re: Coronavirus has now killed more Americans in 1 month than flu killed in entire year

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Justify the shutdown using these numbers.

Go

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Well I wasn’t attempting to justify that; I was just pointing out that the deaths have been far higher than the flu, regardless of what we’ve done. For someone with a medical degree, your reading comprehension has been really poor.

But if you insist on justifying our actions, I’ll do it. With an R0 of 2.5, we’ve gotten it down to about 1 (some places below), although it took a few weeks. So conservatively, we would probably have 4-5 times as many cases, and even if deaths we half that, we’re looking at 80,000 to 100,000 deaths (40,000 to 60,000 more).

And since we’re probably only half way to our total death totals (80,000) with the actions in place, and the cases would probably would have at least doubled again, we’re looking at 240,000 to 320,000 deaths, at least 3 to 4 times the death totals. And those are conservative estimates.