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re: How in the hell is Biden beating Trump while stuck in his basement?
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:23 am to N.O. via West-Cal
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:23 am to N.O. via West-Cal
quote:
The polls are not the be-all, end-all, but the popular notion on this board that they were wildly off base in 2016 is false.
1
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:32 am to Bunyan
Your posting of "odds of winning" does more to obscure than it does to illuminate and in no way refutes the simple fact I posted. Projected odds of winning =/= polling. I do suspect prognosticators will be far more careful in calculating their odds based on a number of factors. E.g., running up big margins in safe states is unimportant while narrow victories in swing states are decisive.
It remains a fact that the RCP average was 1 point off the actual tally.
It remains a fact that the RCP average was 1 point off the actual tally.
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