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I have gone through some blue areas recently my observations

Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:51 am
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36446 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:51 am
This will absolutely be a low turn out election. The polling models are junk. I have seen that they are modeling on record turnout and on top of that high dem percentage.

Minimal signage overall. Of that signage Trump is winning I keep a mental tally just out of curiosity (the fact I can do that points to low turnout-compared to same areas in 2016 this would have been impossible)

Yes it’s purely anecdotal, yes lawn signs by no means guarantees a win but if I’m the Biden campaign I’m very very worried. This is the same signs (rallies lawn signs=enthusiasm) that pointed a Trump win last time around but it’s even more so this time
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 11:53 am
Posted by boomtown143
Member since May 2019
9407 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Biden campaign I’m very very worried.


Look at where he is spending his time now...they know
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24080 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:53 am to
Did you factor in the voter fraud to your analysis?
Posted by Charlottetigersfan
Charlotte
Member since Oct 2020
17 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:54 am to
According to analysis I've seen in Target Smart it is showing a lowl turnout. On the levels of 2012 and 2016. Nothing like what these polls are showing with 40 million new voters.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36446 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:54 am to
quote:

Did you factor in the voter fraud to your analysis?



Only way they can feel confident at all. Hillary has WAY more enthusiasm. Think about that. People were more excited about crooked Hillary than joe.
Posted by YankeeBama
Milwaukee
Member since Sep 2017
4795 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:55 am to
I live in an extremely Caucasian/liberal neighborhood of Milwaukee and I’ve experienced the exact opposite. Zero Trump signs and 100s of Biden. People are even draping their million dollar homes in large Biden sheets, hand painted billboards, etc.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36446 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:02 pm to
quote:


I live in an extremely Caucasian/liberal neighborhood of Milwaukee and I’ve experienced the exact opposite. Zero Trump signs and 100s of Biden. People are even draping their million dollar homes in large Biden sheets, hand painted billboards, etc.


K. That’s fine by me if it’s as you say an expected Biden area. He has to have some voters somewhere I guess. The areas in discussing are expected Biden areas as well and no enthusiasm whatsoever in fact more trump flags and signs. Mind you this is with the media narrative that you are a racist if you support trump much less fly his flag and own his sign.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36446 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:07 pm to
Don’t know why I’m getting downvoted on this it’s a pro Trump post.
Posted by Texas Yarddog
Member since Apr 2018
2995 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:12 pm to
Imagine how many Trump signs you'd see if the left wasn't constantly stealing them.

I stopped putting one up after the third one stolen and my house being egged twice.
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
12671 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:13 pm to
If Biden wins, will you automatically assume fraud?
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:34 pm to
Biden camp is counting on fake voters via "mail in".

pisses me off
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

If Biden wins, will you automatically assume fraud?


yes
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
12671 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:37 pm to
Why?
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
10193 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:41 pm to
I live in Northern VA which has been a blue area for some time now. I haven’t seen many Trump signs (expected), but what is unexpected is the lack of Biden signs. They are there, but at this point in 2016 there were much more Hillary signs.
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:44 pm to
It is how the democrats now operate. It is clear from their statements what they are planning. Trump wins night of election, but just wait until all our votes arrive by mail...

Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36446 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

I haven’t seen many Trump signs (expected),


Yep I was shocked by my personal counts and clearly have no expectations of him winning the areas I have traveled through.

quote:

what is unexpected is the lack of Biden signs.


This was my overall point. Someone who doesn’t put up a sign may or may not still vote. They may complain and get red in the face about Trump but they are also someone who may see a line at the polling station on the way home and keep driving because “of course Biden is going to win”

If someone puts a sign up they are for sure going to go vote. If they go to a rally they are going to vote. They are showing up wearing a hat standing in a two hour line to get their ballot in the box.

Hillary had a lot more signs out. Hillary has a much higher rally attendance.

The polling models expect me to believe there will be more people voting than 2016?

I have eyes.
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 12:48 pm
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:48 pm to
This is key. If we can prevent mail in voter fraud and other election fraud, we have this on in the bag.

High turn out of Republicans and cross over Democrats and independents. Low turn out for Democrats. That is the other reason they pushed vote by mail. It is hoping their lazy, unmotivated base will at least check the ballot and drop it in the mail.

However, I think the primary reason is they are sending out ballots to people they know don't exist, then dropping completed ballots into postal boxes for those ballots.

If you get a ballot in the mail for someone who isn't at your house, save it or send it to the RNC so they can validate it post election for it having been "Voted". We need to bust these slimy asses.

This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 12:50 pm
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:51 pm to
Hey, can we wear MAGA hats at polling places? I know we can't campaign, but what about MAGA hats?
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
12671 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:53 pm to
Waiting for mail in votes to arrive and be counted =\= fraud.

Posted by Sidicous
NELA
Member since Aug 2015
19296 posts
Posted on 10/12/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

my house being egged twice.
After the 1st time I would have invited a Septic Service to park nearby and encouraged them to spray anyone nearing my property with the contents of a pumper truck.
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