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re: Analyzing Lee's Throws (With Screenshots)

Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:47 pm to
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:47 pm to
I knew someone would bring up McElroy's BCSNCG performance!

If Lee can play like McElroy (smart, decisive), I'll feel pretty good.

I do think we ask a little more from our QBs than Alabama does (at least we have in the past). Should be interesting to see if they change that though.
Posted by Housplants
Germantown, TN
Member since Dec 2006
1464 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

We are now not allowed to criticize Lee because "he's been through so much.


I never said he should not be criticized. I think criticism should be given when it is earned. Under the circumstances of last night's game, he played a pretty good game...not great...good. After a few balls were dropped, he had a stretch of 3-4 passes that were poorly thrown. He then overcame his difficulties and threw balls that were catchable for the rest of the game.

He had less than two weeks of taking snaps with the 1s, and none of those snaps were really live (without a green jersey).

I think he should have a chance to get some snaps under his belt before he is held to the standard that you are suggesting here. To say that a dropped on target throw that is not a perfect spiral is not the receivers fault is taking things a bit far, IMHO.
Posted by tenacious
Dallas, Texas
Member since Sep 2003
2029 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:49 pm to
I agree completely with your concerns about Lee throwing off of his back foot. If he keeps it up, it's going to catch up with him in SEC play. As far as the rest of your analysis, I don't think I agree. I thought Lee placed the ball pretty well all night. He gave our receivers a good chance to make catches, but he did so without giving Oregon's defenders good opportunities for takeaways.

Given the circumstances, I thought he played well. I'm extremely happy for the kid, and I think this game will give him and the team a lot of confidence. He's got some work to do, but I'm confident that he'll learn from this. I thought he showed nice touch, which is something that JJ has consistently struggled with.

BTW - Ford didn't appear to be looking back. He certainly didn't whip his head around toward Lee. He turned his head at an angle, but it looked to me that he was looking sideways and not back. Just the way I saw it.

Thanks for the work on this post. Good job.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89785 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:51 pm to
quote:

He still looked more composed than JJ did all season.


quote:

He looked far less composed than JJ.




Are we going to dissect how "composed" a QB "looks" during a game? You cannot see his face nor tell what he is thinking. That goes for JJ and JL and any other QB. Our fanbase is nuts!

JL throws off of his backfoot, but that does not mean he lacks composure. GTFO with that shite.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:53 pm to
quote:

To say that a dropped on target throw that is not a perfect spiral is not the receivers fault is taking things a bit far, IMHO.


I said as much; it is a bit of over thinking.

I don't dislike Jarrett Lee. I don't want him to fail. I didn't start this thread to say he sucks.

I think the difference in me and some other posters is that I'm leaning skeptical based on history and others are being optimistic about him going forward. I just don't think that way. It's burned me 3 times in 3 years. 1 with Lee, 2x with JJ.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:54 pm to
This is a great solid and nice post. Like a good shite, shower and shave to start the day.
Posted by Housplants
Germantown, TN
Member since Dec 2006
1464 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

Why? Throwing a catch-able ball is a pretty known commodity in QBs...


Have you ever watched Peyton Manning play?

He throws many (probably more than 50%) wobbly passes. He throws them on time and in target, and his receivers catch em. And, if they don't, they know it is on them.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89785 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

I'm curious to see what happens with JJ. Not because I want him to start, but because I think Lee has a fragile ego, and even the presence of Jefferson could affect him at this point


There may be some merit to that argument. If JJ comes back this week, do you think we put him in there to start against NWST? I think that if JJ has only barely separated himself from JL during the offseason, you should still go with JL as long as he practices well this week and looks good against NWST. If JJ was the far superior QB in the offseason, and you bring him back this week, you better play him.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:55 pm to
quote:

I thought he showed nice touch, which is something that JJ has consistently struggled with.


He definitely has that. And I was happy to see that.

Throwing off the back foot can and will lead to issues, but can be worked on. My main concerns with that are that 1) he has, in the past, tried to force throws into tight coverage and while his arm is decent it's not strong enough for that. and 2) it will continue to lead to his deep ball being underthrown.

Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

If JJ comes back this week, do you think we put him in there to start against NWST?


Na, I think Miles will roll with Lee going forward. This isn't an RP situation where he's clearly superior so you try to turn a blind eye because you NEED him.

I think he'll make JJ suffer in banland for a while... a few weeks even. He's stubborn and he wants to make a statement. And then he may give him a chance to work back into play... as a runner.
Posted by King Joey
Just south of the DC/US border
Member since Mar 2004
12533 posts
Posted on 9/4/11 at 11:58 pm to
Dan, did you notice that you applied a standard where every incomplete pass that was not absolutely perfectly placed was not considered a drop? I'm not sure if this is intentional, but if it is you should realize that no one has ever relevantly judged a passing game by that standard. Every ball that hits the hands of a receiver is a drop, even the ones that are not thrown well. Some are more excuseable drops (like when it took an amazing feat just to get your hands on it), but the fact that a receiver has to slow his momentum to position for a pass that is slightly behind him does not usually excuse it from being a drop.

Yes, I think your analysis is extremely harsh on Lee, as I don't believe any QB in the game would have more than about 40% of their passes qualify as "good throws" by your standard. Far less than half of Andrew Luck's throws hit the receiver perfectly in stride in the exact preferred hand location for the route. It's just not going to happen, no matter how good your QB is.

Also, why do you believe he checked into that running play right into the defense? Because Herbie said he did? Didn't you hear Les after the game saying that he told Lee to just run the plays that were called? And we were calling running plays right into the teeth of their defense all night (with pretty good success). I'm not saying he didn't check into it, but I'm just wondering if you have any other reason to believe that he was audibling rather than just pointing out blocking assignments and defensive alignments.

Overall, I think your pessimism is significantly overwhelming your objectivity and reason. Lee had zero INTs, made multiple crucial throws, maintained his team's composure, and directed a productive offense in a game where that was all that was asked or needed of the offense. He had a long pass completion (yes, even though it wasn't very well thrown) called back by a mystery penalty, and two more (or at least one more) likely completion stopped by pass interference which netted us a first down on the penalty (and both PIs on Mitchell were smart plays, imo). And he had at least a few passes that were very catchable but weren't hauled in. And with all of that, his stat line was still serviceable (especially the 1 TD/0 INT part) for an offense than dominated the line of scrimmage with the running game and rarely worked without a short field.

I am quite happy with his performance, and very much encouraged by it. And yes, I'm an optimist when it comes to LSU football because expecting the best is a hell of a lot more fun than expecting the worst, and since I don't care if anonymous idiots on a message board call me a "homer" there's absolutely zero difference in the outcome either way. So I opt for the fun way, which has allowed me to feel this good and excited all summer!

So cheer up!

Posted by Housplants
Germantown, TN
Member since Dec 2006
1464 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:03 am to
King Joey


I could not agree more. Great post.
Posted by Geaux2002
Member since Jun 2011
3561 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:04 am to
quote:

Not because I want him to start, but because I think Lee has a fragile ego, and even the presence of Jefferson could affect him at this point (which I why I believe Miles held out on pulling the suspension because he didn't want Lee to even bother thinking about that heading into Dallas).


Holy shite. This statement alone proves you know very little about "egos" and their fragility. If this kid had a fragile ego, he wouldn't have been able to stay here 3 more years after what he went through in 2008 without ever once bitching or acting like a baby. If you made that statement for JJ, fine. It actually has merit, because he looks like a child pouting when things go wrong and if Lee was brought into bail him out.

Lee has shown more resolve than anyone on this team, and I seriously doubt his ego is that fragile. PERIOD.

The kid definitely has some things he has to work on and improve, but some of you sound pretty pathetic attacking every little thing as you are.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89785 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:05 am to
Pass #6, the incomplete pass to Boone, was a real bummer. Ford absolutely whiffed on the blitzing defender and Lee was leveled. I think it took away from that little bit of "umphh" he needed to get it to Boone in stride. Also, I think he overcompensated on the pass to OBJ later in the game that was called back because of the hold.

I think, for Lee's sake and LSU's sake, Randle has to be involved more in the passing game.

I also thought the ball to Ford on the screen play in the 3rd quarter was an interesting throw. Lee did not put it in a great spot, but Ford kept swinging the route outside and it appeared that he could have easily adjusted his body to make the catch. It is just an ugly looking play, but hard to determine who messed it up.
Posted by TheDoc
doc is no more
Member since Dec 2005
99297 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:07 am to
way too harsh on lee considering the circumstances

was he amazing? no

was he adequate? yes

did his receivers drop balls that hit them in the hands?

absolutely
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:08 am to
quote:

Dan, did you notice that you applied a standard where every incomplete pass that was not absolutely perfectly placed was not considered a drop? I'm not sure if this is intentional, but if it is you should realize that no one has ever relevantly judged a passing game by that standard. Every ball that hits the hands of a receiver is a drop, even the ones that are not thrown well. Some are more excuseable drops (like when it took an amazing feat just to get your hands on it), but the fact that a receiver has to slow his momentum to position for a pass that is slightly behind him does not usually excuse it from being a drop.


I thought I made clear that Boone and Clement should have caught their two drops. Also, Blue dropped an easy pass early on, which I mentioned.

But they can still be bad throws. I fault Kadron Boone for not coming down with that catch. If he does catch it, I'd still say it was a bad throw.

quote:

I'm not saying he didn't check into it, but I'm just wondering if you have any other reason to believe that he was audibling rather than just pointing out blocking assignments and defensive alignments.



Our QBs have run checks for the past 2 years, at least. JJ checked in and out of running plays a lot last year. Usually they put their hands behind their back when they are checking. Is there a chance he did nothing? Sure. I'm sure they gave him some liberty to check out of a bad play though... I just think he made a bad read on that one. It happens.

His checks the rest of the night seemed good though.

quote:

And yes, I'm an optimist when it comes to LSU football because expecting the best is a hell of a lot more fun than expecting the worst, and since I don't care if anonymous idiots on a message board call me a "homer" there's absolutely zero difference in the outcome either way.


I'm very optimistic about the team in general. Never meant to give any other impression.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:08 am to
Ok, enough with your hit and runs on my posts. Have a good night.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
282255 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:08 am to
quote:

I also thought the ball to Ford on the screen play in the 3rd quarter was an interesting throw. Lee did not put it in a great spot, but Ford kept swinging the route outside and it appeared that he could have easily adjusted his body to make the catch. It is just an ugly looking play, but hard to determine who messed it up.


Lee actually throws the ball very well to receivers on the move, in tight coverage. He doesn't throw the ball well where the receiver is wide open and no defender is in sight for some reason.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:10 am to
quote:

Pass #6, the incomplete pass to Boone, was a real bummer. Ford absolutely whiffed on the blitzing defender and Lee was leveled. I think it took away from that little bit of "umphh" he needed to get it to Boone in stride. Also, I think he overcompensated on the pass to OBJ later in the game that was called back because of the hold.


I agree totally. He panicked a bit when Ford missed the blitzer (rightfully so) and just tried to get the ball out there for an athletic guy like Boone to make the play (unfortunately he didn't).

quote:

I think, for Lee's sake and LSU's sake, Randle has to be involved more in the passing game.


The one aspect of the playcalling I didn't get. Why not get Lee to Randle on some early slants and outs? Build up their rapport? Randle had a tremendous mismatch and could have abused his defender all night... and that could have been good early confidence building for Lee.

Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 9/5/11 at 12:11 am to
Ok, thanks.
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