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Las Vegas Sports Consutlant poll
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:48 pm
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:48 pm
5
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:53 pm to MJRuffalo
u gotta be shitting me...
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:54 pm to MJRuffalo
I don't like the 1-30 system.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:56 pm to TulaneUVA
Basically it is saying who would be favored over who, and that poll looks tons more accurate over the others out there. I was in an argument with a couple people last night and I said I would favor around 9 teams or so over LSU right now.
Florida will be favored over LSU, you can count on that.
I still think Auburn at 20 still seems a few spots too high, 24-30 is more realistic.
Florida will be favored over LSU, you can count on that.
I still think Auburn at 20 still seems a few spots too high, 24-30 is more realistic.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:56 pm to DollaChoppa
quote:
u gotta be shitting me...
As bad as USC looked, I think they would be favored in any matchup in the country at this time. So thats why they are still in the top 2.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 6:56 pm to MJRuffalo
That list proves why Ken White and LVSC are just Roxy Roxborough trained power-rating clone-liners, and why the Vegas books follow the oddsmakers at CRIS, Greek, Pinnacle, Grande,etc..
Harrah's hotels,etc..follow CRIS/Greek openers and the wiseguy's early plays..LVSC just recommends opening numbers..offshore cappers, wiseguys, and the few remaining syndicates are what shape those numbers up and down.
P.S. And as upright as the USC Defensive Lineman and Linebackers stand immediately as the ball is snapped..Bama's Offensive Line would blast them off the line of scrimmage.
Harrah's hotels,etc..follow CRIS/Greek openers and the wiseguy's early plays..LVSC just recommends opening numbers..offshore cappers, wiseguys, and the few remaining syndicates are what shape those numbers up and down.
P.S. And as upright as the USC Defensive Lineman and Linebackers stand immediately as the ball is snapped..Bama's Offensive Line would blast them off the line of scrimmage.
This post was edited on 9/29/08 at 7:01 pm
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:10 pm to C
quote:
As bad as USC looked, I think they would be favored in any matchup in the country at this time
and they would lose several of them. how can your d look like swiss cheese and still be considered so unstoppable? only usc.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:15 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
Basically it is saying who would be favored over who, and that poll looks tons more accurate over the others out there.
You do know lines are set to draw even money, not predict the outcome of the game?
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:17 pm to C
quote:
As bad as USC looked, I think they would be favored in any matchup in the country at this time. So thats why they are still in the top 2.
maybe bad coaching should be taken into consideration.
if they have the best team every year and always lose to shitty teams, it must be the coaching
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:18 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
Florida will be favored over LSU, you can count on that.
Game is in the swamp, that will help. They will NOT by more than -5. And that might be a stretch.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:18 pm to MJRuffalo
For what it is meant to be, this is a great poll. Probably the best I've seen.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:19 pm to barry
quote:
You do know lines are set to draw even money, not predict the outcome of the game?
Whats your point? You obviously give points to the weaker team. So in a hypothetical game between USC and LSU, LSu being the weaker team would get points so as to even out the betting.
If there were no point spreads we would all be rich beyond belief, but would have nobosy to take our action.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:22 pm to MJRuffalo
I do want to say that yesterday on the Rant i told someone that the big-12 was clearly the best conference this season and that there are probably 3 teams in the big-12 better than any in the SEC.
This poll supports my analysis.
This poll supports my analysis.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:23 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
So in a hypothetical game between USC and LSU, LSu being the weaker team would get points so as to even out the betting.
AND I would bet the house on that!!!
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:32 pm to DEANintheYAY
umm ok. For your sake you better hope that LSU would get a ton of points. I would say USC would be favored by 6 or so.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:40 pm to MJRuffalo
Or it supports the theory west coast teams are overrated by gamblers in Vegas because so many of them hail from the west coast. Vegas, not being stupid, adjusts their lines accordingly.
People like to bet the home team. Vegas, while it does attract people from all over, gets a lot of its action from California.
Oddsmakers do not pick games. they pick gambling habits.
People like to bet the home team. Vegas, while it does attract people from all over, gets a lot of its action from California.
Oddsmakers do not pick games. they pick gambling habits.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:50 pm to Baloo
The lines in Vegas are pretty much the same as the lines in Atlantic city and in offshore books.
Serious gamblers generally don't bet on their own team
Serious gamblers generally don't bet on their own team
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:52 pm to MJRuffalo
But how much action is from "serious gamblers"? Ten percent? Fifty? I honestly don't know. But there's a lot of money that gets bet, and I'd be stunned if most of it came from serious gamblers.
Posted on 9/29/08 at 7:59 pm to Baloo
as if it wasn't bad enough already, LSU behind Ohio State? 
Posted on 9/29/08 at 8:00 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
So in a hypothetical game between USC and LSU, LSu being the weaker team would get points so as to even out the betting.
Im pretty sure a hypothetical game in Tiger Stadium between USC and LSU, that USC...being the weaker team would be getting points, so as to even out the betting.
and If the hypothetical game was @ USC, then LSU would be getting pts.
Now, if the game was at a neutral site, I think the odds would be pretty darn close to even. So what im basically saying...is that you're full of it.
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