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re: Trump back up to 49% in Rasmussen and climbing
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:28 am to NC_Tigah
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:28 am to NC_Tigah
People post daily ups and downs for Rasmussen and attach too much significance when it looks like a heart monitor.
It was more accurate last time than the others last time but it mostly fluctuates over the 44-51/2 approval range for a couple of months now.
It was more accurate last time than the others last time but it mostly fluctuates over the 44-51/2 approval range for a couple of months now.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:28 am to MizzouBS
quote:
39% (OF THOSE WHO WILL RESPOND) are definitely voting for Trump
45% are definitely voting for Biden
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:29 am to gthog61
quote:
People post daily ups and downs for Rasmussen and attach too much significance when it looks like a heart monitor.
It was more accurate last time than the others last time but it mostly fluctuates over the 44-51/2 approval range for a couple of months now.
WHich it is best to just take the mean which is 47 or so % .
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 11:31 am
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:38 am to NC_Tigah
Futures so bright I gotta wear shades. Our President does not.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:39 am to NC_Tigah
Impossible. I was told he was losing Texas.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:54 am to MFn GIMP
quote:The thing is, it's not D+4 out there anymore. Hell, at this point it might be D25, R25, I50, with a mild Independent lean R.
Rasmussen has had the same partisan split for every single one of their polls, D+4 (37D 33R 30I I believe). It makes sense that Trump's support cratered last week after being diagnosed with COVID and being hospitalized. It will start to improve though, as we are seeing, since he recovered so quickly and is using that as proof we need to open up and it's not the end of the world. Most people see only the horror stories on the news about COVID. Trump as the biggest public figure in the country surviving what the general public only knows as a death sentence will be huge. It completely takes away the fearmongering of Biden/Harris and the Democrats.
On top of shite like #Walkaway, and minorities apparently shifting R (For example, Trump had 11% approval among blacks in 2016 and got 8% black vote... and now he has upwards of 20-30% black approval, and Hispanics have a similarly relative shift of nearly double the support over 2016, too), the R sample could actually be the one that should be +sampled. Not to mention, the unknown but assured plethora of silent Trump voters who don't/won't/fear telling the truth to a pollster. PC and cancel culture has ruined all hopes of accurate polling, and that doesn't even include the inaccuracy of demographics being polled, or the possibility that the couple dozen polling companies are all paid off and in the tank for the Establishment candidate every election.
I mean we're literally seeing thousands and thousands of people walking down Rodeo fricking Drive holding an impromptu Trump rally. California... Beverly Hills... a massive Trump rally.
There's no freaking way these polling companies are sampling the correct demographics. No damn way.
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 12:00 pm
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