/shorten the game approach?
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:50 pm to LNCHBOX
I mean ok...go for it.
I checked it 15 minutes after the end of the clemson game on my book and have looked 3-5 times a day since then.
"I mean come on...charlie....right....???"
I checked it 15 minutes after the end of the clemson game on my book and have looked 3-5 times a day since then.
"I mean come on...charlie....right....???"
Posted on 1/9/20 at 5:14 pm to Rolling Stoned
42-28 LSU
I can’t play the o/u on this game. I’m all in LSU to cover first half again.
I can’t play the o/u on this game. I’m all in LSU to cover first half again.
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