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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 1, 2020 Update: 60,178 cases - 3,130 deaths - 752,088 tested
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:13 pm to jmcwhrter
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:13 pm to jmcwhrter
quote:Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?
just to play devil's advocate, wouldn't the 7-day rolling average death rate start to climb 10-14 days AFTER this spike in cases -- when people actually start dying?
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:14 pm
2
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:23 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?
sorry, I treated the case line as New Cases instead of a rolling average
JBE sucks.
Carry on.
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:56 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?
You realize that deaths are true number while known infections are only as good as the number of tests.
There is absolutely no doubt that more infections will result in more deaths. It isn't a debatable statement.
Whether it results in an unmanageable amount is a different story.
Even with one of the most conservative IFRs of .03 you will still see more deaths with more infections.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:58 pm
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