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re: GOP Early Voting v GOP Election Day Voting

Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:27 am to
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
19876 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:27 am to
quote:

think that is what you are missing. There is not a huge increase in R early votes.

I don’t have the threads pulled up, but has there not been tons of threads lately claiming that R early vote was way way up in a lot of places?
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20455 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Democrats - who traditionally vote early - have fallen off a cliff - and as of right now - it doesn't look like they're showing up for day of voting either.


And in Denton County - where mail-in ballots were the only demographic that voted for the Dems in 2020 - we have LESS THAN HALF the number of mail-in ballots this year than in 2020. Unless our elections office ends up with over 10,000 ballots today (this is the last day that mail-in ballots from within the US can be received and processed), I doubt things will change.
Posted by 2024GoTigas
Member since Mar 2024
310 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:31 am to
This, but I would add ballot haversting operation such as zuckerbucks were no where functioning this cycle. And it is my belief because they were afraid of getting caught stuffing .
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
74903 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:31 am to
quote:

I don’t have the threads pulled up, but has there not been tons of threads lately claiming that R early vote was way way up in a lot of places?
The threads are referencing that Republicans are WINNING the early voting, not that the numbers themselves are higher than the past.

The Democrat early voting is down.

Republicans won this year due to a depressed Democrat early voting.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
8840 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:34 am to
quote:

If R's in PA turnout today in the EXACT SAME numbers they did in 2020 and D's turn out today in the EXACT SAME numbers the did in 2020, then the R ED vote should (in theory) well exceed the D's current 400k lead in PA.


There are more of them in PA than there are of us. What we don't know is the independents and previously unregistered voters and how they're voting. Trump has to win them over by significant margins or hope for depressed dem turnout. There are 400k more registered dems in PA per the last official update, which was in back in April.
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