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re: Take A Look at this Early return Analysis & Give me Your Thoughts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:42 pm to Lsupimp
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:42 pm to Lsupimp
quote:
3 points in Nevada
Jon Ralston has all but called Nevada for Biden and he is as good as gold there. I'd love for Trump to win here but if Ralston is saying Trump won't win he almost certainly won't.
2
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:55 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
Jon Ralston has all but called Nevada for Biden
going off of the assumption that all Dem voters are voting Dem, which is likely not the case. Don't close the book on it yet.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:41 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
Jon Ralston has all but called Nevada for Biden and he is as good as gold there. I'd love for Trump to win here but if Ralston is saying Trump won't win he almost certainly won't.
This guy tweets daily about how evil the Trump campaign is. I wouldn't put too much stock into his predictions.
His analysis is not impressive at all. It's always full of obvious mistakes and leaps of logic.
He fails to recognize that Election Day 2020 is not like all the others. It will be much heavier Republican than normal. He's obsessed with the term "Clark firewall", but he forgets that Republicans will likely win Clark among Election Day voters.
He does not recognize polling crosstabs showing R's will outnumber D's on Election Day by huge margins - and yet he touts polling crosstabs showing Trump's advantage with NV independents evaporating.
He's a cherry picker, a hack, and a fraud.
If Biden wins Nevada, it won't be for any of the reasons Ralston has written about.
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