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I'm Most Excited That Nate Silver Is Finally Discredited

Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:24 am
Posted by tiger1014
Member since Jan 2011
12617 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:24 am
Ok maybe not the most excited

But I mean he was considered the end all be all on polling and he was so dead wrong. He of course was saying "I said there was a 25% chance" but certainly this wasn't even the path he was projecting in that 25%.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32687 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:24 am to
He was discredited in the primaries and the world series.

Now it's just sad.
Posted by Stuckinthe90s
Dallas, TX
Member since Apr 2013
2681 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:25 am to
He was closer than anyone else.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
17522 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:25 am to
Nate Rusted-Aluminum
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33833 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:25 am to
Pretty much every pollster was wrong as far as I can tell.
Posted by IAmReality
Member since Oct 2012
12229 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:25 am to
Actually, of all the big prognosticators, he gave Trump the best chance.

All the other models were showing Hillary 95, 99%, he had it at 75%.
Posted by tagatose
South Carolina
Member since Oct 2005
2025 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:25 am to
quote:

He was closer than anyone else.


Umm no he wasn't
Posted by RogerTempleton
Austin
Member since Nov 2014
3280 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:26 am to
quote:

He was closer than anyone else.



nah, that would be the USC Dornsife poll.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
83884 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:27 am to
Why?

I just do not understand this thinking. If people will look at what right-leaning pollsters and analysts are saying, many are praising Silver for bucking the idea that Trump didn't have a shot. It definitely puts the entire industry in question, but Nate Silver isn't one that especially deserves a lot of scorn IMO.

Nate takes polls and gives weight to them. That's it. Trump's folks last night said their internals were off too.
Posted by weptiger
Georgia
Member since Feb 2007
11257 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:28 am to
Nate Pyrite.....fools gold.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
87179 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:28 am to
quote:

nah, that would be the USC Dornsife poll.


LA Times was fairly spot on as well
Posted by Haughton99
Haughton
Member since Feb 2009
6126 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:28 am to
quote:


nah, that would be the USC Dornsife poll.



Good lord why do people keep saying this? That poll was a popular vote poll and had him up by several points. He's gonna lose the popular vote. It was one of the most inaccurate.

Posted by griswold
Member since Oct 2009
4185 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 10:37 am to
Nate shitstain
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