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Data scientist who predicted 2016 says 2020 to be a repeat

Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:07 am
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
5600 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:07 am
quote:

Aussie data guru who successfully picked the winner in 49 of the 50 American states in 2016 says the US President is currently on track to win again. His lab also nailed the result of both the 2016 Brexit referendum and the Australia federal election last year.

In all three cases, public opinion polling pointed to the opposite result.

“It is obvious again that Trump will lose the popular vote,” he told news.com.au.

“However, he’s tracking really well in the crucial states. Florida is a coin toss, but he’s slightly ahead for me. And Minnesota and Pennsylvania as well. And then Texas, he will win easily.

“So then that gives him an edge to get about 270, 280 electoral votes.

He analyzes vast amounts of social media and surprisingly found that Biden seems to be more polarizing than Clinton, saying that people are reacting very harshly to his social media posts and that, surprise, there's not much support for him.

Anyway the professor has wacky scientist hair so you know he's right.




aussie news


Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:10 am to
I think he’s wrong about one thing.

Trump will get the popular vote this time too. Not by much but he will get it.

Posted by 2014Tigers
Shreveport
Member since Aug 2014
1066 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:40 am to
Add 10 electoral votes for Minnesota and he has 316 EC votes. He’s not losing any states he won and add just Minnesota. Gets 20% of the black vote and even more Hispanic support this election. Bookmark this
Posted by Johnny Roastbeef
Somewhere in Bartow County
Member since Sep 2018
1964 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Texas, he will win easily.


But the media says Texas will be a swing state
Posted by Johnny Roastbeef
Somewhere in Bartow County
Member since Sep 2018
1964 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:43 am to
Does he have any data about the senate? That’s more crucial imo
Posted by coondaddy21
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2012
3222 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 10:45 am to
It’s hard to imagine that if Obama got re-elected in his second term that Trump won’t be re-elected. Obama had so many scandals and the economy wasn’t even that great when he was running for his second term. I thought for sure he would lose.
Posted by TheHarahanian
Actually not Harahan as of 6/2023
Member since May 2017
19607 posts
Posted on 9/20/20 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

the professor has wacky scientist hair so you know he's right


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