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re: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Poll: Trump 46 Biden 46
Posted on 9/3/20 at 8:50 am to Midget Death Squad
Posted on 9/3/20 at 8:50 am to Midget Death Squad
I thought Nate Silver's thing on the pop vote yesterday was very interesting. No idea if accurate, but basically any close pop vote (Biden wins by a point or two) = Trump win
1
Posted on 9/3/20 at 8:58 am to Pettifogger
quote:
I thought Nate Silver's thing on the pop vote yesterday was very interesting. No idea if accurate, but basically any close pop vote (Biden wins by a point or two) = Trump win
I would say anything within 3% of a popular vote advantage for Biden will ultimately be a Trump victory. Most of these states come from NY, CA, and IL. A lot of battleground polls have Trump ahead at the moment. If that holds, Trump will walk into a second term.
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