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re: LSUnurse and other AZ posters, some evidence of a crest in Arizona hospitalizations
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:46 pm to Curtis Lowe
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:46 pm to Curtis Lowe
quote:If you are looking for the most accurate snapshot of the current situation, yes. But if you are looking at trends (flattening the curve, etc.) it provides some useful information. It's more useful than total confirmed positives for sure.
Net number of hospitalizations is a worthless metric for trying to get a picture of what is actually happening.
1
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:55 pm to WDE24
quote:
If you are looking for the most accurate snapshot of the current situation, yes. But if you are looking at trends (flattening the curve, etc.) it provides some useful information. It's more useful than total confirmed positives for sure.
not at all! It is a useless metric. Early on in the curve when deaths are low and there are no discharges the average will be high; once deaths and recoveries/discharges start to happen the net average will be low, does not indicate a trend nor does it provide any useful information.
In this case the net 7 day average indicates 24 net change when in reality the number is closer to 500 new admits per day. Now explain how this bullshite metric is useful.
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