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Message
re: TDBA: The Franchise, Year 3: Draft In Progress
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:26 am to Boomshockalocka
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:26 am to Boomshockalocka
quote:
In order of likelihood I've got them ranked: Embiid Simmons Saric
quote:
The other players on the roster are secondary to healthy Embiid. And healthy he is
You're yappin out both sides of ya mouth
You shouldn't post stuff ya really don't believe with conviction
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:27 am to MrWiseGuy
I don't bet busters like that, it's all yours
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:28 am to Boomshockalocka
quote:
I get embiid, you get simmons Neither wins it's a no bet.
50$
It's a bet, boom
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:29 am to GynoSandberg
Embiid is more likely to win, Simmons is more likely to get the most votes. Embiid is an all or nothing kinda guy, Simmons is more likely to rack up the 2nd and 3rd place votes.
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:29 am to GynoSandberg
Only time we made a bet before you lost, year 1 of this league so you better off not betting me and holding on to your $. 
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:36 am to Boomshockalocka
This is the 2nd bet I called you on and you suddenly changed the terms. I even wanted to go to $500 on the last one
And you did the same on the cooks bet with LE
It's your rep that's taking a beating not mine. Just exposes you and isn't a good look tbh
And you did the same on the cooks bet with LE
It's your rep that's taking a beating not mine. Just exposes you and isn't a good look tbh
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:39 am to GynoSandberg
I didn't change terms dummy. I said Embiid was more likely to win, I never said shite about most votes.
Embiid chances to win : 10
Chances to be second or third : 10
Simmons chances to win: 8
Chances to be second or third: 25
Now who is more likely to win and who is more likely to get more votes. IT AINT THE SAME ANSWER. You try to put words in my mouth and force me into a bet I never agreed to...and then I still offered you more than favorable odds. Oh well mustn't be confident in your guy..
Embiid chances to win : 10
Chances to be second or third : 10
Simmons chances to win: 8
Chances to be second or third: 25
Now who is more likely to win and who is more likely to get more votes. IT AINT THE SAME ANSWER. You try to put words in my mouth and force me into a bet I never agreed to...and then I still offered you more than favorable odds. Oh well mustn't be confident in your guy..
This post was edited on 7/12/16 at 11:39 am
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:40 am to GynoSandberg
he's passed on my last 3 bet offers 
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:45 am to Boomshockalocka
wherever they are voted equates to points bubba
1st is worth 5, 2nd 4 etc
If embiid is getting all the first place votes he's will blow Simmons 3rd and 4th place votes out the water
I'm confident enough not to bet a tank of gas
1st is worth 5, 2nd 4 etc
If embiid is getting all the first place votes he's will blow Simmons 3rd and 4th place votes out the water
I'm confident enough not to bet a tank of gas
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:47 am to Boomshockalocka
you passed on the Brandin Cooks bet last year, then James Harden making 1st team All NBA, and i forget the 3rd, but it will come to me
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:50 am to GynoSandberg
No 4th place votes bubba. Either Embiid will be #1 or he won't be in the top 3. There's a chance they throw caution to the win and throw him out there 30 minutes a night (10% chance imo). In that case, he wins ROY. If they sit him out on back to backs, play him 20 mpg, he won't be first, second, or 3rd.
Simmons is gonna fill out that 2nd and 3rd spot on lots of ballets. He will get his 30+ minutes. But my math tells me that as far as first place goes, no it's a better chance that Embiid gets his minutes than that Simmons gets the 1st place.
Simmons is gonna fill out that 2nd and 3rd spot on lots of ballets. He will get his 30+ minutes. But my math tells me that as far as first place goes, no it's a better chance that Embiid gets his minutes than that Simmons gets the 1st place.
This post was edited on 7/12/16 at 11:53 am
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:51 am to Lester Earl
quote:
you passed on the Brandin Cooks bet last year, then James Harden making 1st team All NBA
You want to get even money for stuff that is 4-1 or 5-1 kinda odds. That dog don't hunt.
If i say something will happen that don't mean it should be a 1-1 bet
choice A 35%
choice B 30%
choice C 25%
choice D 10%
I say choice A will happen and you want me to bet as if it is a 50% chance of it happening (1 to 1) when in actuality it is a 35% chance but still the most likely.
This post was edited on 7/12/16 at 11:54 am
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:53 am to Boomshockalocka
Ok let's bet strictly on first place votes
Up the ante for me tho
Up the ante for me tho
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:54 am to GynoSandberg
Wisey took the bet from ya... 
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:55 am to Boomshockalocka
quote:
I say choice A will happen and you want me to bet as if it is a 50% chance of it happening (1 to 1) when in actuality it is a 35% chance.
so what you are saying is you really don't believe some of the things that you say?
i mean, saying Brandin Cooks was a 9.0 YPC was one of your weaker troll jobs. Of course you'd find a way to crawfish out of that one with the whole "even money" stuff
Posted on 7/12/16 at 11:59 am to Lester Earl
That was like a "bold prediction" thing. It would be like me jumping in your bold preditcion thread and demanding you bet me on stuff you had posted in that thread.
Silly AF I'm sure you'd agree.
Posted on 7/12/16 at 12:00 pm to GynoSandberg
quote:
Ok let's bet strictly on first place votes
Up the ante for me tho
It's your bet, Gyne. If you and Boom can find a middle ground, take it. Otherwise, I'll take it for ya
Posted on 7/12/16 at 12:00 pm to Boomshockalocka
I will give you 2-1 on first place votes
I'll pay you $500 if you win
You pay me $250 if I win
I'll pay you $500 if you win
You pay me $250 if I win
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