re: A little statistical reality for all you corona Nazis

quote:

---

No you were insinuating that the virus alone in America would cause 3,000 deaths per day.

---

I wasn’t insinuating it; that has been my stated prediction, as a peak figure, for nearly 2 weeks. Here is my post from 03/24 explaining my rationale, which at that time the highest daily death total was 223 (on 03/24
although 2 more deaths were added after I posted).

03/24 Post

Since then I think the data suggest the possibility that we have a bit lower of a peak total deaths (say 2,000 to 2,500) but with a longer sustained plateau due to geographic discrepancies in the outbreak nationally.

quote:

---

That would be almost 200,000 deaths in just two months.

---

Yes. But I don’t expect the 3,000 “single-day death peak” to become a 3,000 “60-day death plateau.”