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re: Covid19 is now officially a hoax
Posted on 4/21/20 at 10:28 am to moneyg
Posted on 4/21/20 at 10:28 am to moneyg
quote:edit: I see what you are saying. It does however affect number of deaths.
Social distancing doesn't affect death rate unless the spread is so out of control that the healthcare system can't keep up.
This post was edited on 4/21/20 at 10:34 am
Posted on 4/21/20 at 10:36 am to PearlJam
quote:
Interesting. Can you link the evidence? I would like to read more on that.
It's common sense. The people that are dying now are dying with medical care. To the degree that medical care is available, the rate of deaths would be the same (obviously not the total number). If the healthcare system is overrun, the ballgame changes.
This was the fundamental strategy behind distancing. The idea is we can't be at a point where healthcare isn't available because then the death rate would go up.
The meaningfulness of this study is that if the number of people who have antibodies is at say 5%, the death rate is basically .1% which is pretty much your average flu season.
A reasonable person would conclude that we shouldn't have shut down the economy for that unless the healthcare system wouldn't have been able to handle the cases and provide quality care. I guess that's debatable.
This post was edited on 4/21/20 at 10:44 am
Posted on 4/21/20 at 10:37 am to PearlJam
quote:
quote:
Social distancing doesn't affect death rate unless the spread is so out of control that the healthcare system can't keep up.
Interesting. Can you link the evidence? I would like to read more on that.
I believe he was just trying to point out that social distancing doesn't empirically affect the odds that you will die from this disease should you become infected. Social distancing is intended to keep you from being infected in the first place.
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