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re: 2025 NFL News & Notes Thread
Posted on 9/9/25 at 7:48 pm to TigerLunatik
Posted on 9/9/25 at 7:48 pm to TigerLunatik
Posted on 9/9/25 at 7:55 pm to TigerLunatik
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
42.1% -- Marquise Brown had a 42.1% target share in Week 1. It may not be a great matchup against Philadelphia in Week 2, but it is hard to leave that type of volume on your bench.
100% -- There were nine wide receivers who ran a route on 100% of their team's drop-backs. Cooper Kupp, Jameson Williams, and Josh Reynolds were the only three to do that and have a target share below 24%.
59.1% -- Jaxon Smith-Njigba was targeted on 59.1% of his routes in Week 1. Puka Nacua was the only other wide receiver above 42%. JSN looks like the steal of Round 3 and a surefire WR1.
6.7 -- Pat Surtain and the Denver Broncos held Calvin Ridley to 6.7 PPR Fantasy points in Week 1. Michael Pittman faces this matchup in Week 2.
34 -- Justin Herbert attempted 34 passes in a game the Chargers led throughout, and only ran 62 plays. If that holds up, the Chargers can have multiple starting pass catchers.
46 -- Josh Allen threw 46 passes in Week 1, and the Buffalo Bills ran 78 plays. Last year, he averaged 30 attempts per game, which means you should probably cut each player's targets by a third when talking about rest of season expectations.
7.5 -- Chris Olave aDOT in Week 1 was 7.5. He has been over 10 every other season. With more slot usage and more shot targets, Olave could set a career high in receptions.
3 -- DJ Moore had three rush attempts in Week 1, something we heard a lot about in camp. He could add an extra point or two to his per-game Fantasy production if that is a weekly thing.
12.1% -- George Pickens had a 12% target share in Week 1, compared to 39% for CeeDee Lamb and 18% for Jake Ferguson.
56.6% -- Stefon Diggs ran a route on just over half of the New England Patriots pass plays in Week 1. Expect that to increase over the coming weeks.
Numbers to Know
42.1% -- Marquise Brown had a 42.1% target share in Week 1. It may not be a great matchup against Philadelphia in Week 2, but it is hard to leave that type of volume on your bench.
100% -- There were nine wide receivers who ran a route on 100% of their team's drop-backs. Cooper Kupp, Jameson Williams, and Josh Reynolds were the only three to do that and have a target share below 24%.
59.1% -- Jaxon Smith-Njigba was targeted on 59.1% of his routes in Week 1. Puka Nacua was the only other wide receiver above 42%. JSN looks like the steal of Round 3 and a surefire WR1.
6.7 -- Pat Surtain and the Denver Broncos held Calvin Ridley to 6.7 PPR Fantasy points in Week 1. Michael Pittman faces this matchup in Week 2.
34 -- Justin Herbert attempted 34 passes in a game the Chargers led throughout, and only ran 62 plays. If that holds up, the Chargers can have multiple starting pass catchers.
46 -- Josh Allen threw 46 passes in Week 1, and the Buffalo Bills ran 78 plays. Last year, he averaged 30 attempts per game, which means you should probably cut each player's targets by a third when talking about rest of season expectations.
7.5 -- Chris Olave aDOT in Week 1 was 7.5. He has been over 10 every other season. With more slot usage and more shot targets, Olave could set a career high in receptions.
3 -- DJ Moore had three rush attempts in Week 1, something we heard a lot about in camp. He could add an extra point or two to his per-game Fantasy production if that is a weekly thing.
12.1% -- George Pickens had a 12% target share in Week 1, compared to 39% for CeeDee Lamb and 18% for Jake Ferguson.
56.6% -- Stefon Diggs ran a route on just over half of the New England Patriots pass plays in Week 1. Expect that to increase over the coming weeks.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 7:59 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
Brock Bowers averaged more than four yards per route run.
Is 4 a high number?
Posted on 9/9/25 at 8:01 pm to TackySweater
quote:
Is 4 a high number?
Per route run? It’s huge.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 8:07 pm to RB10
I’m obviously not understanding the stat correctly because 4 seems absurdly low.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 8:09 pm to TackySweater
quote:
I’m obviously not understanding the stat correctly because 4 seems absurdly low.
Think about the number of routes a receiver runs per game. 25+ for a guy like Bowers. Probably closer to 35.
4 yards per route run adds up.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 8:11 pm to RB10
Is this receiving yards per route ran, or just yards ran?
Posted on 9/9/25 at 8:31 pm to TackySweater
quote:
Is this receiving yards per route ran, or just yards ran?
The average number of receiving yards per route they’ve run. 100 receiving yards on 25 total routes run would be 4.
That number is usually around 2.5 or so for elite guys. It’s a good indicator that guys are on the field and not running empty routes.
Just for reference Ja’Marr’s was around 2.5 last year.
This post was edited on 9/9/25 at 8:43 pm
Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:03 pm to TackySweater
quote:
Is 4 a high number?
quote:
TackySweater

Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:04 pm to RB10
Ok. They need to change this to RYPRR instead of YPRR lol
Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:04 pm to NotoriousFSU
It’s an ambiguous stat for someone unfamiliar with it lol
Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:05 pm to TackySweater
I’m just busting chops. Had never seen that stat before.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:07 pm to NotoriousFSU
quote:
I’m just busting chops. Had never seen that stat before.
And you probably had my same question lol
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:25 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
QB Daniel Jones is the first QB to record 2+ rushing TDs, 1+ passing TD, and 0 INTs in his first start with a new team since … Daniel Jones
I heard earlier that he is the first QB this century to lead his team to a score on every drive.
Indiana Jones getting it done.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:27 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
Lamar Jackson only threw one pass to a tight end in Week 1. A trend to watch for Week 2.
Has Andrews ever not scored a TD against the Browns?
Posted on 9/9/25 at 11:26 pm to BhamTigah
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:01 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
42.1% -- Marquise Brown had a 42.1% target share in Week 1. It may not be a great matchup against Philadelphia in Week 2
Two things here- one I think this is pyrite. He was basically last man standing after worthy went out and they had to go off script. He will still get the ball, but as far as a starter goes, he’s just a rental in fantasy at best until Rice gets back.
The matchup against Philly will depend on who he draws in coverage. Adoree Jackson was an absolute bum last week and looked completely lost.
I like Tyquan Thornton in best ball formats this week a lot
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:17 am to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:
I like Tyquan Thornton in best ball formats this week a lot
Mahomes was definitely looking for him deep.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:42 am to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:
as far as a starter goes, he’s just a rental in fantasy at best until Rice gets back.
Cheap price for a 5 week flex
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:59 am to BhamTigah
He went for $16/125 in my league. Too rich for my blood for a rental
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