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re: Post LSU hoops’ quality wins here

Posted on 1/31/21 at 12:54 am to
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 1/31/21 at 12:54 am to
quote:

Post LSU hoops’ quality wins here


People confuse "quality wins" with signature wins.

So far, the Arkansas home win and Ole Miss road win are both quality NET wins.

They're actually both Q1 at the moment though likely to end up Q2 by the end of the season.

(Arkansas is NET #29 and cutoff for home wins is 30. Since their RPI is around #50 and their entire resume to date is the sweep of Auburn I think their NET ends up well above #30

@Ole Miss' NET #69 with an RPI in the #130s, Cutoff is NET #75 for Q1 away wins and they have a tough schedule coming up.)


Regardless of whether they end up Q1 or Q2 though, both are solid resume wins.


It is true that there's not really a big signature -- "hang your hat on this" -- type win. Arky is best but it did take a little shine off that they got blown out by 30+ @Alabama the next game.


However, LSU's SEC schedule is very back loaded. Most of the toughest games are still to come. The last 8 games offer four Q1 (@Alabama, Tenn, Fla and @Arky) and two very solid Q2 chances (AU, @Miss St).

Winning 3 of those 6 games while not slipping up @UGA or home against Vandy should snag a NCAA bid.

This post was edited on 1/31/21 at 10:50 am
Posted by P bean
br
Member since Dec 2006
4073 posts
Posted on 1/31/21 at 9:18 am to
quote:

So far, the Arkansas home win and Ole Miss road win are both quality NET wins. They're actually both Q1 but barely hanging on as Q1 wins at the moment but may end up being Q2 wins: cutoff for home wins is NET 30 and Arkansas is NET #29. That will be close at end of season since Arkansas' entire resume to date is the sweep of Auburn ans their RI is around #50. @Ole Miss will likely end up being Q2. NET #75 is cutoff and they are now NET #69 with an RPI in the #130s and a tough schedule coming up. Regardless, both are solid resume wins. It is true that there's not really a big signature -- "hang your hat on this" -- type win. Took a little shine off Arkansas' win that they got blown out by 30+ @Alabama the next game. That said, LSU's SEC schedule is very back loaded. Most of the toughest games are still to come. The last 8 games offer four Q1 (@Alabama, Tenn, Fla and @Arky) and two very solid Q2 chances (AU, @Miss St). Winning 3 of those 6 and not slipping up @UGA or home against Vandy should snag a NCAA bid.



Correct. Maybe these idiots on here will realize the season is not over. We are 11-5 with losses to ONLY good teams (except Kentucky, but theyre Kentucky).

We just lost to 10th ranked ttech and these morons think the season is done.

Gtf!
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28495 posts
Posted on 2/1/21 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

They're actually both Q1 at the moment though likely to end up Q2 by the end of the season.



Arkansas is currently #33, which drops the LSU win to a Q2 win. That means LSU is now 1-5 in Q1 games with the "1" barely being a Q1 win (Ole Miss)

Now, I fully agree LSU still has opportunities to get good wins: Alabama, Florida, Tennessee, @ MSU, @ Ark. But they MUST start capitalizing as they have missed out on all but one opportunity to get a Q1 win to date.

As far as Q2 wins, I don't think they mean all that much. The committee has said time and time again that the two biggest metrics that go into NCAAT selections are: (1) can you beat other tournament teams and (2) can you win away from home. LSU is severely lacking in those metrics at the moment. They only have one win over a likely NCAAT team, Arkansas. And even that isn't all that "likely". They also have a losing record on the road.

Is there still time to build a resume? Yep. But it has to start NOW. IMO, they have to, at minimum, go 2-2 in the next 4. Anything less, and there just won't be much left to help them in the final 2 weeks of the season.

LSU's overall record is ok as well as their SEC records. But they simply aren't beating good teams now. That HAS to change.
This post was edited on 2/1/21 at 2:21 pm
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