re: Georgia isn’t in play

Georgia is a unique state.

Northern GA is vastly white Southern Appalachia.
Atlanta north of I-20 Is majority white.
Atlanta south of I20 is heavy black.
South Georgia is majority white in the rural areas (in the counties) and heavy black in the city limits of almost every city south of Atlanta.

Any black candidate is going to do well. But as a reminder, Clinton lost, Obama lost both times, John Kerry lost and Gore lost.

Everyone keeps bringing up the Kemp/Abrams election being so close. But there were two factors in play that heavily skewed numbers to the dems:

1. Abrams is a black woman who heavily played to two major demographics. This inspired a heavy turnout for the dems.
2. Kemp was in a very tough primary where he beat a popular Casey Cagel who was the Lieutenant Gov. many thought that Casey was going to win the gop primary.

So, the long and short of it is that the dems caught lightning in a bottle with Abrams and the outside influence and unlimited outside resources still didn’t bring a statewide victory for the dems.

Trump wins ga by 6-7 percent.