re: TDFL Droppings Post Draft Analysis

O/U 5.5

His big 3 will need to hit simulataneously for him to win consistently, and he's missing one for the first 2 weeks.

I'm taking the under on Gyno.

quote:

---

His big 3 will need to hit simulataneously for him to win consistently,

---

People say Cutler is inconsistent- He failed to score 20+ points 5 times last year. Peyton (QB3) failed to score 20+ in 6 games Rothlishberger (QB4) failed to score 20+ in 8 games. Brady (QB7) didnt score 20+ in 6 games. So my first thing would be, Cutler was a more consistent 20 ppg scorer than a lot of guys who are perceived as top options at QB. Teddy finished last 3 weeks of 2014 as QB10, and has upside. If they fail, it's easy to find a QB on the wire.

Secondly, back to Woodhead, who was the RB12 last time he was healthy in 2013. Caught 76 balls. His role is unchanged there and is a big part of their offense.

TE has question marks, but again, they are easy as hell to find on waivers. If Reed is healthy, big if, his numbers project top 3 TE. Josh Hill has upside. Will figure that position out

FLEX we will roll Marvin Jones early, who had some stud games behind AJ two years ago. Looking like the true number 2 in CIN, im expecting close to 100 targets and WR3/Flex production. Still young with great measurables, think Michael Floyd of the Bengals.

Every year I have 2 or 3 breakout guys who are found through FAAB or free agency. Dont sleep there.

QB- check (Cutler, Bridgewater, whoever)
RB- check (Bell)
RB- check (Woodhead)
WR- check (Julio)
WR- check (Dez)
TE- question mark (Reed, Hill)
FLEX- question mark (Jones)




I am looking for side bets this year, all are welcomed

How many points do you think you need from Cutler, Jones, Dez, and Bell to win most weeks?

70? 80? 90?

Just curious what you are banking on.

I think our cutoff was between 128-135 most weeks. 135 is where I would feel safe.

It's been as low as the low 120s, but you need to be at 135+ to guarantee safety.

I won last year at 115, but in 3 different weeks, guys lost with a 133-134 score.

Haven't done the math really, but if I can get close to a full season out of those guys we good. If they get hurt I'm done people depth is obviously an issue

I'm confident my WRs and RBs can out score at least 6 teams every week

I don't even really like Cutler per se, but outside of 4 QBs he's right there with the rest. There are 12 teams in the league, 6 will win each week. So if he competes there, I will be fine.

I don't expect Jordan Reed to stay healthy, but he's a favorite of RG3 and like I said, his numbers on a per 16 game basis are top tier. It's an even playing field at TE outside Gronk and to a lesser extent, Olsen and Bennett. So we can conepete there

Flex remains to be seen, but I like what I've been hearing on Jones. I'll find someone to compete there. There are a lot of possible emerging guys this year, even on the wire right now. Already got 15 of em bookmarked

Really, the talent that falls from the 6rd of a regular draft isn't much different than the talent you are getting at the end of drafts this season. Look at some of the names people spent double digits on.

quote:

---

Yup. Not knocking that they are studs, he'll just need stud games week in and week out from 2 outta 3 and not a dud at QB.

---

You can kinda of say that about any team if you think about it. Outside of 1 or 2 QBS, a lot of the QBs are on the same level.

for as much as balanced is always preached, it always seems like those teams never win. You really can't win without studs

quote:

---

I am looking for side bets this year, all are welcomed

---

Just a few hours ago you pegged yourself bottom 6 what's the bet gonna be?

He has to try and make up his lost $125 entry somehow..