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Posted on 7/13/20 at 10:55 am to N.O. via West-Cal
quote:
Few have been so wrong yet venerated so much as Thomas Malthus.
Malthus was a VERY smart guy. His idea of geometric population increases was correct. His error was the earth's carrying capacity. In his day carrying capacity was not global. It was within a small biosphere.
The short explanation of geometric:
Pop is determined by female fertility rates. If Greta dies at 85 the obit will say 'survived by 4 children, 14 grandchildren and 22 great grand children.'
But if Greta tries to cross the ocean in a sailboat at 16 and drowns those 40 people will never exist.
Malthus was also right about natural checks that no longer exist. In his day natural checks kept SubSah Africa populations under control. They were too stupid to feed themselves during periods of drought or disease so they died. Now the west ships them food and they overpopulate beyond their ability to be self sufficient. Thus, they are forever dependent on aid.
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