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re: Extent of Covid-19 Deaths Failed to Be Captured by Most Countries

Posted on 5/29/20 at 1:12 am to
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33603 posts
Posted on 5/29/20 at 1:12 am to
quote:

It looks to me like red plus gray approximately equals blue.

What’s the issue here.

Rolling 4 year would exclude covid, red is covid, blue is total.

What am I missing?
Red is just covid deaths that were actually tested/confirmed. Those alone meet the expected rate. However, total deaths are much higher than that.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2477 posts
Posted on 5/29/20 at 7:18 am to
The problem with these excess death studies is that they assume all excess death to be covid when we know there are other excess deaths because people are afraid to go to ERs, especially heart attacks and strokes.

There is also an issue with deaths of people with terminal illnesses. In normal times, if some enters hospice for cancer, there death certificate says cancer even if they have flu or anything else when they die. Now if they have covid when they die, it counts as a covid death in the US.

In some other countries, they only count it as covid if they were otherwise healthy.
This post was edited on 5/29/20 at 7:26 am
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23279 posts
Posted on 5/29/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Red is just covid deaths that were actually tested/confirmed. Those alone meet the expected rate. However, total deaths are much higher than that.


The expected rate is a 4 year trailing average, therefore it excludes covid.

Expected plus covid equals actual.

Again, what’s the problem ?
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