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re: Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros

Posted on 3/15/16 at 5:26 pm to
Posted by rlebl39
League City, TX
Member since Jun 2011
4757 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

He is on the 40 man roster


He is not on the 40 man. He was an extended roster spring training invitee.

He was sent down to minor league camp last week, he just played on the big league team today as a filler.
This post was edited on 3/15/16 at 5:31 pm
Posted by cheo25
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2004
984 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 6:19 pm to
If you know anything about the Astros, you would know that the Astros are a frugal organization, to the point where agents, players, players union and other teams have grumbled about the money they don't spend. They kept George Springer in the minors for a couple of weeks in 2014 and Carlos Correa in the minors for almost two months last year to avoid them reaching Super Two arbitration status. That gives the Astros another year of control over both and delays their arbitration another year. Those were two financial advantages for each player the Astros claimed by keeping them down.

So with that in mind, Bregman probably isn't going to be up this year. He's not ready, and the Astros don't have a glaring middle infield need. Their infield needs are on the corners. They're not going to let him (or Correa) learn to play third on the fly, especially if the Astros are in a pennant race again. It's possible Bregman learns a new position in the minors, but they're probably not going try him there down the stretch unless they're out of it. And the financial implications I mentioned above also play into it.

If Bregman makes it up before the end of April next year, that would be a success.
This post was edited on 3/15/16 at 6:27 pm
Posted by TampaTiger22
Tampa, FL
Member since Jul 2012
6669 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 8:29 pm to
An extended roster signee is treated as the same thing. He will get sent down. That's the point
Posted by rlebl39
League City, TX
Member since Jun 2011
4757 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 8:38 pm to
Except it's not the same as being on the 40 man. There is a pretty big difference in being on the 40 man and being a spring training extended roster invitee.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161245 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

Obviously I'm not the most knowledgeable when it comes to baseball spring practice and games, just curious if spring games are a carousel for young players.

Yes
Posted by TampaTiger22
Tampa, FL
Member since Jul 2012
6669 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 8:43 pm to
Ok, and he will be in the minor leagues. So he is not on the 40 man. Like I said he won't be on the major league roster. You just want to argue.
Posted by 24chevrolet48
Beat Street
Member since Aug 2006
1839 posts
Posted on 3/15/16 at 10:20 pm to
I see 3rd Base with Alex Bregman on it in a year or 2.
Posted by Tigerclassof19
Member since Mar 2015
861 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:58 am to
I'm sorry.. Dallas keuchel not a #1 guy? Do you understand how the CY young award works?

Also bregman isn't taking over SS, correa is the current SS, I love the A-rod Derek jeter comparison. Jeter was on the team and a rod came, not the other way around. Bregs can go to third or outfield.
Posted by Ebbandflow
Member since Aug 2010
13457 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:42 am to
quote:

That is what most people think will happen


"Most" people? No way. Correa has that spot on lock. Bregs is a good defender but Correa is better. If anyone should play third, it's bregman
Posted by Ebbandflow
Member since Aug 2010
13457 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:46 am to
quote:

This is true. Alex Bregman is projected by most of the major baseball prospect evaluators to be the Astros starting 3B in 2018 and beyond. Correa is way too valuable defensively at SS to move him just because of size. Hes already got one of the best ranges at SS in the MLB. Bregman, although a great defender doesn't hold a candle to that. You will see him at 3rd or 2nd (if Altuve commands $$ that the Stros don't have) before you see him at SS and Correa moved.


Agree with all of this. Stros are keeping bregs. Not gong to call him up this year and not going to trade him.
Posted by HoustonTiger4
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
1665 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Bregman will be dealt sooner than later.


I was talking with co worker about this. I brought up him being traded and using Spring Training to show him off to teams. I got laughed at. Astros young in infield, they could get a few players in need for him or draft picks down road. However watching the spring games his bat has not showed in 14 AB's this spring, 1 hit and 6 K's. But hes young and its his first taste of MLB pitching.
Posted by Wayne Campbell
Aurora, IL
Member since Oct 2011
7156 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 10:17 am to
The tell on the Astros' plans for Bregman will be if they start working him at 3B. If he's not working at 3B in the minors, then they aren't looking to keep him.
Posted by Beach Bum88
Member since Mar 2016
14 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 10:53 am to
I agree, Correa showed signs of a premiere SS last year. A lot of people make the "A-rod moved to 3rd comparison", but only because he was on the same team as Jeter and it was at the back end of A-rod's career. Unless Bregman is a Jeter caliber defender I don't see Correa ever moving and if so 8 years down the road, which would be too long of a wait for Bregs. I look for him to be traded while his stock is high. I look for Houston to try 3B prospects Colin Moran and Matt Duffy at third. Bregman as well unless he gets traded.
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11514 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 11:00 am to
quote:

nless Bregman is a Jeter caliber defender I don't see Correa ever moving


Almost all advanced metrics rate Jeter as a below average to terrible defensive SS.

The biggest weakest with Bregman is supposedly his arm, so I'm not sure if 3B is a good fit. 2B would be perfect, but Jose Altuve. I wouldn't be shocked if Bregman is dealt just because he may be more valuable to another team.
This post was edited on 3/16/16 at 11:01 am
Posted by Beach Bum88
Member since Mar 2016
14 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 2:49 pm to
I'm not a Jeter fan, but I wouldn't say a career .976 in the bigs is below average, to go with 5 gold gloves. There are also other things Jeter brought to the table that metrics don't measure (as does Bregman). Bregman was a good college shortstop, his Freshman year he sat back on balls and fielded at a .939, there is a reason he charged 85% of balls his Junior year. It's due to his "weaker not weak" arm and how he feels comfortable playing the position, and you have to be able to sit back on a balls in the show, he has to change his style to be consistent and I'm not sure if his arm will allow him to be able to make that change. I can only think of that being the reason he was at a .95 last year with a very small sample size. So I think 2nd base, but not for Houston and no way he unseats CC anytime soon. I'm definitely not bashing Bregman, I just don't think his style translates to a MLB SS, but he's definitely a potential All-Star at 2B. Just my opinion.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13735 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

I'm not a Jeter fan, but I wouldn't say a career .976 in the bigs is below average, to go with 5 gold gloves.


Jeter made big plays in big moments that is what made him great. He was a good to great shortstop when he was younger but late in his career he didn't have the range anymore. He still fielded at a high clip because he could field the ones right at him and make the routine plays. A good fielding percentage is nice but it if you can't get to the balls up the middle or in the 5 hole that half the shortstops in the league can does it matter.
Posted by Beach Bum88
Member since Mar 2016
14 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:02 pm to
I agree 100%, but if you go back to my OP, it's in reference the a younger version of Jeter at the time A-Rod came over to NY.

And at the same time Jeter was getting older, A-rod was getting older as well. Don't think Jeter was the greatest SS ever (give me Ozzie Smith on that).
This post was edited on 3/16/16 at 3:05 pm
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13735 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:17 pm to
quote:


I agree 100%, but if you go back to my OP, it's in reference the a younger version of Jeter at the time A-Rod came over to NY.

And at the same time Jeter was getting older, A-rod was getting older as well. Don't think Jeter was the greatest SS ever (give me Ozzie Smith on that).


Jeter was the captain and the face of the franchise of course they weren't moving him to third. I would say at the time they were very close in terms of ability at short but A-rod had the power numbers to make the transition to third easier.

Pure defensively Omar Vizquel had ridiculous range and ability.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
39938 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

A-rod had the power numbers to make the transition to third easier


huh
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11514 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

I'm not a Jeter fan, but I wouldn't say a career .976 in the bigs is below average, to go with 5 gold gloves


I don't think fielding percentage or errors is a good judge of defensive ability. It ignores range. Also, golden gloves have always been imperfect and arbitrary. I've always heard the joke that the best way to win one was to be a good hitter. Most sabermetrical studies of Jeter's defense paint him as below average (early/middle of his career) or terrible (later in his career). To be fair, I'm sure those measures aren't perfect either. Judging defense is hard.
This post was edited on 3/16/16 at 3:32 pm
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